MatchPulse

Carmarthen Town vs Caerphilly Athletic — FAW Championship

← Back
Wales · FAW Championship · South - 12
Carmarthen Town
Carmarthen Town
7º · 1.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 6d 5h
vs
–
–
Caerphilly Athletic
Caerphilly Athletic
11º · 1.10 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 6d 5h
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

from€8.99/mo

billed annually · cancel anytime

Start 14-day Free TrialUpgrade to Pro →

Carmarthen Town and Caerphilly Athletic meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 23 October 2026. Carmarthen Town have recorded 5 wins from 14 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 2.36 goals scored and 2.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 100% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 100%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Caerphilly Athletic have won 36% of their 11 matches, with 1.18 goals scored and 1.73 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 27%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.07 for Carmarthen Town and 1.63 for Caerphilly Athletic. The models give Carmarthen Town a 49% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Caerphilly Athletic win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 70%.

Season Statistics

Carmarthen Town
—
Caerphilly Athletic
7º
Position
11º
1.50
PPG
1.10
40%
Win %
30%
2.20
Goals / game
1.20
2.10
Conceded / game
1.90
100%
BTTS %
55%
0%
Clean sheet %
27%
100%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Carmarthen Town
Home (6)
—
Caerphilly Athletic
Away (5)
1.17
PPG
0.80
33%
Win %
20%
2.33
Goals / game
0.80
2.50
Conceded / game
2.20
100%
BTTS %
40%
0%
Clean sheet %
20%
100%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Carmarthen TownHomeAwayCaerphilly AthleticHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored100%100%100%73%83%60%
Over 1.5 Scored86%80%100%36%50%20%
Over 2.5 Scored29%40%0%9%17%0%
Failed To Score0%0%0%27%17%40%

Goals Conceded

Carmarthen TownHomeAwayCaerphilly AthleticHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded100%100%100%73%67%80%
Over 1.5 Conceded79%90%50%64%50%80%
Over 2.5 Conceded43%60%0%36%17%60%
Clean Sheets0%0%0%27%33%20%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Carmarthen TownCaerphilly Athletic
Over 0.5100%91%
Over 1.5100%73%
Over 2.5100%73%
Over 3.579%36%
Over 4.543%18%
BTTS100%55%
BTTS & Win36%18%
BTTS & Draw21%9%
BTTS & Over 2.5100%55%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%18%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Carmarthen TownCaerphilly Athletic
Win 1st Half36%18%
Draw 1st Half43%36%
Loss 1st Half21%45%
Scored 1st Half79%36%
Conceded 1st Half57%55%
Win 2nd Half36%27%
Draw 2nd Half14%45%
Loss 2nd Half50%27%
Scored 2nd Half71%64%
Conceded 2nd Half71%64%
Over 0.5 HT86%73%
Over 1.5 HT71%55%

Recent Venue Form

Carmarthen Town (H)
LNewport City4–5
LLlantwit Major1–2
DYnyshir Albions2–2
LTrethomas Bluebirds2–3
LTreowen Stars2–4
WAfan Lido3–1
Caerphilly Athletic (A)
LSwansea University1–3
DTrethomas Bluebirds2–2
WBaglan Dragons1–0
LTreowen Stars0–3
LPontardawe Town0–3
DAbertillery Bluebirds1–1
FAW Championship
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Brickfield Rangers11902+1627
1Swansea University9630+1921
2Newtown AFC10721+1523
2Pontypridd Town10622+720
3Porthmadog11722+723
3Aberystwyth Town9612+1319
4Mold Alexandra11632+1421
4Caerau (Ely)10613+419
5Bala Town11614+219
5Baglan Dragons11524017
6Caersws10532+718
6Ynyshir Albions9441+616
7Bangor City 1876 FC11533+618
7Carmarthen Town10433+115
8Guilsfield11443+216
8Trethomas Bluebirds10343+213
9Buckley Town11434+615
9Treowen Stars10415-213
10Llanuwchllyn11425-714
10Afan Lido11335-412
11Rhyl11254-211
11Caerphilly Athletic10325-711
12Denbigh Town11317-310
12Pontardawe Town9315-210
13Cardiff Draconians8233-39
13Ruthin Town11236-119
14Newport City8224+38
14Holyhead Hotspur10226-78
15Llantwit Major9225-138
15Gresford Athletic10217-167
16llanelli AFC11029-242
16Penrhyncoch110110-291

Team Insights

Carmarthen Town
  • ●Carmarthen Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
  • ●Carmarthen Town have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
  • ●Carmarthen Town have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Carmarthen Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Carmarthen Town have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Carmarthen Town have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Carmarthen Town have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Carmarthen Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Carmarthen Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Carmarthen Town have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●64% of Carmarthen Town's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●71% of Carmarthen Town's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Caerphilly Athletic
  • ●Caerphilly Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Caerphilly Athletic have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Caerphilly Athletic have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Caerphilly Athletic have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Caerphilly Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Caerphilly Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●67% of Caerphilly Athletic's goals have been scored at home.
Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town
LHNewport City4–5
DACardiff Draconians13º2–2
LHLlantwit Major15º1–2
WABaglan Dragons5º2–1
DHYnyshir Albions6º2–2
LHTrethomas Bluebirds8º2–3
DAllanelli AFC16º2–2
LHTreowen Stars9º2–4
WHAfan Lido10º3–1
WANewport City14º2–1
Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic
WHChepstow Town1–0
WHNewport City14º3–2
LASwansea University1º1–3
LHPontypridd Town2º1–2
LHAberystwyth Town3º2–3
DATrethomas Bluebirds8º2–2
WABaglan Dragons5º1–0
WHYnyshir Albions6º2–1
LATreowen Stars9º0–3
DHCardiff Draconians13º0–0

Season Schedule

Carmarthen Town
DACardiff Draconians2–2
LHLlantwit Major1–2
WABaglan Dragons2–1
DHYnyshir Albions2–2
LHTrethomas Bluebirds2–3
DAllanelli AFC2–2
–HCaerphilly Athletic23/10
–ASwansea University28/10
–APontardawe Town31/10
Caerphilly Athletic
WHNewport City3–2
LASwansea University1–3
LHPontypridd Town1–2
LHAberystwyth Town2–3
DATrethomas Bluebirds2–2
WABaglan Dragons1–0
–ACarmarthen Town23/10
–HCaerau (Ely)30/10
–AAfan Lido06/11

Top Scorers

Carmarthen Town
7 ⚽
L. Reed6 ⚽
L. Thomas4 ⚽
H. Jones3 ⚽
T. Aylward2 ⚽
J. Rickard1 ⚽
Caerphilly Athletic
F. Skiverton4 ⚽
D. Perrett3 ⚽
E. Humphries2 ⚽
T. Jordan2 ⚽
L. Reed1 ⚽

Cards Given

Carmarthen Town
L. Thomas1 🟨
R. Jenkins1 🟨
Caerphilly Athletic