Newport City vs Pontypridd Town — FAW Championship
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Newport City and Pontypridd Town meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 23 October 2026. Newport City have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.55 goals scored and 1.73 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Pontypridd Town have won 60% of their 10 matches, with 2.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 90%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Newport City and 1.92 for Pontypridd Town. The models give Newport City a 30% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Pontypridd Town win at 46%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Newport City—
Pontypridd Town14º
Position
2º
1.00
PPG
2.00
25%
Win %
60%
1.50
Goals / game
2.40
1.13
Conceded / game
1.70
45%
BTTS %
90%
18%
Clean sheet %
0%
55%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Newport City
Home (3)
—
Pontypridd Town
Away (5)
0.00
PPG
2.20
0%
Win %
60%
0.33
Goals / game
2.80
1.33
Conceded / game
1.80
25%
BTTS %
100%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
50%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Newport City | Home | Away | Pontypridd Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 55% | 25% | 71% | 90% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 0% | 57% | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 0% | 43% | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 75% | 29% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Newport City | Home | Away | Pontypridd Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 100% | 71% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 50% | 29% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 25% | 29% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 0% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Newport City | Pontypridd Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 50% |
| BTTS | 45% | 90% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 60% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 80% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Newport City | Pontypridd Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 45% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 27% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 70% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 55% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Newport City (H)L
Ynyshir Albions0–1
Ynyshir Albions0–1L
Baglan Dragons0–1
Baglan Dragons0–1L
Carmarthen Town1–2
Carmarthen Town1–2L
Newport County0–5
Newport County0–5L
Trefelin0–5
Trefelin0–5L
Treowen Stars2–3
Treowen Stars2–3Pontypridd Town (A)DBaglan Dragons1–1
Baglan Dragons1–1W
Caerphilly Athletic2–1
Caerphilly Athletic2–1D
Swansea University4–4
Swansea University4–4W
Cardiff Draconians4–1
Cardiff Draconians4–1WTreowen Stars3–2
Treowen Stars3–2DCardiff Draconians2–2
Cardiff Draconians2–2Head to Head · 4 matches
2
Newport City
50%
1
Draws
25%
1
Pontypridd Town
25%
50%
Over 1.5
2/4
25%
Over 2.5
1/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
25%
BTTS
1/4
05/12/25Pontypridd Town
Newport City
0–0Pontypridd Town12/09/25Newport City
Pontypridd Town
1–3Newport City10/01/25Newport City
Pontypridd Town
0–2Newport City27/09/24Pontypridd Town
Newport City
0–1Pontypridd Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +16 | 27 |
| 1 | Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 23 |
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 |  Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 |  Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 | Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 15 |
| 9 | Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 10 |  Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 |  Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Caerphilly Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 |  Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -24 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Newport City- ●Newport City have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Newport City have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●92% of Newport City's goals have been scored away.
- ●100% of Newport City's points have been earned away.
- ●Newport City have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Pontypridd Town- ●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Newport CityLACaerphilly Athletic2–3
Caerphilly Athletic2–3DACardiff Draconians1–1
Cardiff Draconians1–1DAAfan Lido0–0
Afan Lido0–0LHYnyshir Albions0–1
Ynyshir Albions0–1LHBaglan Dragons0–1
Baglan Dragons0–1WAPontardawe Town4–0
Pontardawe Town4–0–HPontypridd Town23/10
Pontypridd Town23/10–ALlantwit Major31/10
Llantwit Major31/10–HTreowen Stars06/11
Treowen Stars06/11Pontypridd TownDABaglan Dragons1–1
Baglan Dragons1–1WHLlantwit Major4–1
Llantwit Major4–1LHAberystwyth Town1–3
Aberystwyth Town1–3WACaerphilly Athletic2–1
Caerphilly Athletic2–1LHAfan Lido0–1
Afan Lido0–1DASwansea University4–4
Swansea University4–4–ANewport City23/10
Newport City23/10–Hllanelli AFC30/10
llanelli AFC30/10–ACaerau (Ely)06/11
Caerau (Ely)06/11Top Scorers
Newport CityS. Johnson4 ⚽
T. Lynch2 ⚽
2 ⚽
E. Bregua1 ⚽
J. Norris1 ⚽
E. Sage1 ⚽
Pontypridd TownE. Edwards7 ⚽
E. Phipps2 ⚽
L. Angel2 ⚽
J. Bevan2 ⚽
J. Stephens2 ⚽
K. Rowe2 ⚽
Cards Given
Newport CityPontypridd TownL. Angel2 🟨