Pontardawe Town vs Ynyshir Albions — FAW Championship
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Pontardawe Town and Ynyshir Albions meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Pontardawe Town have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.45 goals scored and 2.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Ynyshir Albions have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.89 for Pontardawe Town and 1.49 for Ynyshir Albions. The models give Pontardawe Town a 47% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Ynyshir Albions win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Pontardawe Town—
Ynyshir Albions12º
Position
6º
1.11
PPG
1.78
33%
Win %
44%
1.67
Goals / game
1.67
1.89
Conceded / game
1.00
45%
BTTS %
60%
9%
Clean sheet %
30%
64%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Pontardawe Town
Home (3)
—
Ynyshir Albions
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
1.50
67%
Win %
33%
3.00
Goals / game
1.17
1.67
Conceded / game
1.00
33%
BTTS %
57%
33%
Clean sheet %
29%
100%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Pontardawe Town | Home | Away | Ynyshir Albions | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 55% | 67% | 50% | 80% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 67% | 25% | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 67% | 13% | 10% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 33% | 50% | 20% | 0% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Pontardawe Town | Home | Away | Ynyshir Albions | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 67% | 100% | 70% | 67% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 33% | 50% | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 33% | 38% | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 33% | 0% | 30% | 33% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pontardawe Town | Ynyshir Albions | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 55% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 10% |
| BTTS | 45% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 36% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pontardawe Town | Ynyshir Albions | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 10% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 70% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 82% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 10% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 27% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 91% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 64% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Pontardawe Town (H)W
Treowen Stars6–1
Treowen Stars6–1L
Newport City0–4
Newport City0–4W
Caerphilly Athletic3–0
Caerphilly Athletic3–0L
Cambrian & Clydach0–3
Cambrian & Clydach0–3D
Carmarthen Town1–1
Carmarthen Town1–1D
Cwmbran Celtic3–3
Cwmbran Celtic3–3Ynyshir Albions (A)L
Cardiff MET0–4
Cardiff MET0–4WTreowen Stars2–1
Treowen Stars2–1DCarmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2D
Afan Lido0–0
Afan Lido0–0WNewport City1–0
Newport City1–0LCaerphilly Athletic1–2
Caerphilly Athletic1–2Head to Head · 2 matches
2
Pontardawe Town
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Ynyshir Albions
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
11/03/23Ynyshir Albions
Pontardawe Town
3–0Ynyshir Albions13/08/22Pontardawe Town
Ynyshir Albions
0–2Pontardawe Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +16 | 27 |
| 1 |  Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 23 |
| 2 |  Pontypridd Town | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 |  Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 |  Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 | Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 15 |
| 9 | Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 |  Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Caerphilly Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 |  Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 |  Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -24 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Pontardawe Town- ●Pontardawe Town have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Pontardawe Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Pontardawe Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Pontardawe Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Pontardawe Town have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Pontardawe Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Pontardawe Town have scored 73% of their goals in the first half.
Ynyshir Albions- ●Ynyshir Albions have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Ynyshir Albions's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Pontardawe TownDALlantwit Major1–1
Llantwit Major1–1WATrethomas Bluebirds3–2
Trethomas Bluebirds3–2WHTreowen Stars6–1
Treowen Stars6–1LASwansea University0–4
Swansea University0–4LAAberystwyth Town0–1
Aberystwyth Town0–1LAAfan Lido0–1
Afan Lido0–1–HYnyshir Albions24/10
Ynyshir Albions24/10–HCarmarthen Town31/10
Carmarthen Town31/10–Allanelli AFC06/11
llanelli AFC06/11Ynyshir AlbionsWHllanelli AFC6–2
llanelli AFC6–2WATreowen Stars2–1
Treowen Stars2–1DHTrethomas Bluebirds1–1
Trethomas Bluebirds1–1DACarmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2DAAfan Lido0–0
Afan Lido0–0WANewport City1–0
Newport City1–0–APontardawe Town24/10
Pontardawe Town24/10–HSwansea University31/10
Swansea University31/10–ABaglan Dragons06/11
Baglan Dragons06/11Top Scorers
Pontardawe TownJ. Dorward4 ⚽
J. Meacock3 ⚽
J. Stone2 ⚽
T. Evans1 ⚽
J. Barrow1 ⚽
T. Jones1 ⚽
Ynyshir AlbionsJ. Haig4 ⚽
D. Facey4 ⚽
C. Morgan1 ⚽
J. Griffiths1 ⚽
J. Norton1 ⚽
S. Jones1 ⚽
Cards Given
Pontardawe TownYnyshir AlbionsJ. Norton2 🟨