Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians — FAW Championship
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Trethomas Bluebirds and Cardiff Draconians meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 23 October 2026. Trethomas Bluebirds have recorded 3 wins from 13 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 1.62 goals scored and 2.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 77% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 77%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Cardiff Draconians have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 1.56 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 78%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.71 for Trethomas Bluebirds and 1.62 for Cardiff Draconians. The models give Trethomas Bluebirds a 43% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Cardiff Draconians win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Trethomas Bluebirds—
Cardiff Draconians8º
Position
13º
1.30
PPG
1.13
30%
Win %
25%
2.00
Goals / game
1.38
1.80
Conceded / game
1.75
77%
BTTS %
78%
8%
Clean sheet %
11%
77%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Trethomas Bluebirds
Home (5)
—
Cardiff Draconians
Away (2)
1.00
PPG
0.50
20%
Win %
0%
2.20
Goals / game
0.00
2.20
Conceded / game
0.50
67%
BTTS %
33%
17%
Clean sheet %
33%
83%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Trethomas Bluebirds | Home | Away | Cardiff Draconians | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 67% | 86% | 78% | 100% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 67% | 29% | 44% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 17% | 29% | 22% | 17% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 33% | 14% | 22% | 0% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Trethomas Bluebirds | Home | Away | Cardiff Draconians | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 92% | 83% | 100% | 89% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 69% | 83% | 57% | 44% | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 50% | 29% | 22% | 33% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 8% | 17% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Trethomas Bluebirds | Cardiff Draconians | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 62% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 46% | 22% |
| BTTS | 77% | 78% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 62% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Trethomas Bluebirds | Cardiff Draconians | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 46% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 85% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 92% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 85% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Trethomas Bluebirds (H)L
Pontardawe Town2–3
Pontardawe Town2–3D
Caerphilly Athletic2–2
Caerphilly Athletic2–2W
Afan Lido5–2
Afan Lido5–2L
Caerau (Ely)2–4
Caerau (Ely)2–4D
Baglan Dragons0–0
Baglan Dragons0–0L
Penybont0–3
Penybont0–3Cardiff Draconians (A)W
Radnor Valley3–1
Radnor Valley3–1DCaerphilly Athletic0–0
Caerphilly Athletic0–0L
Ynyshir Albions0–1
Ynyshir Albions0–1DTrethomas Bluebirds4–4
Trethomas Bluebirds4–4L
Ammanford AFC1–2
Ammanford AFC1–2L
Trefelin1–3
Trefelin1–3Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Trethomas Bluebirds
0%
1
Draws
50%
1
Cardiff Draconians
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
04/04/26Cardiff Draconians
Trethomas Bluebirds
4–4Cardiff Draconians25/10/25Trethomas Bluebirds
Cardiff Draconians
3–0Trethomas Bluebirds| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +16 | 27 |
| 1 |  Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 23 |
| 2 |  Pontypridd Town | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 |  Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 15 |
| 9 |  Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 |  Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Caerphilly Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 |  Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 |  Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -24 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Trethomas Bluebirds- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●62% of Trethomas Bluebirds's points have been earned away.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored 65% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.
Cardiff Draconians- ●Cardiff Draconians have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●100% of Cardiff Draconians's goals have been scored at home.
- ●93% of Cardiff Draconians's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●89% of Cardiff Draconians's points have been earned at home.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Trethomas BluebirdsWATreowen Stars3–1
Treowen Stars3–1LHPontardawe Town2–3
Pontardawe Town2–3DAYnyshir Albions1–1
Ynyshir Albions1–1DHCaerphilly Athletic2–2
Caerphilly Athletic2–2WACarmarthen Town3–2
Carmarthen Town3–2WHAfan Lido5–2
Afan Lido5–2–HCardiff Draconians23/10
Cardiff Draconians23/10–AAberystwyth Town31/10
Aberystwyth Town31/10–HLlantwit Major07/11
Llantwit Major07/11Cardiff DraconiansDHCarmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2DHNewport City1–1
Newport City1–1LHCaerau (Ely)1–3
Caerau (Ely)1–3WHBaglan Dragons2–1
Baglan Dragons2–1WHllanelli AFC4–2
llanelli AFC4–2LHPontypridd Town1–4
Pontypridd Town1–4–ATrethomas Bluebirds23/10
Trethomas Bluebirds23/10–HAfan Lido31/10
Afan Lido31/10–ASwansea University07/11
Swansea University07/11Top Scorers
Trethomas BluebirdsN. Ferreira5 ⚽
J. Thomas4 ⚽
J. Hood1 ⚽
L. C. Jeanne1 ⚽
L. Rees1 ⚽
O. Rees1 ⚽
Cardiff DraconiansL. Gullick4 ⚽
S. Cawley2 ⚽
D. Amin1 ⚽
C. Egan1 ⚽
K. Saunders1 ⚽
H. Samson1 ⚽
Cards Given
Trethomas BluebirdsCardiff DraconiansC. Indjai2 🟨
E. Kazadi2 🟨
C. Mace1 🟨
D. Amin1 🟨