Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido — FAW Championship
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Cardiff Draconians and Afan Lido meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Cardiff Draconians have recorded 3 wins from 10 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 80% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Afan Lido have won 29% of their 14 matches, with 1.71 goals scored and 1.93 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.87 for Cardiff Draconians and 1.68 for Afan Lido. The models give Cardiff Draconians a 43% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Afan Lido win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Cardiff Draconians—
Afan Lido15º
Position
9º
1.00
PPG
1.25
22%
Win %
33%
1.33
Goals / game
1.75
1.89
Conceded / game
1.83
80%
BTTS %
50%
10%
Clean sheet %
43%
70%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Cardiff Draconians
Home (6)
—
Afan Lido
Away (6)
1.33
PPG
1.00
33%
Win %
33%
1.83
Goals / game
1.33
2.17
Conceded / game
2.00
100%
BTTS %
57%
0%
Clean sheet %
29%
83%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Cardiff Draconians | Home | Away | Afan Lido | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 100% | 50% | 79% | 71% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 50% | 25% | 43% | 57% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 17% | 25% | 21% | 29% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 50% | 21% | 29% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Cardiff Draconians | Home | Away | Afan Lido | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 90% | 100% | 75% | 57% | 43% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 67% | 25% | 57% | 43% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 33% | 25% | 36% | 43% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 25% | 43% | 57% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cardiff Draconians | Afan Lido | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 36% |
| BTTS | 80% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 70% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cardiff Draconians | Afan Lido | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 64% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Cardiff Draconians (H)D
Carmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2D
Newport City1–1
Newport City1–1L
Caerau (Ely)1–3
Caerau (Ely)1–3W
Baglan Dragons2–1
Baglan Dragons2–1W
llanelli AFC4–2
llanelli AFC4–2L
Pontypridd Town1–4
Pontypridd Town1–4Afan Lido (A)Wllanelli AFC3–0
llanelli AFC3–0LCaerau (Ely)0–2
Caerau (Ely)0–2WPontypridd Town1–0
Pontypridd Town1–0LBaglan Dragons1–2
Baglan Dragons1–2L
Trethomas Bluebirds2–5
Trethomas Bluebirds2–5LCarmarthen Town1–3
Carmarthen Town1–3Head to Head · 2 matches
2
Cardiff Draconians
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Afan Lido
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
100%
Over 3.5
2/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
18/04/26Afan Lido
Cardiff Draconians
4–1Afan Lido16/09/25Cardiff Draconians
Afan Lido
1–3Cardiff Draconians| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 30 |
| 1 |  Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 23 |
| 3 |  Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 6 |  Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 | Carmarthen Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 10 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 |  Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Rhyl | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 |  Llantwit Major | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 |  Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 15 | Cardiff Draconians | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -27 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Cardiff Draconians- ●Cardiff Draconians have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●92% of Cardiff Draconians's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Cardiff Draconians's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●89% of Cardiff Draconians's points have been earned at home.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Afan Lido- ●Afan Lido have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Afan Lido have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Afan Lido have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Afan Lido have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of Afan Lido's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Cardiff DraconiansLATrethomas Bluebirds1–3
Trethomas Bluebirds1–3DHCarmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2DHNewport City1–1
Newport City1–1LHCaerau (Ely)1–3
Caerau (Ely)1–3WHBaglan Dragons2–1
Baglan Dragons2–1WHllanelli AFC4–2
llanelli AFC4–2–HAfan Lido31/10
Afan Lido31/10–ASwansea University07/11
Swansea University07/11–ALlantwit Major14/11
Llantwit Major14/11Afan LidoWAllanelli AFC3–0
llanelli AFC3–0DHSwansea University5–5
Swansea University5–5LACaerau (Ely)0–2
Caerau (Ely)0–2DHNewport City0–0
Newport City0–0WAPontypridd Town1–0
Pontypridd Town1–0LABaglan Dragons1–2
Baglan Dragons1–2–ACardiff Draconians31/10
Cardiff Draconians31/10–HCaerphilly Athletic06/11
Caerphilly Athletic06/11–ATreowen Stars21/11
Treowen Stars21/11Top Scorers
Cardiff DraconiansL. Gullick4 ⚽
S. Cawley3 ⚽
D. Amin1 ⚽
C. Egan1 ⚽
K. Saunders1 ⚽
H. Samson1 ⚽
Afan LidoL. Griffiths5 ⚽
A. Giardelli5 ⚽
J. Pascoe2 ⚽
B. Roberts2 ⚽
C. Keetch2 ⚽
1 ⚽
Cards Given
Cardiff DraconiansC. Indjai2 🟨
E. Kazadi2 🟨
C. Mace1 🟨
D. Amin1 🟨
Afan Lido