Llantwit Major vs Newport City — FAW Championship
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Llantwit Major and Newport City meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Llantwit Major have recorded 0 wins from 5 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 0.40 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Newport City have won 29% of their 7 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 29%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.35 for Llantwit Major and 1.98 for Newport City. The models give Llantwit Major a 32% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Newport City win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Llantwit Major | Home | Away | Newport City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 40% | 0% | 67% | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 0% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 0% | 67% |
| Failed To Score | 60% | 100% | 33% | 57% | 75% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Llantwit Major | Home | Away | Newport City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 86% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 50% | 67% | 29% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 60% | 50% | 67% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Llantwit Major | Newport City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 29% |
| BTTS | 40% | 29% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 40% | 29% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Llantwit Major | Newport City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 80% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 20% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 100% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 60% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 20% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 5 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +17 | 21 | |
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +17 | 16 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +15 | 19 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 15 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +5 | 18 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 13 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 17 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 15 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 11 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 | |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 | |
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 | |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 8 | |
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 7 | |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 | |
| 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +4 | 6 | |
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 | |
| 14 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 4 | |
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 3 | |
| 15 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -17 | 2 | |
| 15 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -18 | 1 | |
| 16 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -13 | 1 | |
| 16 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -23 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Llantwit Major have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Llantwit Major failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●73% of Llantwit Major's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Newport City have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Newport City have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●89% of Newport City's goals have been scored away.
- ●100% of Newport City's points have been earned away.
- ●Newport City have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.