Pontardawe Town vs Carmarthen Town — FAW Championship
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Pontardawe Town and Carmarthen Town meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Pontardawe Town have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.45 goals scored and 2.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Carmarthen Town have won 33% of their 15 matches, with 2.27 goals scored and 2.47 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 100%, Over 2.5 at 100%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.04 for Pontardawe Town and 1.82 for Carmarthen Town. The models give Pontardawe Town a 44% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Carmarthen Town win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 74% and BTTS at 73%.
Season Statistics
Pontardawe Town—
Carmarthen Town13º
Position
8º
1.11
PPG
1.36
33%
Win %
36%
1.67
Goals / game
2.09
1.89
Conceded / game
2.18
45%
BTTS %
100%
9%
Clean sheet %
0%
64%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Pontardawe Town
Home (3)
—
Carmarthen Town
Away (4)
2.00
PPG
2.00
67%
Win %
50%
3.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.67
Conceded / game
1.50
33%
BTTS %
100%
33%
Clean sheet %
0%
100%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Pontardawe Town | Home | Away | Carmarthen Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 55% | 67% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 67% | 25% | 80% | 73% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 67% | 13% | 27% | 36% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Pontardawe Town | Home | Away | Carmarthen Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 33% | 50% | 80% | 91% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 33% | 38% | 47% | 64% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pontardawe Town | Carmarthen Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 | 55% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 40% |
| BTTS | 45% | 100% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 100% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 36% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pontardawe Town | Carmarthen Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 73% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 82% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 27% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 91% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 64% | 73% |
Recent Venue Form
Pontardawe Town (H)W
Treowen Stars6–1
Treowen Stars6–1L
Newport City0–4
Newport City0–4W
Caerphilly Athletic3–0
Caerphilly Athletic3–0L
Cambrian & Clydach0–3
Cambrian & Clydach0–3DCarmarthen Town1–1
Carmarthen Town1–1D
Cwmbran Celtic3–3
Cwmbran Celtic3–3Carmarthen Town (A)D
Cardiff Draconians2–2
Cardiff Draconians2–2W
Baglan Dragons2–1
Baglan Dragons2–1D
llanelli AFC2–2
llanelli AFC2–2WNewport City2–1
Newport City2–1LTreowen Stars1–4
Treowen Stars1–4WBaglan Dragons7–0
Baglan Dragons7–0Head to Head · 4 matches
1
Pontardawe Town
25%
2
Draws
50%
1
Carmarthen Town
25%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
25%
Over 2.5
1/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
06/04/24Carmarthen Town
Pontardawe Town
1–1Carmarthen Town26/12/23Pontardawe Town
Carmarthen Town
1–1Pontardawe Town07/01/23Carmarthen Town
Pontardawe Town
1–0Carmarthen Town29/10/22Pontardawe Town
Carmarthen Town
3–1Pontardawe Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 30 |
| 1 |  Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 |  Pontypridd Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 23 |
| 3 |  Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 |  Caerau (Ely) | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 6 |  Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 | Carmarthen Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Afan Lido | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 10 | Caerphilly Athletic | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Rhyl | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 |  Llantwit Major | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 |  Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 15 | Cardiff Draconians | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -27 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Pontardawe Town- ●Pontardawe Town have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Pontardawe Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Pontardawe Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Pontardawe Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Pontardawe Town have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Pontardawe Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Pontardawe Town have scored 73% of their goals in the first half.
Carmarthen Town- ●Carmarthen Town have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●65% of Carmarthen Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Carmarthen Town's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Pontardawe TownDALlantwit Major1–1
Llantwit Major1–1WATrethomas Bluebirds3–2
Trethomas Bluebirds3–2WHTreowen Stars6–1
Treowen Stars6–1LASwansea University0–4
Swansea University0–4LAAberystwyth Town0–1
Aberystwyth Town0–1LAAfan Lido0–1
Afan Lido0–1–HCarmarthen Town31/10
Carmarthen Town31/10–Allanelli AFC06/11
llanelli AFC06/11–HBaglan Dragons21/11
Baglan Dragons21/11Carmarthen TownLHCaerphilly Athletic1–3
Caerphilly Athletic1–3DACardiff Draconians2–2
Cardiff Draconians2–2LHLlantwit Major1–2
Llantwit Major1–2WABaglan Dragons2–1
Baglan Dragons2–1DHYnyshir Albions2–2
Ynyshir Albions2–2LHTrethomas Bluebirds2–3
Trethomas Bluebirds2–3–APontardawe Town31/10
Pontardawe Town31/10–HAberystwyth Town07/11
Aberystwyth Town07/11–APontypridd Town20/11
Pontypridd Town20/11Top Scorers
Pontardawe TownJ. Dorward4 ⚽
J. Meacock3 ⚽
J. Stone2 ⚽
T. Evans1 ⚽
J. Barrow1 ⚽
T. Jones1 ⚽
Carmarthen TownL. Reed7 ⚽
7 ⚽
L. Thomas4 ⚽
H. Jones3 ⚽
T. Aylward2 ⚽
J. Rickard1 ⚽
Cards Given
Pontardawe TownCarmarthen TownL. Thomas1 🟨
R. Jenkins1 🟨