Aberystwyth Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds — FAW Championship
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Aberystwyth Town and Trethomas Bluebirds meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Aberystwyth Town have recorded 5 wins from 6 matches this season (83% win rate), averaging 3.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Trethomas Bluebirds have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 78%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.02 for Aberystwyth Town and 1.36 for Trethomas Bluebirds. The models give Aberystwyth Town a 55% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Trethomas Bluebirds win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Aberystwyth Town—
Trethomas Bluebirds2º
Position
9º
2.50
PPG
1.29
83%
Win %
29%
3.17
Goals / game
2.00
1.17
Conceded / game
1.86
67%
BTTS %
78%
33%
Clean sheet %
11%
83%
Over 2.5 %
78%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Aberystwyth Town
Home (4)
—
Trethomas Bluebirds
Away (3)
2.25
PPG
1.33
75%
Win %
33%
2.75
Goals / game
1.67
0.75
Conceded / game
1.67
50%
BTTS %
100%
50%
Clean sheet %
0%
75%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Aberystwyth Town | Home | Away | Trethomas Bluebirds | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 78% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 50% | 100% | 44% | 60% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 67% | 50% | 100% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 40% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Aberystwyth Town | Home | Away | Trethomas Bluebirds | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 50% | 100% | 89% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 25% | 100% | 78% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 50% | 0% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aberystwyth Town | Trethomas Bluebirds | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 67% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 50% | 44% |
| BTTS | 67% | 78% |
| BTTS & Win | 50% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aberystwyth Town | Trethomas Bluebirds | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 67% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 83% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 17% | 89% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 83% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 78% |
Recent Venue Form
Aberystwyth Town (H)W
llanelli AFC4–0
llanelli AFC4–0W
Pontardawe Town1–0
Pontardawe Town1–0W
Llantwit Major5–1
Llantwit Major5–1L
Treowen Stars1–2
Treowen Stars1–2DLlantwit Major2–2
Llantwit Major2–2L
Afan Lido0–1
Afan Lido0–1Trethomas Bluebirds (A)W
Carmarthen Town3–2
Carmarthen Town3–2L
Pontypridd Town1–2
Pontypridd Town1–2Dllanelli AFC1–1
llanelli AFC1–1L
Barry Town1–5
Barry Town1–5D
Baglan Dragons1–1
Baglan Dragons1–1D
Ynyshir Albions2–2
Ynyshir Albions2–2Head to Head · 2 matches
2
Aberystwyth Town
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Trethomas Bluebirds
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
14/03/26Trethomas Bluebirds
Aberystwyth Town
3–0Trethomas Bluebirds01/11/25Aberystwyth Town
Trethomas Bluebirds
2–3Aberystwyth Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +17 | 21 |
| 1 |  Swansea University | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +17 | 16 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +15 | 19 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth Town | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 3 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 17 |
| 3 | Treowen Stars | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 | Pontypridd Town | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 |  Porthmadog | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 7 |  Caersws | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Caerau (Ely) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 |  Llanuwchllyn | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 | Afan Lido | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 |  Rhyl | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 10 |  Guilsfield | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 | Ynyshir Albions | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 |  Buckley Town | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Cardiff Draconians | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Newport City | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 4 |
| 14 | Pontardawe Town | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 3 |
| 15 | llanelli AFC | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -17 | 2 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -18 | 1 |
| 16 | Llantwit Major | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -13 | 1 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -22 | 1 |
Team Insights
Aberystwyth Town- ●Aberystwyth Town have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Aberystwyth Town have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Aberystwyth Town have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Aberystwyth Town have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Aberystwyth Town have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Aberystwyth Town have won their last 2 away matches.
Trethomas Bluebirds- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●64% of Trethomas Bluebirds's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Aberystwyth TownWACaerphilly Athletic3–2
Caerphilly Athletic3–2WHllanelli AFC4–0
llanelli AFC4–0WHPontardawe Town1–0
Pontardawe Town1–0WHLlantwit Major5–1
Llantwit Major5–1LHTreowen Stars1–2
Treowen Stars1–2WAAfan Lido5–2
Afan Lido5–2–HSwansea University25/09
Swansea University25/09–APontypridd Town03/10
Pontypridd Town03/10–HCaerau (Ely)10/10
Caerau (Ely)10/10Trethomas BluebirdsDHCaerphilly Athletic2–2
Caerphilly Athletic2–2WACarmarthen Town3–2
Carmarthen Town3–2WHAfan Lido5–2
Afan Lido5–2LAPontypridd Town1–2
Pontypridd Town1–2LHCaerau (Ely)2–4
Caerau (Ely)2–4DAllanelli AFC1–1
llanelli AFC1–1–ANewport City16/09
Newport City16/09–AYnyshir Albions26/09
Ynyshir Albions26/09–HPontardawe Town03/10
Pontardawe Town03/10Top Scorers
Aberystwyth TownA. Williams5 ⚽
R. Hughes3 ⚽
D. Owen2 ⚽
L. Walsh2 ⚽
D. Browne2 ⚽
R. Ricketts1 ⚽
Trethomas BluebirdsJ. Thomas2 ⚽
N. Ferreira2 ⚽
J. Hood1 ⚽
L. C. Jeanne1 ⚽
O. Rees1 ⚽
A. Newman Jones1 ⚽
Cards Given
Aberystwyth TownL. Walsh2 🟨
Trethomas Bluebirds