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Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions — FAW Championship

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Wales · FAW Championship · South - 14
Baglan Dragons
Baglan Dragons
5º · 1.55 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 27d 6h
vs
–
–
Ynyshir Albions
Ynyshir Albions
6º · 1.78 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 27d 6h
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Baglan Dragons and Ynyshir Albions meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Baglan Dragons have recorded 5 wins from 11 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Ynyshir Albions have won 44% of their 9 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 33%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Baglan Dragons and 1.46 for Ynyshir Albions. The models give Baglan Dragons a 36% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Ynyshir Albions win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 57%.

Season Statistics

Baglan Dragons
—
Ynyshir Albions
5º
Position
6º
1.55
PPG
1.78
45%
Win %
44%
1.09
Goals / game
1.67
1.09
Conceded / game
1.00
55%
BTTS %
67%
27%
Clean sheet %
33%
55%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Baglan Dragons
Home (6)
—
Ynyshir Albions
Away (6)
1.17
PPG
1.50
33%
Win %
33%
1.17
Goals / game
1.17
1.50
Conceded / game
1.00
67%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Clean sheet %
33%
67%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Baglan DragonsHomeAwayYnyshir AlbionsHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored73%67%80%89%100%83%
Over 1.5 Scored27%33%20%33%33%33%
Over 2.5 Scored9%17%0%11%33%0%
Failed To Score27%33%20%11%0%17%

Goals Conceded

Baglan DragonsHomeAwayYnyshir AlbionsHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded73%100%40%67%67%67%
Over 1.5 Conceded27%33%20%33%33%33%
Over 2.5 Conceded9%17%0%0%0%0%
Clean Sheets27%0%60%33%33%33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Baglan DragonsYnyshir Albions
Over 0.591%89%
Over 1.564%67%
Over 2.555%44%
Over 3.59%22%
Over 4.50%11%
BTTS55%67%
BTTS & Win27%22%
BTTS & Draw9%33%
BTTS & Over 2.545%44%
BTTS No & Over 2.59%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Baglan DragonsYnyshir Albions
Win 1st Half27%11%
Draw 1st Half45%78%
Loss 1st Half27%11%
Scored 1st Half36%33%
Conceded 1st Half45%33%
Win 2nd Half18%44%
Draw 2nd Half45%56%
Loss 2nd Half36%0%
Scored 2nd Half36%78%
Conceded 2nd Half55%44%
Over 0.5 HT64%44%
Over 1.5 HT36%33%

Recent Venue Form

Baglan Dragons (H)
DPontypridd Town1–1
LCarmarthen Town1–2
WAfan Lido2–1
LCaerphilly Athletic0–1
WCaerau (Ely)3–1
LSwansea University0–3
Ynyshir Albions (A)
WTreowen Stars2–1
DCarmarthen Town2–2
DAfan Lido0–0
WNewport City1–0
LCaerphilly Athletic1–2
DCaerau (Ely)1–1

Head to Head · 2 matches

1
Baglan Dragons
50%
1
Draws
50%
0
Ynyshir Albions
0%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
24/01/26
Ynyshir Albions
0–0
Baglan Dragons
07/11/25
Baglan Dragons
2–1
Ynyshir Albions
FAW Championship
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Brickfield Rangers11902+1627
1Swansea University9630+1921
2Newtown AFC10721+1523
2Pontypridd Town10622+720
3Porthmadog11722+723
3Aberystwyth Town9612+1319
4Mold Alexandra11632+1421
4Caerau (Ely)10613+419
5Bala Town11614+219
5Baglan Dragons11524017
6Caersws10532+718
6Ynyshir Albions9441+616
7Bangor City 1876 FC11533+618
7Carmarthen Town10433+115
8Guilsfield11443+216
8Trethomas Bluebirds10343+213
9Buckley Town11434+615
9Treowen Stars10415-213
10Llanuwchllyn11425-714
10Afan Lido11335-412
11Rhyl11254-211
11Caerphilly Athletic10325-711
12Denbigh Town11317-310
12Pontardawe Town9315-210
13Cardiff Draconians8233-39
13Ruthin Town11236-119
14Newport City8224+38
14Holyhead Hotspur10226-78
15Llantwit Major9225-138
15Gresford Athletic10217-167
16llanelli AFC11029-242
16Penrhyncoch110110-291

Team Insights

Baglan Dragons
  • ●Baglan Dragons failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Baglan Dragons have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Baglan Dragons failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Baglan Dragons have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Baglan Dragons failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Baglan Dragons have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Baglan Dragons have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●75% of Baglan Dragons's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●Baglan Dragons have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Ynyshir Albions
  • ●Ynyshir Albions have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Ynyshir Albions have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Ynyshir Albions have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Ynyshir Albions have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●67% of Ynyshir Albions's goals conceded were conceded away.
Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons
DHPontypridd Town2º1–1
WAllanelli AFC16º2–1
LHCarmarthen Town7º1–2
LACardiff Draconians13º1–2
WHAfan Lido10º2–1
LHCaerphilly Athletic11º0–1
WHCaerau (Ely)4º3–1
WANewport City14º1–0
WALlantwit Major15º1–0
LHSwansea University1º0–3
Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions
WHllanelli AFC16º6–2
WATreowen Stars9º2–1
DHTrethomas Bluebirds8º1–1
DACarmarthen Town7º2–2
DAAfan Lido10º0–0
WANewport City14º1–0
LACaerphilly Athletic11º1–2
DACaerau (Ely)4º1–1
WHCardiff Draconians13º1–0
DHAberystwyth Town0–0

Season Schedule

Baglan Dragons
DHPontypridd Town1–1
WAllanelli AFC2–1
LHCarmarthen Town1–2
LACardiff Draconians1–2
WHAfan Lido2–1
LHCaerphilly Athletic0–1
–HAberystwyth Town24/10
–HTreowen Stars30/10
–HYnyshir Albions06/11
Ynyshir Albions
WHllanelli AFC6–2
WATreowen Stars2–1
DHTrethomas Bluebirds1–1
DACarmarthen Town2–2
DAAfan Lido0–0
WANewport City1–0
–APontardawe Town24/10
–HSwansea University31/10
–ABaglan Dragons06/11

Top Scorers

Baglan Dragons
T. Jones6 ⚽
T. Davies4 ⚽
A. Dubjaga1 ⚽
A. Garland1 ⚽
Ynyshir Albions
J. Haig4 ⚽
D. Facey4 ⚽
C. Morgan1 ⚽
J. Griffiths1 ⚽
J. Norton1 ⚽
S. Jones1 ⚽

Cards Given

Baglan Dragons
K. Parsons1 🟨
Ynyshir Albions
J. Norton2 🟨