Wales · FAW Championship · South - 14

Caerau (Ely)

4º · 1.90 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 27d 6h

–

Pontypridd Town

2º · 2.00 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 27d 6h

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Caerau (Ely) and Pontypridd Town meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Caerau (Ely) have recorded 8 wins from 16 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.13 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Pontypridd Town have won 60% of their 10 matches, with 2.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 90%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 0%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.88 for Caerau (Ely) and 1.91 for Pontypridd Town. The models give Caerau (Ely) a 45% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Pontypridd Town win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 72%.

Season Statistics

Caerau (Ely)

—

Pontypridd Town

4º

Position

2º

1.90

PPG

2.00

60%

Win %

60%

2.20

Goals / game

2.40

1.80

Conceded / game

1.70

63%

BTTS %

90%

31%

Clean sheet %

63%

Over 2.5 %

80%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Caerau (Ely)

Home (5)

—

Pontypridd Town

Away (5)

2.00

PPG

2.20

60%

Win %

60%

2.00

Goals / game

2.80

1.60

Conceded / game

1.80

56%

BTTS %

100%

44%

Clean sheet %

56%

Over 2.5 %

80%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Caerau (Ely)	Home	Away	Pontypridd Town	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	88%	89%	86%	90%	80%	100%
Over 1.5 Scored	56%	67%	43%	70%	60%	80%
Over 2.5 Scored	44%	44%	43%	50%	40%	60%
Failed To Score	13%	11%	14%	10%	20%	0%

Goals Conceded

	Caerau (Ely)	Home	Away	Pontypridd Town	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	69%	56%	86%	100%	100%	100%
Over 1.5 Conceded	50%	33%	71%	40%	40%	40%
Over 2.5 Conceded	25%	22%	29%	20%	20%	20%
Clean Sheets	31%	44%	14%	0%	0%	0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Caerau (Ely)	Pontypridd Town
Over 0.5	94%	100%
Over 1.5	88%	90%
Over 2.5	63%	80%
Over 3.5	50%	60%
Over 4.5	38%	50%
BTTS	63%	90%
BTTS & Win	25%	60%
BTTS & Draw	13%	20%
BTTS & Over 2.5	56%	80%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	6%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Caerau (Ely)	Pontypridd Town
Win 1st Half	33%	40%
Draw 1st Half	47%	30%
Loss 1st Half	20%	30%
Scored 1st Half	47%	60%
Conceded 1st Half	33%	50%
Win 2nd Half	47%	40%
Draw 2nd Half	20%	20%
Loss 2nd Half	33%	40%
Scored 2nd Half	67%	70%
Conceded 2nd Half	60%	70%
Over 0.5 HT	60%	80%
Over 1.5 HT	27%	60%

Recent Venue Form

Caerau (Ely) (H)

Afan Lido2–0

llanelli AFC3–0

Treowen Stars3–2

Swansea University1–5

Ynyshir Albions1–1

Barnstaple Town4–4

Pontypridd Town (A)

Baglan Dragons1–1

Caerphilly Athletic2–1

Swansea University4–4

Cardiff Draconians4–1

Treowen Stars3–2

Cardiff Draconians2–2

Head to Head · 6 matches

Caerau (Ely)

17%

Draws

33%

Pontypridd Town

50%

Over 1.5

3/6

33%

Over 2.5

2/6

33%

Over 3.5

2/6

33%

BTTS

2/6

18/04/26

Pontypridd Town

0–0

Caerau (Ely)

25/08/25

Caerau (Ely)

2–0

Pontypridd Town

04/02/25

Caerau (Ely)

0–1

Pontypridd Town

23/08/24

Pontypridd Town

1–0

Caerau (Ely)

25/01/20

Pontypridd Town

4–4

Caerau (Ely)

19/10/19

Pontypridd Town

3–1

Caerau (Ely)

FAW Championship

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	11	9	0	2	+16	27
1	Swansea University	9	6	3	0	+19	21
2	Newtown AFC	10	7	2	1	+15	23
2	Pontypridd Town	10	6	2	2	+7	20
3	Porthmadog	11	7	2	2	+7	23
3	Aberystwyth Town	9	6	1	2	+13	19
4	Mold Alexandra	11	6	3	2	+14	21
4	Caerau (Ely)	10	6	1	3	+4	19
5	Bala Town	11	6	1	4	+2	19
5	Baglan Dragons	11	5	2	4	0	17
6	Caersws	10	5	3	2	+7	18
6	Ynyshir Albions	9	4	4	1	+6	16
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	11	5	3	3	+6	18
7	Carmarthen Town	10	4	3	3	+1	15
8	Guilsfield	11	4	4	3	+2	16
8	Trethomas Bluebirds	10	3	4	3	+2	13
9	Buckley Town	11	4	3	4	+6	15
9	Treowen Stars	10	4	1	5	-2	13
10	Llanuwchllyn	11	4	2	5	-7	14
10	Afan Lido	11	3	3	5	-4	12
11	Rhyl	11	2	5	4	-2	11
11	Caerphilly Athletic	10	3	2	5	-7	11
12	Denbigh Town	11	3	1	7	-3	10
12	Pontardawe Town	9	3	1	5	-2	10
13	Cardiff Draconians	8	2	3	3	-3	9
13	Ruthin Town	11	2	3	6	-11	9
14	Newport City	8	2	2	4	+3	8
14	Holyhead Hotspur	10	2	2	6	-7	8
15	Llantwit Major	9	2	2	5	-13	8
15	Gresford Athletic	10	2	1	7	-16	7
16	llanelli AFC	11	0	2	9	-24	2
16	Penrhyncoch	11	0	1	10	-29	1

Team Insights

Caerau (Ely)

●Caerau (Ely) have won their last 5 matches.
●Caerau (Ely) have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
●Caerau (Ely) have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
●Caerau (Ely) have won their last 3 home matches.
●Caerau (Ely) have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
●Caerau (Ely) have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Caerau (Ely) have won their last 2 away matches.
●Caerau (Ely) have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Caerau (Ely) failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
●Caerau (Ely) have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
●Caerau (Ely) have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.

Pontypridd Town

●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Pontypridd Town have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Pontypridd Town have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
●Pontypridd Town have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
●Pontypridd Town have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.