Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major — FAW Championship
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Trethomas Bluebirds and Llantwit Major meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Trethomas Bluebirds have recorded 3 wins from 12 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 2.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 83% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Llantwit Major have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 0.89 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.30 for Trethomas Bluebirds and 1.66 for Llantwit Major. The models give Trethomas Bluebirds a 51% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Llantwit Major win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 76% and BTTS at 73%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Trethomas Bluebirds | Home | Away | Llantwit Major | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 67% | 100% | 67% | 50% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 67% | 33% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 17% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 33% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Trethomas Bluebirds | Home | Away | Llantwit Major | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 92% | 83% | 100% | 89% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 83% | 50% | 44% | 25% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 50% | 17% | 44% | 25% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 8% | 17% | 0% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Trethomas Bluebirds | Llantwit Major | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 58% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 42% | 33% |
| BTTS | 83% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Trethomas Bluebirds | Llantwit Major | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 56% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 83% | 89% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 11% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 83% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 4 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +16 | 27 | |
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 | |
| 2 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 23 | |
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 23 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 19 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 | |
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 | |
| 8 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 16 | |
| 8 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 15 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 | |
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 | |
| 11 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 | |
| 11 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 11 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 | |
| 13 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 8 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 8 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 | |
| 16 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -24 | 2 | |
| 16 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●62% of Trethomas Bluebirds's points have been earned away.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored 65% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Llantwit Major have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Llantwit Major failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Llantwit Major have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Llantwit Major failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●62% of Llantwit Major's goals have been scored away.
- ●76% of Llantwit Major's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Llantwit Major have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.