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Caerphilly Athletic vs llanelli AFC — FAW Championship

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Wales · FAW Championship · South - 15
Caerphilly Athletic
Caerphilly Athletic
11º · 1.10 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 42d 1h
vs
–
–
llanelli AFC
llanelli AFC
16º · 0.18 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 41d 6h
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Caerphilly Athletic and llanelli AFC meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 20 November 2026. Caerphilly Athletic have recorded 3 wins from 10 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. llanelli AFC have won 0% of their 12 matches, with 0.75 goals scored and 3.42 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 0%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.36 for Caerphilly Athletic and 1.32 for llanelli AFC. The models give Caerphilly Athletic a 61% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an llanelli AFC win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 66%.

Season Statistics

Caerphilly Athletic
—
llanelli AFC
11º
Position
16º
1.10
PPG
0.18
30%
Win %
0%
1.20
Goals / game
0.82
1.90
Conceded / game
3.00
60%
BTTS %
50%
20%
Clean sheet %
0%
80%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Caerphilly Athletic
Home (5)
—
llanelli AFC
Away (6)
1.40
PPG
0.00
40%
Win %
0%
1.60
Goals / game
0.67
1.60
Conceded / game
3.67
80%
BTTS %
29%
20%
Clean sheet %
0%
80%
Over 2.5 %
86%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Caerphilly AthleticHomeAwayllanelli AFCHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored70%80%60%50%80%29%
Over 1.5 Scored40%60%20%25%20%29%
Over 2.5 Scored10%20%0%0%0%0%
Failed To Score30%20%40%50%20%71%

Goals Conceded

Caerphilly AthleticHomeAwayllanelli AFCHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded80%80%80%100%100%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded70%60%80%92%80%100%
Over 2.5 Conceded40%20%60%58%20%86%
Clean Sheets20%20%20%0%0%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Caerphilly Athleticllanelli AFC
Over 0.590%100%
Over 1.580%100%
Over 2.580%75%
Over 3.540%50%
Over 4.520%33%
BTTS60%50%
BTTS & Win20%0%
BTTS & Draw10%17%
BTTS & Over 2.560%42%
BTTS No & Over 2.520%33%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Caerphilly Athleticllanelli AFC
Win 1st Half20%25%
Draw 1st Half30%0%
Loss 1st Half50%75%
Scored 1st Half40%42%
Conceded 1st Half60%83%
Win 2nd Half20%0%
Draw 2nd Half50%17%
Loss 2nd Half30%83%
Scored 2nd Half60%17%
Conceded 2nd Half70%92%
Over 0.5 HT80%100%
Over 1.5 HT60%50%

Recent Venue Form

Caerphilly Athletic (H)
WNewport City3–2
LPontypridd Town1–2
LAberystwyth Town2–3
WYnyshir Albions2–1
DCardiff Draconians0–0
LCaldicot Town1–3
llanelli AFC (A)
LYnyshir Albions2–6
LLlantwit Major0–2
LCaerau (Ely)0–3
LAberystwyth Town0–4
LCardiff Draconians2–4
LSwansea University0–3
FAW Championship
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Brickfield Rangers11902+1627
1Swansea University9630+1921
2Newtown AFC10721+1523
2Pontypridd Town10622+720
3Porthmadog11722+723
3Aberystwyth Town9612+1319
4Mold Alexandra11632+1421
4Caerau (Ely)10613+419
5Bala Town11614+219
5Baglan Dragons11524017
6Caersws10532+718
6Ynyshir Albions9441+616
7Bangor City 1876 FC11533+618
7Carmarthen Town10433+115
8Guilsfield11443+216
8Trethomas Bluebirds10343+213
9Buckley Town11434+615
9Treowen Stars10415-213
10Llanuwchllyn11425-714
10Afan Lido11335-412
11Rhyl11254-211
11Caerphilly Athletic10325-711
12Denbigh Town11317-310
12Pontardawe Town9315-210
13Cardiff Draconians8233-39
13Ruthin Town11236-119
14Newport City8224+38
14Holyhead Hotspur10226-78
15Llantwit Major9225-138
15Gresford Athletic10217-167
16llanelli AFC11029-242
16Penrhyncoch110110-291

Team Insights

Caerphilly Athletic
  • ●Caerphilly Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Caerphilly Athletic have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Caerphilly Athletic have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Caerphilly Athletic have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Caerphilly Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Caerphilly Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●67% of Caerphilly Athletic's goals have been scored at home.
llanelli AFC
  • ●llanelli AFC have failed to win in their last 11 matches.
  • ●llanelli AFC have lost their last 6 matches.
  • ●llanelli AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
  • ●llanelli AFC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 9 matches.
  • ●llanelli AFC have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●llanelli AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●llanelli AFC have lost their last 6 away matches.
  • ●llanelli AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●llanelli AFC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●llanelli AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●llanelli AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●llanelli AFC have lost 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●67% of llanelli AFC's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●llanelli AFC have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic
WHNewport City14º3–2
LASwansea University1º1–3
LHPontypridd Town2º1–2
LHAberystwyth Town3º2–3
DATrethomas Bluebirds8º2–2
WABaglan Dragons5º1–0
WHYnyshir Albions6º2–1
LATreowen Stars9º0–3
DHCardiff Draconians13º0–0
LAPontardawe Town12º0–3
llanelli AFCllanelli AFC
LAYnyshir Albions6º2–6
LHBaglan Dragons5º1–2
LALlantwit Major15º0–2
LACaerau (Ely)4º0–3
LHTreowen Stars9º0–2
LAAberystwyth Town3º0–4
DHCarmarthen Town7º2–2
LACardiff Draconians13º2–4
LASwansea University1º0–3
DHTrethomas Bluebirds8º1–1

Season Schedule

Caerphilly Athletic
WHNewport City3–2
LASwansea University1–3
LHPontypridd Town1–2
LHAberystwyth Town2–3
DATrethomas Bluebirds2–2
WABaglan Dragons1–0
–ACarmarthen Town23/10
–HCaerau (Ely)30/10
–AAfan Lido06/11
llanelli AFC
LAYnyshir Albions2–6
LHBaglan Dragons1–2
LALlantwit Major0–2
LACaerau (Ely)0–3
LHTreowen Stars0–2
LAAberystwyth Town0–4
–HAfan Lido23/10
–APontypridd Town30/10
–HPontardawe Town06/11

Top Scorers

Caerphilly Athletic
F. Skiverton4 ⚽
D. Perrett3 ⚽
E. Humphries2 ⚽
T. Jordan2 ⚽
L. Reed1 ⚽
llanelli AFC
C. Salter2 ⚽
K. Whitmore2 ⚽
E. Morgan1 ⚽
L. Bevan1 ⚽
N. Crisan1 ⚽

Cards Given

Caerphilly Athletic
llanelli AFC
J. Hall2 🟨