Pontypridd Town vs Carmarthen Town — FAW Championship
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Pontypridd Town and Carmarthen Town meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 20 November 2026. Pontypridd Town have recorded 6 wins from 10 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 2.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 90% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Carmarthen Town have won 38% of their 13 matches, with 2.23 goals scored and 2.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 100%, Over 2.5 at 100%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.77 for Pontypridd Town and 1.78 for Carmarthen Town. The models give Pontypridd Town a 42% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Carmarthen Town win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Pontypridd Town—
Carmarthen Town2º
Position
7º
2.00
PPG
1.50
60%
Win %
40%
2.40
Goals / game
2.20
1.70
Conceded / game
2.10
90%
BTTS %
100%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
80%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Pontypridd Town
Home (5)
—
Carmarthen Town
Away (4)
1.80
PPG
2.00
60%
Win %
50%
2.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.60
Conceded / game
1.50
80%
BTTS %
100%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
80%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Pontypridd Town | Home | Away | Carmarthen Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 80% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 70% | 60% | 80% | 85% | 78% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 50% | 40% | 60% | 23% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Pontypridd Town | Home | Away | Carmarthen Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 40% | 40% | 77% | 89% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 20% | 20% | 38% | 56% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pontypridd Town | Carmarthen Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 77% |
| Over 4.5 | 50% | 38% |
| BTTS | 90% | 100% |
| BTTS & Win | 60% | 38% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 80% | 100% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pontypridd Town | Carmarthen Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 77% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 15% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 46% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 69% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 69% |
Recent Venue Form
Pontypridd Town (H)W
Llantwit Major4–1
Llantwit Major4–1L
Aberystwyth Town1–3
Aberystwyth Town1–3L
Afan Lido0–1
Afan Lido0–1W
Trethomas Bluebirds2–1
Trethomas Bluebirds2–1W
Pontardawe Town3–2
Pontardawe Town3–2D
Caerau (Ely)0–0
Caerau (Ely)0–0Carmarthen Town (A)D
Cardiff Draconians2–2
Cardiff Draconians2–2W
Baglan Dragons2–1
Baglan Dragons2–1D
llanelli AFC2–2
llanelli AFC2–2W
Newport City2–1
Newport City2–1L
Treowen Stars1–4
Treowen Stars1–4WBaglan Dragons7–0
Baglan Dragons7–0Head to Head · 8 matches
5
Pontypridd Town
63%
1
Draws
13%
2
Carmarthen Town
25%
75%
Over 1.5
6/8
38%
Over 2.5
3/8
38%
Over 3.5
3/8
50%
BTTS
4/8
04/04/26Pontypridd Town
Carmarthen Town
0–1Pontypridd Town05/09/25Carmarthen Town
Pontypridd Town
3–1Carmarthen Town07/03/25Carmarthen Town
Pontypridd Town
1–3Carmarthen Town09/11/24Pontypridd Town
Carmarthen Town
0–1Pontypridd Town11/11/23Pontypridd Town
Carmarthen Town
4–2Pontypridd Town06/08/22Carmarthen Town
Pontypridd Town
2–0Carmarthen Town30/04/22Pontypridd Town
Carmarthen Town
0–2Pontypridd Town24/07/21Carmarthen Town
Pontypridd Town
1–1Carmarthen Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +16 | 27 |
| 1 |  Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 23 |
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 | Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 15 |
| 9 | Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 |  Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 |  Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -24 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Pontypridd Town- ●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Carmarthen Town- ●Carmarthen Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Carmarthen Town have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●64% of Carmarthen Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●71% of Carmarthen Town's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Pontypridd TownDABaglan Dragons1–1
Baglan Dragons1–1WHLlantwit Major4–1
Llantwit Major4–1LHAberystwyth Town1–3
Aberystwyth Town1–3WACaerphilly Athletic2–1
Caerphilly Athletic2–1LHAfan Lido0–1
Afan Lido0–1DASwansea University4–4
Swansea University4–4–ANewport City23/10
Newport City23/10–Hllanelli AFC30/10
llanelli AFC30/10–ACaerau (Ely)06/11
Caerau (Ely)06/11Carmarthen TownDACardiff Draconians2–2
Cardiff Draconians2–2LHLlantwit Major1–2
Llantwit Major1–2WABaglan Dragons2–1
Baglan Dragons2–1DHYnyshir Albions2–2
Ynyshir Albions2–2LHTrethomas Bluebirds2–3
Trethomas Bluebirds2–3DAllanelli AFC2–2
llanelli AFC2–2–HCaerphilly Athletic23/10
Caerphilly Athletic23/10–ASwansea University28/10
Swansea University28/10–APontardawe Town31/10
Pontardawe Town31/10Top Scorers
Pontypridd TownE. Edwards7 ⚽
E. Phipps2 ⚽
L. Angel2 ⚽
J. Bevan2 ⚽
J. Stephens2 ⚽
K. Rowe2 ⚽
Carmarthen Town7 ⚽
L. Reed6 ⚽
L. Thomas4 ⚽
H. Jones3 ⚽
T. Aylward2 ⚽
J. Rickard1 ⚽
Cards Given
Pontypridd TownL. Angel2 🟨
Carmarthen TownL. Thomas1 🟨
R. Jenkins1 🟨