Cardiff Draconians vs Aberystwyth Town — FAW Championship
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Cardiff Draconians and Aberystwyth Town meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Cardiff Draconians have recorded 2 wins from 8 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Aberystwyth Town have won 67% of their 9 matches, with 2.44 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.78 for Cardiff Draconians and 2.17 for Aberystwyth Town. The models give Cardiff Draconians a 33% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Aberystwyth Town win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 73%.
Season Statistics
Cardiff Draconians—
Aberystwyth Town13º
Position
3º
1.13
PPG
2.11
25%
Win %
67%
1.38
Goals / game
2.44
1.75
Conceded / game
1.00
75%
BTTS %
56%
13%
Clean sheet %
33%
63%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Cardiff Draconians
Home (6)
—
Aberystwyth Town
Away (3)
1.33
PPG
3.00
33%
Win %
100%
1.83
Goals / game
3.67
2.17
Conceded / game
1.67
100%
BTTS %
100%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
83%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Cardiff Draconians | Home | Away | Aberystwyth Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 100% | 0% | 78% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 50% | 0% | 56% | 33% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 17% | 0% | 56% | 33% | 100% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 0% | 100% | 22% | 33% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Cardiff Draconians | Home | Away | Aberystwyth Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 100% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 67% | 0% | 33% | 17% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cardiff Draconians | Aberystwyth Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 33% |
| BTTS | 75% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 44% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cardiff Draconians | Aberystwyth Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 56% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 11% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Cardiff Draconians (H)D
Carmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2D
Newport City1–1
Newport City1–1L
Caerau (Ely)1–3
Caerau (Ely)1–3W
Baglan Dragons2–1
Baglan Dragons2–1W
llanelli AFC4–2
llanelli AFC4–2L
Pontypridd Town1–4
Pontypridd Town1–4Aberystwyth Town (A)WPontypridd Town3–1
Pontypridd Town3–1W
Caerphilly Athletic3–2
Caerphilly Athletic3–2W
Afan Lido5–2
Afan Lido5–2D
Ynyshir Albions0–0
Ynyshir Albions0–0L
Cwmbran Celtic1–3
Cwmbran Celtic1–3L
Cambrian & Clydach0–2
Cambrian & Clydach0–2Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Cardiff Draconians
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Aberystwyth Town
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
100%
Over 3.5
2/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
24/01/26Cardiff Draconians
Aberystwyth Town
3–2Cardiff Draconians06/09/25Aberystwyth Town
Cardiff Draconians
3–1Aberystwyth Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +16 | 27 |
| 1 |  Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 23 |
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 | Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 15 |
| 9 |  Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 |  Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Caerphilly Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 |  Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -24 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Cardiff Draconians- ●Cardiff Draconians have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●100% of Cardiff Draconians's goals have been scored at home.
- ●93% of Cardiff Draconians's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●89% of Cardiff Draconians's points have been earned at home.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Aberystwyth Town- ●Aberystwyth Town have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Aberystwyth Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Aberystwyth Town have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
Season Schedule
Cardiff DraconiansDHCarmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2DHNewport City1–1
Newport City1–1LHCaerau (Ely)1–3
Caerau (Ely)1–3WHBaglan Dragons2–1
Baglan Dragons2–1WHllanelli AFC4–2
llanelli AFC4–2LHPontypridd Town1–4
Pontypridd Town1–4–ATrethomas Bluebirds23/10
Trethomas Bluebirds23/10–HAfan Lido31/10
Afan Lido31/10–ASwansea University07/11
Swansea University07/11Aberystwyth TownLHCaerau (Ely)0–1
Caerau (Ely)0–1WAPontypridd Town3–1
Pontypridd Town3–1DHSwansea University0–0
Swansea University0–0WACaerphilly Athletic3–2
Caerphilly Athletic3–2WHllanelli AFC4–0
llanelli AFC4–0WHPontardawe Town1–0
Pontardawe Town1–0–ABaglan Dragons24/10
Baglan Dragons24/10–HTrethomas Bluebirds31/10
Trethomas Bluebirds31/10–ACarmarthen Town07/11
Carmarthen Town07/11Top Scorers
Cardiff DraconiansL. Gullick4 ⚽
S. Cawley2 ⚽
D. Amin1 ⚽
C. Egan1 ⚽
K. Saunders1 ⚽
H. Samson1 ⚽
Aberystwyth TownA. Williams6 ⚽
R. Hughes3 ⚽
L. Walsh2 ⚽
T. Evans2 ⚽
D. Browne2 ⚽
D. Owen2 ⚽
Cards Given
Cardiff DraconiansC. Indjai2 🟨
E. Kazadi2 🟨
C. Mace1 🟨
D. Amin1 🟨
Aberystwyth TownL. Walsh2 🟨