Treowen Stars vs Afan Lido — FAW Championship
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Treowen Stars and Afan Lido meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Treowen Stars have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.90 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 80% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Afan Lido have won 25% of their 12 matches, with 1.58 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.91 for Treowen Stars and 1.48 for Afan Lido. The models give Treowen Stars a 48% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Afan Lido win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Treowen Stars | Home | Away | Afan Lido | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 75% | 67% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 40% | 80% | 33% | 50% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Treowen Stars | Home | Away | Afan Lido | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 80% | 80% | 58% | 33% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 60% | 60% | 58% | 33% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 40% | 40% | 40% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% | 42% | 67% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Treowen Stars | Afan Lido | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 33% |
| BTTS | 80% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 70% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Treowen Stars | Afan Lido | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 67% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 90% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +16 | 27 | |
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 | |
| 2 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 23 | |
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 23 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 19 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 | |
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 | |
| 8 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 16 | |
| 8 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 15 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 | |
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 | |
| 11 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 | |
| 11 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 11 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 | |
| 13 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 8 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 8 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 | |
| 16 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -24 | 2 | |
| 16 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Treowen Stars have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Treowen Stars failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Treowen Stars failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Treowen Stars's points have been earned away.
- ●Treowen Stars have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Afan Lido have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Afan Lido have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Afan Lido have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Afan Lido failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Afan Lido have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●72% of Afan Lido's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Afan Lido's points have been earned at home.