Ynyshir Albions vs Llantwit Major — FAW Championship
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Ynyshir Albions and Llantwit Major meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Ynyshir Albions have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Llantwit Major have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 0.89 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.32 for Ynyshir Albions and 1.36 for Llantwit Major. The models give Ynyshir Albions a 56% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Llantwit Major win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Ynyshir Albions—
Llantwit Major6º
Position
15º
1.78
PPG
0.89
44%
Win %
22%
1.67
Goals / game
0.89
1.00
Conceded / game
2.33
67%
BTTS %
56%
33%
Clean sheet %
11%
44%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Ynyshir Albions
Home (3)
—
Llantwit Major
Away (5)
2.33
PPG
0.80
67%
Win %
20%
2.67
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
3.20
67%
BTTS %
80%
33%
Clean sheet %
0%
33%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Ynyshir Albions | Home | Away | Llantwit Major | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 100% | 83% | 67% | 50% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 33% | 33% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 50% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Ynyshir Albions | Home | Away | Llantwit Major | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 67% | 67% | 89% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 33% | 33% | 44% | 25% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 44% | 25% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 33% | 33% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ynyshir Albions | Llantwit Major | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 33% |
| BTTS | 67% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ynyshir Albions | Llantwit Major | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 78% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 56% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 89% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 11% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 56% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 78% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 44% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Ynyshir Albions (H)W
llanelli AFC6–2
llanelli AFC6–2D
Trethomas Bluebirds1–1
Trethomas Bluebirds1–1W
Cardiff Draconians1–0
Cardiff Draconians1–0D
Aberystwyth Town0–0
Aberystwyth Town0–0DTrethomas Bluebirds2–2
Trethomas Bluebirds2–2W
Newport City4–0
Newport City4–0Llantwit Major (A)L
Pontypridd Town1–4
Pontypridd Town1–4W
Carmarthen Town2–1
Carmarthen Town2–1D
Treowen Stars1–1
Treowen Stars1–1LAberystwyth Town1–5
Aberystwyth Town1–5L
Afan Lido0–5
Afan Lido0–5DAberystwyth Town2–2
Aberystwyth Town2–2Head to Head · 4 matches
1
Ynyshir Albions
25%
0
Draws
0%
3
Llantwit Major
75%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
100%
Over 2.5
4/4
75%
Over 3.5
3/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
24/02/26Llantwit Major
Ynyshir Albions
2–3Llantwit Major25/10/25Ynyshir Albions
Llantwit Major
2–1Ynyshir Albions15/04/23Llantwit Major
Ynyshir Albions
3–1Llantwit Major01/10/22Ynyshir Albions
Llantwit Major
4–0Ynyshir Albions| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +16 | 27 |
| 1 |  Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 23 |
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 |  Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 | Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 15 |
| 9 | Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 |  Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 |  Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -24 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Ynyshir Albions- ●Ynyshir Albions have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Ynyshir Albions's goals conceded were conceded away.
Llantwit Major- ●Llantwit Major have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Llantwit Major failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Llantwit Major have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Llantwit Major failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●62% of Llantwit Major's goals have been scored away.
- ●76% of Llantwit Major's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Llantwit Major have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Ynyshir AlbionsWHllanelli AFC6–2
llanelli AFC6–2WATreowen Stars2–1
Treowen Stars2–1DHTrethomas Bluebirds1–1
Trethomas Bluebirds1–1DACarmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2DAAfan Lido0–0
Afan Lido0–0WANewport City1–0
Newport City1–0–APontardawe Town24/10
Pontardawe Town24/10–HSwansea University31/10
Swansea University31/10–ABaglan Dragons06/11
Baglan Dragons06/11Llantwit MajorDHPontardawe Town1–1
Pontardawe Town1–1LAPontypridd Town1–4
Pontypridd Town1–4WACarmarthen Town2–1
Carmarthen Town2–1WHllanelli AFC2–0
llanelli AFC2–0DATreowen Stars1–1
Treowen Stars1–1LAAberystwyth Town1–5
Aberystwyth Town1–5–ACaerau (Ely)23/10
Caerau (Ely)23/10–HNewport City31/10
Newport City31/10–ATrethomas Bluebirds07/11
Trethomas Bluebirds07/11Top Scorers
Ynyshir AlbionsJ. Haig4 ⚽
D. Facey4 ⚽
C. Morgan1 ⚽
J. Griffiths1 ⚽
J. Norton1 ⚽
S. Jones1 ⚽
Llantwit MajorA. Roscrow3 ⚽
T. M. Stokes2 ⚽
T. Tweedy2 ⚽
C. Goldsworthy1 ⚽
Cards Given
Ynyshir AlbionsJ. Norton2 🟨
Llantwit Major