llanelli AFC vs Cardiff Draconians — FAW Championship
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llanelli AFC and Cardiff Draconians meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 27 November 2026. llanelli AFC have recorded 0 wins from 13 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 0.69 goals scored and 3.62 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 77%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Cardiff Draconians have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 1.56 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 78%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.32 for llanelli AFC and 1.61 for Cardiff Draconians. The models give llanelli AFC a 32% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Cardiff Draconians win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
llanelli AFC—
Cardiff Draconians16º
Position
13º
0.18
PPG
1.13
0%
Win %
25%
0.82
Goals / game
1.38
3.00
Conceded / game
1.75
46%
BTTS %
78%
0%
Clean sheet %
11%
77%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
llanelli AFC
Home (5)
—
Cardiff Draconians
Away (2)
0.40
PPG
0.50
0%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
0.00
2.20
Conceded / game
0.50
80%
BTTS %
33%
0%
Clean sheet %
33%
60%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| llanelli AFC | Home | Away | Cardiff Draconians | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 46% | 80% | 25% | 78% | 100% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 23% | 20% | 25% | 44% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 17% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 54% | 20% | 75% | 22% | 0% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| llanelli AFC | Home | Away | Cardiff Draconians | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 89% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 92% | 80% | 100% | 44% | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 62% | 20% | 88% | 22% | 33% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| llanelli AFC | Cardiff Draconians | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 54% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 22% |
| BTTS | 46% | 78% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 38% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| llanelli AFC | Cardiff Draconians | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 0% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 77% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 85% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 15% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 85% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 15% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 92% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 54% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
llanelli AFC (H)L
Baglan Dragons1–2
Baglan Dragons1–2L
Treowen Stars0–2
Treowen Stars0–2D
Carmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2D
Trethomas Bluebirds1–1
Trethomas Bluebirds1–1L
Newport City1–4
Newport City1–4L
Bala Town0–5
Bala Town0–5Cardiff Draconians (A)W
Radnor Valley3–1
Radnor Valley3–1D
Caerphilly Athletic0–0
Caerphilly Athletic0–0L
Ynyshir Albions0–1
Ynyshir Albions0–1DTrethomas Bluebirds4–4
Trethomas Bluebirds4–4L
Ammanford AFC1–2
Ammanford AFC1–2L
Trefelin1–3
Trefelin1–3Head to Head · 1 matches
0
llanelli AFC
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Cardiff Draconians
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
22/08/26llanelli AFC
Cardiff Draconians
4–2llanelli AFC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +16 | 27 |
| 1 |  Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 23 |
| 2 |  Pontypridd Town | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 |  Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 |  Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 | Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 | Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 15 |
| 9 | Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 10 |  Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 |  Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Caerphilly Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 |  Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -24 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
llanelli AFC- ●llanelli AFC have failed to win in their last 11 matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have lost their last 6 matches.
- ●llanelli AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●llanelli AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have lost their last 6 away matches.
- ●llanelli AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●llanelli AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●llanelli AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have lost 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of llanelli AFC's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●llanelli AFC have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Cardiff Draconians- ●Cardiff Draconians have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●100% of Cardiff Draconians's goals have been scored at home.
- ●93% of Cardiff Draconians's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●89% of Cardiff Draconians's points have been earned at home.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
llanelli AFCLAYnyshir Albions2–6
Ynyshir Albions2–6LHBaglan Dragons1–2
Baglan Dragons1–2LALlantwit Major0–2
Llantwit Major0–2LACaerau (Ely)0–3
Caerau (Ely)0–3LHTreowen Stars0–2
Treowen Stars0–2LAAberystwyth Town0–4
Aberystwyth Town0–4–HAfan Lido23/10
Afan Lido23/10–APontypridd Town30/10
Pontypridd Town30/10–HPontardawe Town06/11
Pontardawe Town06/11Cardiff DraconiansDHCarmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2DHNewport City1–1
Newport City1–1LHCaerau (Ely)1–3
Caerau (Ely)1–3WHBaglan Dragons2–1
Baglan Dragons2–1WHllanelli AFC4–2
llanelli AFC4–2LHPontypridd Town1–4
Pontypridd Town1–4–ATrethomas Bluebirds23/10
Trethomas Bluebirds23/10–HAfan Lido31/10
Afan Lido31/10–ASwansea University07/11
Swansea University07/11Top Scorers
llanelli AFCC. Salter2 ⚽
K. Whitmore2 ⚽
E. Morgan1 ⚽
L. Bevan1 ⚽
N. Crisan1 ⚽
Cardiff DraconiansL. Gullick4 ⚽
S. Cawley2 ⚽
D. Amin1 ⚽
C. Egan1 ⚽
K. Saunders1 ⚽
H. Samson1 ⚽
Cards Given
llanelli AFCJ. Hall2 🟨
Cardiff DraconiansC. Indjai2 🟨
E. Kazadi2 🟨
C. Mace1 🟨
D. Amin1 🟨