Llantwit Major vs Treowen Stars — FAW Championship
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Llantwit Major and Treowen Stars meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Llantwit Major have recorded 2 wins from 9 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 0.89 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Treowen Stars have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 1.90 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 80%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.71 for Llantwit Major and 1.70 for Treowen Stars. The models give Llantwit Major a 40% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Treowen Stars win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Llantwit Major—
Treowen Stars15º
Position
9º
0.89
PPG
1.30
22%
Win %
40%
0.89
Goals / game
1.90
2.33
Conceded / game
2.10
56%
BTTS %
80%
11%
Clean sheet %
20%
56%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Llantwit Major
Home (4)
—
Treowen Stars
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
1.80
25%
Win %
60%
0.75
Goals / game
2.20
1.25
Conceded / game
2.40
25%
BTTS %
80%
25%
Clean sheet %
20%
25%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Llantwit Major | Home | Away | Treowen Stars | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 50% | 80% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 25% | 20% | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 50% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Llantwit Major | Home | Away | Treowen Stars | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 75% | 100% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 25% | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 44% | 25% | 60% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 25% | 0% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Llantwit Major | Treowen Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 40% |
| BTTS | 56% | 80% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 70% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Llantwit Major | Treowen Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 56% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 89% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 11% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 70% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 67% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Llantwit Major (H)D
Pontardawe Town1–1
Pontardawe Town1–1W
llanelli AFC2–0
llanelli AFC2–0L
Baglan Dragons0–1
Baglan Dragons0–1L
Swansea University0–3
Swansea University0–3L
Cambrian & Clydach1–3
Cambrian & Clydach1–3L
Caerau (Ely)1–4
Caerau (Ely)1–4Treowen Stars (A)LPontardawe Town1–6
Pontardawe Town1–6Wllanelli AFC2–0
llanelli AFC2–0LCaerau (Ely)2–3
Caerau (Ely)2–3W
Carmarthen Town4–2
Carmarthen Town4–2W
Aberystwyth Town2–1
Aberystwyth Town2–1L
Trefelin0–6
Trefelin0–6Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Llantwit Major
33%
2
Draws
67%
0
Treowen Stars
0%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
100%
BTTS
3/3
12/09/26Llantwit Major
Treowen Stars
1–1Llantwit Major03/03/26Treowen Stars
Llantwit Major
3–2Treowen Stars01/11/25Llantwit Major
Treowen Stars
1–1Llantwit Major| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +16 | 27 |
| 1 | Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 23 |
| 2 |  Pontypridd Town | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 | Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 15 |
| 9 | Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 10 |  Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 |  Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 |  Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 |  Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 |  Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -24 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Llantwit Major- ●Llantwit Major have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Llantwit Major failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Llantwit Major have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Llantwit Major failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●62% of Llantwit Major's goals have been scored away.
- ●76% of Llantwit Major's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Llantwit Major have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Treowen Stars- ●Treowen Stars have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Treowen Stars failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Treowen Stars failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Treowen Stars's points have been earned away.
- ●Treowen Stars have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Llantwit MajorDHPontardawe Town1–1
Pontardawe Town1–1LAPontypridd Town1–4
Pontypridd Town1–4WACarmarthen Town2–1
Carmarthen Town2–1WHllanelli AFC2–0
llanelli AFC2–0DATreowen Stars1–1
Treowen Stars1–1LAAberystwyth Town1–5
Aberystwyth Town1–5–ACaerau (Ely)23/10
Caerau (Ely)23/10–HNewport City31/10
Newport City31/10–ATrethomas Bluebirds07/11
Trethomas Bluebirds07/11Treowen StarsLHTrethomas Bluebirds1–3
Trethomas Bluebirds1–3LHYnyshir Albions1–2
Ynyshir Albions1–2LAPontardawe Town1–6
Pontardawe Town1–6DHLlantwit Major1–1
Llantwit Major1–1WAllanelli AFC2–0
llanelli AFC2–0LACaerau (Ely)2–3
Caerau (Ely)2–3–ASwansea University24/10
Swansea University24/10–ABaglan Dragons30/10
Baglan Dragons30/10–ANewport City06/11
Newport City06/11Top Scorers
Llantwit MajorA. Roscrow3 ⚽
T. M. Stokes2 ⚽
T. Tweedy2 ⚽
C. Goldsworthy1 ⚽
Treowen StarsT. Hillman5 ⚽
C. Davies3 ⚽
T. Gameson3 ⚽
L. Oliver2 ⚽
M. Evans2 ⚽
J. Foxwell1 ⚽
Cards Given
Llantwit MajorTreowen StarsG. Meacham1 🟨
J. Evans1 🟨