Trethomas Bluebirds vs Ynyshir Albions — FAW Championship
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Trethomas Bluebirds and Ynyshir Albions meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Trethomas Bluebirds have recorded 3 wins from 13 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 1.62 goals scored and 2.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 77% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 77%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Ynyshir Albions have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Trethomas Bluebirds and 1.65 for Ynyshir Albions. The models give Trethomas Bluebirds a 41% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Ynyshir Albions win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Trethomas Bluebirds—
Ynyshir Albions8º
Position
6º
1.30
PPG
1.78
30%
Win %
44%
2.00
Goals / game
1.67
1.80
Conceded / game
1.00
77%
BTTS %
60%
8%
Clean sheet %
30%
77%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Trethomas Bluebirds
Home (5)
—
Ynyshir Albions
Away (6)
1.00
PPG
1.50
20%
Win %
33%
2.20
Goals / game
1.17
2.20
Conceded / game
1.00
67%
BTTS %
57%
17%
Clean sheet %
29%
83%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Trethomas Bluebirds | Home | Away | Ynyshir Albions | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 67% | 86% | 80% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 67% | 29% | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 17% | 29% | 10% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 33% | 14% | 20% | 0% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Trethomas Bluebirds | Home | Away | Ynyshir Albions | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 92% | 83% | 100% | 70% | 67% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 69% | 83% | 57% | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 50% | 29% | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 8% | 17% | 0% | 30% | 33% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Trethomas Bluebirds | Ynyshir Albions | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 62% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 46% | 10% |
| BTTS | 77% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 62% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Trethomas Bluebirds | Ynyshir Albions | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 10% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 70% |
| Loss 1st Half | 46% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 85% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 10% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 92% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 85% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Trethomas Bluebirds (H)L
Pontardawe Town2–3
Pontardawe Town2–3D
Caerphilly Athletic2–2
Caerphilly Athletic2–2W
Afan Lido5–2
Afan Lido5–2L
Caerau (Ely)2–4
Caerau (Ely)2–4D
Baglan Dragons0–0
Baglan Dragons0–0L
Penybont0–3
Penybont0–3Ynyshir Albions (A)L
Cardiff MET0–4
Cardiff MET0–4W
Treowen Stars2–1
Treowen Stars2–1D
Carmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2DAfan Lido0–0
Afan Lido0–0W
Newport City1–0
Newport City1–0LCaerphilly Athletic1–2
Caerphilly Athletic1–2Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Trethomas Bluebirds
33%
2
Draws
67%
0
Ynyshir Albions
0%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
67%
Over 3.5
2/3
100%
BTTS
3/3
26/09/26Trethomas Bluebirds
Ynyshir Albions
1–1Trethomas Bluebirds28/03/26Trethomas Bluebirds
Ynyshir Albions
2–2Trethomas Bluebirds13/09/25Ynyshir Albions
Trethomas Bluebirds
4–1Ynyshir Albions| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +16 | 27 |
| 1 |  Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 23 |
| 2 |  Pontypridd Town | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 |  Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 | Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 15 |
| 9 | Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 |  Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Caerphilly Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 |  Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 |  Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -24 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
Trethomas Bluebirds- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●62% of Trethomas Bluebirds's points have been earned away.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored 65% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.
Ynyshir Albions- ●Ynyshir Albions have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Ynyshir Albions's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Trethomas BluebirdsWATreowen Stars3–1
Treowen Stars3–1LHPontardawe Town2–3
Pontardawe Town2–3DAYnyshir Albions1–1
Ynyshir Albions1–1DHCaerphilly Athletic2–2
Caerphilly Athletic2–2WACarmarthen Town3–2
Carmarthen Town3–2WHAfan Lido5–2
Afan Lido5–2–HCardiff Draconians23/10
Cardiff Draconians23/10–AAberystwyth Town31/10
Aberystwyth Town31/10–HLlantwit Major07/11
Llantwit Major07/11Ynyshir AlbionsWHllanelli AFC6–2
llanelli AFC6–2WATreowen Stars2–1
Treowen Stars2–1DHTrethomas Bluebirds1–1
Trethomas Bluebirds1–1DACarmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2DAAfan Lido0–0
Afan Lido0–0WANewport City1–0
Newport City1–0–APontardawe Town24/10
Pontardawe Town24/10–HSwansea University31/10
Swansea University31/10–ABaglan Dragons06/11
Baglan Dragons06/11Top Scorers
Trethomas BluebirdsN. Ferreira5 ⚽
J. Thomas4 ⚽
J. Hood1 ⚽
L. C. Jeanne1 ⚽
L. Rees1 ⚽
O. Rees1 ⚽
Ynyshir AlbionsJ. Haig4 ⚽
D. Facey4 ⚽
C. Morgan1 ⚽
J. Griffiths1 ⚽
J. Norton1 ⚽
S. Jones1 ⚽
Cards Given
Trethomas BluebirdsYnyshir AlbionsJ. Norton2 🟨