Wales · FAW Championship · South - 16

Aberystwyth Town

3º · 2.11 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 49d 1h

–

Pontypridd Town

2º · 2.00 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 49d 1h

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Aberystwyth Town and Pontypridd Town meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Aberystwyth Town have recorded 6 wins from 9 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.44 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Pontypridd Town have won 60% of their 10 matches, with 2.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 90%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 0%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.76 for Aberystwyth Town and 1.62 for Pontypridd Town. The models give Aberystwyth Town a 44% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Pontypridd Town win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 67%.

Season Statistics

Aberystwyth Town

—

Pontypridd Town

3º

Position

2º

2.11

PPG

2.00

67%

Win %

60%

2.44

Goals / game

2.40

1.00

Conceded / game

1.70

56%

BTTS %

90%

33%

Clean sheet %

67%

Over 2.5 %

80%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Aberystwyth Town

Home (6)

—

Pontypridd Town

Away (5)

1.67

PPG

2.20

50%

Win %

60%

1.83

Goals / game

2.80

0.67

Conceded / game

1.80

33%

BTTS %

100%

50%

Clean sheet %

50%

Over 2.5 %

80%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Aberystwyth Town	Home	Away	Pontypridd Town	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	78%	67%	100%	90%	80%	100%
Over 1.5 Scored	56%	33%	100%	70%	60%	80%
Over 2.5 Scored	56%	33%	100%	50%	40%	60%
Failed To Score	22%	33%	0%	10%	20%	0%

Goals Conceded

	Aberystwyth Town	Home	Away	Pontypridd Town	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	67%	50%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Over 1.5 Conceded	33%	17%	67%	40%	40%	40%
Over 2.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	20%	20%	20%
Clean Sheets	33%	50%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Aberystwyth Town	Pontypridd Town
Over 0.5	89%	100%
Over 1.5	67%	90%
Over 2.5	67%	80%
Over 3.5	56%	60%
Over 4.5	33%	50%
BTTS	56%	90%
BTTS & Win	44%	60%
BTTS & Draw	0%	20%
BTTS & Over 2.5	56%	80%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	11%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Aberystwyth Town	Pontypridd Town
Win 1st Half	56%	40%
Draw 1st Half	44%	30%
Loss 1st Half	0%	30%
Scored 1st Half	67%	60%
Conceded 1st Half	11%	50%
Win 2nd Half	44%	40%
Draw 2nd Half	22%	20%
Loss 2nd Half	33%	40%
Scored 2nd Half	67%	70%
Conceded 2nd Half	67%	70%
Over 0.5 HT	67%	80%
Over 1.5 HT	33%	60%

Recent Venue Form

Aberystwyth Town (H)

Caerau (Ely)0–1

Swansea University0–0

llanelli AFC4–0

Pontardawe Town1–0

Llantwit Major5–1

Treowen Stars1–2

Pontypridd Town (A)

Baglan Dragons1–1

Caerphilly Athletic2–1

Swansea University4–4

Cardiff Draconians4–1

Treowen Stars3–2

Cardiff Draconians2–2

Head to Head · 12 matches

Aberystwyth Town

33%

Draws

33%

Pontypridd Town

33%

58%

Over 1.5

7/12

42%

Over 2.5

5/12

17%

Over 3.5

2/12

42%

BTTS

5/12

03/10/26

Pontypridd Town

1–3

Aberystwyth Town

26/12/25

Pontypridd Town

0–1

Aberystwyth Town

16/08/25

Aberystwyth Town

0–0

Pontypridd Town

21/04/24

Aberystwyth Town

3–0

Pontypridd Town

09/04/24

Pontypridd Town

0–0

Aberystwyth Town

26/12/23

Pontypridd Town

2–0

Aberystwyth Town

19/09/23

Aberystwyth Town

0–1

Pontypridd Town

29/08/23

Aberystwyth Town

0–1

Pontypridd Town

01/04/23

Pontypridd Town

1–1

Aberystwyth Town

18/02/23

Aberystwyth Town

3–3

Pontypridd Town

18/11/22

Aberystwyth Town

2–1

Pontypridd Town

27/08/22

Pontypridd Town

2–1

Aberystwyth Town

FAW Championship

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	11	9	0	2	+16	27
1	Swansea University	9	6	3	0	+19	21
2	Newtown AFC	10	7	2	1	+15	23
2	Pontypridd Town	10	6	2	2	+7	20
3	Porthmadog	11	7	2	2	+7	23
3	Aberystwyth Town	9	6	1	2	+13	19
4	Mold Alexandra	11	6	3	2	+14	21
4	Caerau (Ely)	10	6	1	3	+4	19
5	Bala Town	11	6	1	4	+2	19
5	Baglan Dragons	11	5	2	4	0	17
6	Caersws	10	5	3	2	+7	18
6	Ynyshir Albions	9	4	4	1	+6	16
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	11	5	3	3	+6	18
7	Carmarthen Town	10	4	3	3	+1	15
8	Guilsfield	11	4	4	3	+2	16
8	Trethomas Bluebirds	10	3	4	3	+2	13
9	Buckley Town	11	4	3	4	+6	15
9	Treowen Stars	10	4	1	5	-2	13
10	Llanuwchllyn	11	4	2	5	-7	14
10	Afan Lido	11	3	3	5	-4	12
11	Rhyl	11	2	5	4	-2	11
11	Caerphilly Athletic	10	3	2	5	-7	11
12	Denbigh Town	11	3	1	7	-3	10
12	Pontardawe Town	9	3	1	5	-2	10
13	Cardiff Draconians	8	2	3	3	-3	9
13	Ruthin Town	11	2	3	6	-11	9
14	Newport City	8	2	2	4	+3	8
14	Holyhead Hotspur	10	2	2	6	-7	8
15	Llantwit Major	9	2	2	5	-13	8
15	Gresford Athletic	10	2	1	7	-16	7
16	llanelli AFC	11	0	2	9	-24	2
16	Penrhyncoch	11	0	1	10	-29	1

Team Insights

Aberystwyth Town

●Aberystwyth Town have won their last 3 away matches.
●Aberystwyth Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
●Aberystwyth Town have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.

Pontypridd Town

●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Pontypridd Town have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Pontypridd Town have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
●Pontypridd Town have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
●Pontypridd Town have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.