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Pontypridd Town vs Baglan Dragons — FAW Championship

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Wales · FAW Championship · South - 17
Pontypridd Town
Pontypridd Town
2º · 1.91 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 42d 1h
vs
–
–
Baglan Dragons
Baglan Dragons
5º · 1.55 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 48d 6h
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Pontypridd Town and Baglan Dragons meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 4 December 2026. Pontypridd Town have recorded 6 wins from 11 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 2.55 goals scored and 1.91 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 91% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 82%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Baglan Dragons have won 50% of their 12 matches, with 1.25 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 25%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Pontypridd Town and 1.45 for Baglan Dragons. The models give Pontypridd Town a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Baglan Dragons win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.

Season Statistics

Pontypridd Town
—
Baglan Dragons
2º
Position
5º
1.91
PPG
1.55
55%
Win %
45%
2.55
Goals / game
1.09
1.91
Conceded / game
1.09
91%
BTTS %
58%
0%
Clean sheet %
25%
82%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Pontypridd Town
Home (5)
—
Baglan Dragons
Away (5)
1.80
PPG
2.00
60%
Win %
60%
2.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.60
Conceded / game
0.60
80%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
50%
80%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Pontypridd TownHomeAwayBaglan DragonsHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored91%80%100%75%67%83%
Over 1.5 Scored73%60%83%33%33%33%
Over 2.5 Scored55%40%67%17%17%17%
Failed To Score9%20%0%25%33%17%

Goals Conceded

Pontypridd TownHomeAwayBaglan DragonsHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded100%100%100%75%100%50%
Over 1.5 Conceded45%40%50%25%33%17%
Over 2.5 Conceded27%20%33%8%17%0%
Clean Sheets0%0%0%25%0%50%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Pontypridd TownBaglan Dragons
Over 0.5100%92%
Over 1.591%67%
Over 2.582%58%
Over 3.564%17%
Over 4.555%0%
BTTS91%58%
BTTS & Win55%33%
BTTS & Draw27%8%
BTTS & Over 2.582%50%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Pontypridd TownBaglan Dragons
Win 1st Half45%33%
Draw 1st Half27%42%
Loss 1st Half27%25%
Scored 1st Half64%42%
Conceded 1st Half45%50%
Win 2nd Half36%25%
Draw 2nd Half18%42%
Loss 2nd Half45%33%
Scored 2nd Half73%42%
Conceded 2nd Half73%50%
Over 0.5 HT82%67%
Over 1.5 HT64%42%

Recent Venue Form

Pontypridd Town (H)
WLlantwit Major4–1
LAberystwyth Town1–3
LAfan Lido0–1
WTrethomas Bluebirds2–1
WPontardawe Town3–2
DCaerau (Ely)0–0
Baglan Dragons (A)
WLlantwit Fardre3–1
Wllanelli AFC2–1
LCardiff Draconians1–2
WNewport City1–0
WLlantwit Major1–0
DTrethomas Bluebirds0–0

Head to Head · 5 matches

2
Pontypridd Town
40%
2
Draws
40%
1
Baglan Dragons
20%
80%
Over 1.5
4/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
20%
Over 3.5
1/5
40%
BTTS
2/5
10/10/26
Baglan Dragons
1–1
Pontypridd Town
21/02/26
Pontypridd Town
2–0
Baglan Dragons
27/07/25
Baglan Dragons
3–0
Pontypridd Town
17/01/25
Pontypridd Town
1–0
Baglan Dragons
26/10/24
Baglan Dragons
2–2
Pontypridd Town
FAW Championship
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Brickfield Rangers121002+1730
1Swansea University9630+1921
2Newtown AFC11731+1524
2Pontypridd Town11632+721
3Porthmadog12723+623
3Aberystwyth Town9612+1319
4Mold Alexandra11632+1421
4Caerau (Ely)11614+219
5Bala Town12624+220
5Baglan Dragons11524017
6Caersws11542+719
6Ynyshir Albions9441+616
7Bangor City 1876 FC11533+618
7Trethomas Bluebirds11443+416
8Guilsfield12453+217
8Carmarthen Town11434-115
9Afan Lido12435-115
9Buckley Town12435+415
10Llanuwchllyn12435-715
10Caerphilly Athletic11425-514
11Treowen Stars10415-213
11Rhyl12264-212
12Holyhead Hotspur11326-511
12Llantwit Major10325-1111
13Denbigh Town11317-310
13Pontardawe Town9315-210
14Ruthin Town11236-119
14Newport City9234+39
15Cardiff Draconians9234-59
15Gresford Athletic10217-167
16llanelli AFC120210-272
16Penrhyncoch110110-291

Team Insights

Pontypridd Town
  • ●Pontypridd Town have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
  • ●Pontypridd Town have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Pontypridd Town have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Pontypridd Town have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Pontypridd Town have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Pontypridd Town have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●64% of Pontypridd Town's goals have been scored away.
Baglan Dragons
  • ●Baglan Dragons failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Baglan Dragons have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Baglan Dragons failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Baglan Dragons have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Baglan Dragons failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Baglan Dragons have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Baglan Dragons have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●75% of Baglan Dragons's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●Baglan Dragons have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town
DANewport City14º4–4
DABaglan Dragons5º1–1
WHLlantwit Major12º4–1
LHAberystwyth Town3º1–3
WACaerphilly Athletic10º2–1
LHAfan Lido9º0–1
DASwansea University1º4–4
WHTrethomas Bluebirds7º2–1
WACardiff Draconians15º4–1
WHPontardawe Town13º3–2
Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons
WALlantwit Fardre3–1
DHPontypridd Town2º1–1
WAllanelli AFC16º2–1
LHCarmarthen Town8º1–2
LACardiff Draconians15º1–2
WHAfan Lido9º2–1
LHCaerphilly Athletic10º0–1
WHCaerau (Ely)4º3–1
WANewport City14º1–0
WALlantwit Major12º1–0

Season Schedule

Pontypridd Town
DANewport City4–4
DABaglan Dragons1–1
WHLlantwit Major4–1
LHAberystwyth Town1–3
WACaerphilly Athletic2–1
LHAfan Lido0–1
–Hllanelli AFC30/10
–ACaerau (Ely)06/11
–HCarmarthen Town20/11
Baglan Dragons
DHPontypridd Town1–1
WAllanelli AFC2–1
LHCarmarthen Town1–2
LACardiff Draconians1–2
WHAfan Lido2–1
LHCaerphilly Athletic0–1
–HTreowen Stars30/10
–HYnyshir Albions06/11
–APontardawe Town21/11

Top Scorers

Pontypridd Town
E. Edwards8 ⚽
E. Phipps2 ⚽
G. Tedstone2 ⚽
J. Bevan2 ⚽
J. Jones2 ⚽
J. Stephens2 ⚽
Baglan Dragons
T. Jones6 ⚽
T. Davies4 ⚽
A. Dubjaga1 ⚽
A. Garland1 ⚽

Cards Given

Pontypridd Town
L. Angel2 🟨
Baglan Dragons
K. Parsons1 🟨