Treowen Stars vs llanelli AFC — FAW Championship
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Treowen Stars and llanelli AFC meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Treowen Stars have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.90 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 80% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. llanelli AFC have won 0% of their 14 matches, with 0.64 goals scored and 3.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 79%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.39 for Treowen Stars and 1.35 for llanelli AFC. The models give Treowen Stars a 61% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an llanelli AFC win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 72% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Treowen Stars | Home | Away | llanelli AFC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 40% | 80% | 21% | 17% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 20% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 57% | 33% | 75% |
Goals Conceded
| Treowen Stars | Home | Away | llanelli AFC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 80% | 80% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 60% | 60% | 93% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 40% | 40% | 40% | 64% | 33% | 88% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Treowen Stars | llanelli AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 36% |
| BTTS | 80% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 70% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 43% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Treowen Stars | llanelli AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 0% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 79% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 86% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 86% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 14% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 93% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +16 | 27 | |
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 | |
| 2 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 23 | |
| 2 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 21 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 23 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 21 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 | |
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 | |
| 7 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 | |
| 8 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 16 | |
| 8 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 | |
| 9 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 15 | |
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 | |
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 | |
| 11 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 | |
| 13 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 | |
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 9 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 7 | |
| 16 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -27 | 2 | |
| 16 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Treowen Stars have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Treowen Stars failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Treowen Stars failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Treowen Stars's points have been earned away.
- ●Treowen Stars have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
- ●llanelli AFC have failed to win in their last 12 matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have lost their last 7 matches.
- ●llanelli AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●llanelli AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have lost their last 6 away matches.
- ●llanelli AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●llanelli AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●llanelli AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have lost 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●llanelli AFC have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.