Chernihiv vs Inhulets — Persha Liga
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Chernihiv and Inhulets meet in the Persha Liga 2026 season on 11 October 2026. Chernihiv have recorded 2 wins from 11 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Inhulets have won 38% of their 13 matches, with 1.15 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 77%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for Chernihiv and 1.05 for Inhulets. The models give Chernihiv a 40% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Inhulets win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Chernihiv
InhuletsHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Chernihiv | Home | Away | Inhulets | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 100% | 75% | 77% | 100% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 33% | 38% | 38% | 40% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 0% | 25% | 23% | 0% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Chernihiv | Home | Away | Inhulets | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 67% | 100% | 85% | 80% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 33% | 50% | 46% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 0% | 25% | 23% | 20% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 33% | 0% | 15% | 20% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chernihiv | Inhulets | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 15% |
| BTTS | 73% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 36% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 69% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chernihiv | Inhulets | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 69% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 8% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 10% | 15% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 46% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 80% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 0% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Chernihiv (H)
Nyva Ternopil1–0
Polissya II2–2
Kulykiv1–1
Metal Kharkiv1–2Inhulets1–2
Dynamo Kyiv1–3Inhulets (A)
SK Poltava0–0
UCSA2–1
Oleksandria0–3
Probiy Horodenka2–2
Chornomorets0–1Oleksandria1–2Head to Head · 4 matches
InhuletsChernihivChernihivInhulets| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kulykiv | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 17 |
| 2 |  Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 |
| 3 | Oleksandria | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 4 | SK Poltava | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 15 |
| 5 |  Prykarpattia | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |  Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 |  Yarud Mariupol' | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 | Inhulets | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Metal Kharkiv | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Lokomotiv Kyiv | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Nyva Ternopil | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | UCSA | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 |  Kolos Kovalivka II | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Chernihiv | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Polissya II | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Probiy Horodenka | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -20 | 2 |
Team Insights
Chernihiv- ●Chernihiv have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Chernihiv have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Chernihiv failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Chernihiv failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●73% of Chernihiv's goals conceded were conceded away.
Inhulets- ●Inhulets have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Inhulets have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Inhulets have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
Season Schedule
ChernihivMetal Kharkiv0–2UCSA2–3Nyva Ternopil1–0Oleksandria0–1Polissya II2–2Probiy Horodenka1–1SK Poltava02/10Prykarpattia10/10Inhulets11/10InhuletsPrykarpattia2–1Metal Kharkiv1–0SK Poltava0–0UCSA2–1Nyva Ternopil1–2Oleksandria0–3Viktoriya Mykolaivka03/10Ahrobiznes Volochysk10/10Chernihiv11/10Top Scorers
ChernihivInhuletsCards Given
ChernihivInhulets