Yarud Mariupol' vs Inhulets — Persha Liga
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Yarud Mariupol' and Inhulets meet in the Persha Liga 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Yarud Mariupol' have recorded 5 wins from 13 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.62 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Inhulets have won 42% of their 12 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Yarud Mariupol' and 1.18 for Inhulets. The models give Yarud Mariupol' a 40% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Inhulets win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Yarud Mariupol'InhuletsHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Yarud Mariupol' | Home | Away | Inhulets | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 40% | 88% | 75% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 20% | 63% | 42% | 33% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 20% | 25% | 8% | 0% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 60% | 13% | 25% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Yarud Mariupol' | Home | Away | Inhulets | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 100% | 63% | 83% | 67% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 40% | 25% | 42% | 33% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 20% | 13% | 17% | 0% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 0% | 38% | 17% | 33% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Yarud Mariupol' | Inhulets | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 17% |
| BTTS | 46% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 23% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Yarud Mariupol' | Inhulets | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 75% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 8% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 15% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 46% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 62% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 23% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Yarud Mariupol' (H)
Zorya Luhansk0–2
Kulykiv1–1
Kolos Kovalivka II3–1
SK Poltava0–3
Viktoriya Mykolaivka0–1Viktoriya Mykolaivka2–0Inhulets (A)SK Poltava0–0
UCSA2–1
Veres Rivne4–1
Oleksandria0–3
Probiy Horodenka2–2
Chornomorets0–1Head to Head · 4 matches
InhuletsYarud Mariupol'Yarud Mariupol'Inhulets| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 2 | Oleksandria | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 3 | Kulykiv | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 14 |
| 4 | SK Poltava | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 12 |
| 5 |  Prykarpattia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Inhulets | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 |  Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 |  Metal Kharkiv | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Yarud Mariupol' | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | UCSA | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 |  Chernihiv | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Polissya II | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 |  Nyva Ternopil | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 |  Lokomotiv Kyiv | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 | Probiy Horodenka | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -16 | 2 |
Team Insights
Yarud Mariupol'- ●Yarud Mariupol' have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Yarud Mariupol' have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Yarud Mariupol''s goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●60% of Yarud Mariupol''s points have been earned away.
Inhulets- ●Inhulets have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Inhulets have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●67% of Inhulets's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Yarud Mariupol'Probiy Horodenka2–0Kulykiv1–1Lokomotiv Kyiv3–1Kolos Kovalivka II3–1SK Poltava0–3Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–2Polissya II20/09Oleksandria26/09Nyva Ternopil03/10InhuletsMetal Kharkiv1–0SK Poltava0–0UCSA2–1Nyva Ternopil1–2Oleksandria0–3Polissya II2–1Chernihiv20/09Prykarpattia26/09Viktoriya Mykolaivka03/10Top Scorers
Yarud Mariupol'InhuletsCards Given
Yarud Mariupol'Inhulets