Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Chernihiv — Persha Liga
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Viktoriya Mykolaivka and Chernihiv meet in the Persha Liga 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Viktoriya Mykolaivka have recorded 6 wins from 11 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.27 goals scored and 0.55 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 27%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Chernihiv have won 20% of their 10 matches, with 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 80%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for Viktoriya Mykolaivka and 0.98 for Chernihiv. The models give Viktoriya Mykolaivka a 52% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Chernihiv win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Viktoriya MykolaivkaChernihivHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Home | Away | Chernihiv | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 75% | 71% | 90% | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 50% | 29% | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 0% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 25% | 29% | 10% | 0% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Home | Away | Chernihiv | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 75% | 43% | 90% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 25% | 57% | 10% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Chernihiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 55% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 27% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS | 36% | 80% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 40% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 18% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Chernihiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 9% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 27% | 22% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 11% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 27% | 78% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 55% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 18% | 0% |
Recent Venue Form
Viktoriya Mykolaivka (H)
Metal Kharkiv0–1
Polissya II1–1
Kulykiv2–1
Kolos Kovalivka II2–0
Probiy Horodenka0–1
Inhulets2–2Chernihiv (A)
UCSA2–3
Oleksandria0–1
LSTM Lutsk2–1Probiy Horodenka1–1
Lokomotiv Kyiv1–1
Livyi Bereh1–2Head to Head · 5 matches
ChernihivViktoriya MykolaivkaViktoriya MykolaivkaViktoriya MykolaivkaChernihiv| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 2 | Oleksandria | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 3 | Kulykiv | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 14 |
| 4 |  SK Poltava | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 12 |
| 5 |  Prykarpattia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Inhulets | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 |  Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 | Metal Kharkiv | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Yarud Mariupol' | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | UCSA | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 12 | Chernihiv | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Polissya II | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 |  Nyva Ternopil | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Probiy Horodenka | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -18 | 2 |
Team Insights
Viktoriya Mykolaivka- ●Viktoriya Mykolaivka have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
Chernihiv- ●Chernihiv have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Chernihiv have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Chernihiv's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Viktoriya MykolaivkaOleksandria0–1Polissya II1–1Probiy Horodenka3–0Kulykiv2–1Lokomotiv Kyiv1–0Kolos Kovalivka II2–0Nyva Ternopil21/09UCSA26/09Inhulets03/10ChernihivUCSA2–3Nyva Ternopil1–0Oleksandria0–1Polissya II2–2Probiy Horodenka1–1Kulykiv1–1Metal Kharkiv27/09SK Poltava03/10Prykarpattia10/10Top Scorers
Viktoriya MykolaivkaChernihivCards Given
Viktoriya MykolaivkaChernihiv