Metal Kharkiv vs Yarud Mariupol' — Persha Liga
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Metal Kharkiv and Yarud Mariupol' meet in the Persha Liga 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Metal Kharkiv have recorded 5 wins from 11 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Yarud Mariupol' have won 38% of their 13 matches, with 1.62 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for Metal Kharkiv and 1.30 for Yarud Mariupol'. The models give Metal Kharkiv a 39% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Yarud Mariupol' win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Metal Kharkiv | Home | Away | Yarud Mariupol' | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 75% | 71% | 71% | 50% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 18% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 33% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 50% | 0% | 21% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 25% | 29% | 29% | 50% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Metal Kharkiv | Home | Away | Yarud Mariupol' | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 100% | 57% | 79% | 100% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 25% | 29% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 14% | 14% | 17% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 0% | 43% | 21% | 0% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Metal Kharkiv | Yarud Mariupol' | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS | 45% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Metal Kharkiv | Yarud Mariupol' | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 27% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 55% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 21% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 5 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 | |
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 14 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 12 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 11 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | |
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 9 | |
| 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 7 | |
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 | |
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 | |
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 | |
| 16 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -18 | 2 |
Team Insights
- ●Metal Kharkiv failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Metal Kharkiv have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●78% of Metal Kharkiv's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Yarud Mariupol' have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Yarud Mariupol' have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Yarud Mariupol' have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Yarud Mariupol' failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Yarud Mariupol' have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Yarud Mariupol' failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●70% of Yarud Mariupol''s goals conceded were conceded at home.