Oleksandria vs Probiy Horodenka — Persha Liga
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Oleksandria and Probiy Horodenka meet in the Persha Liga 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Oleksandria have recorded 12 wins from 22 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.68 goals scored and 0.91 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Probiy Horodenka have won 9% of their 11 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 2.73 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.07 for Oleksandria and 0.88 for Probiy Horodenka. The models give Oleksandria a 65% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Probiy Horodenka win at 14%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Oleksandria—
Probiy Horodenka2º
Position
16º
2.14
PPG
0.25
57%
Win %
0%
1.71
Goals / game
0.75
0.71
Conceded / game
3.00
50%
BTTS %
64%
45%
Clean sheet %
0%
41%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Oleksandria
Home (4)
—
Probiy Horodenka
Away (4)
2.50
PPG
0.00
75%
Win %
0%
1.50
Goals / game
0.75
0.25
Conceded / game
4.00
53%
BTTS %
67%
47%
Clean sheet %
0%
47%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Oleksandria | Home | Away | Probiy Horodenka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 93% | 71% | 64% | 60% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 47% | 43% | 27% | 20% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 27% | 14% | 9% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 7% | 29% | 36% | 40% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Oleksandria | Home | Away | Probiy Horodenka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 53% | 57% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 27% | 29% | 73% | 60% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 0% | 14% | 55% | 20% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 47% | 43% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Oleksandria | Probiy Horodenka | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 27% |
| BTTS | 50% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 27% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Oleksandria | Probiy Horodenka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 9% |
| Draw 1st Half | 62% | 18% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 73% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 18% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 73% |
| Win 2nd Half | 48% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 55% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 82% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 52% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Oleksandria (H)W
Viktoriya Mykolaivka1–0
Viktoriya Mykolaivka1–0W
Chernihiv1–0
Chernihiv1–0W
Inhulets3–0
Inhulets3–0D
Nyva Ternopil1–1
Nyva Ternopil1–1WInhulets2–1
Inhulets2–1W
Chornomorets2–0
Chornomorets2–0Probiy Horodenka (A)L
Kolos Kovalivka II2–4
Kolos Kovalivka II2–4L
Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–6
Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–6W
Lokomotiv Kyiv3–1
Lokomotiv Kyiv3–1L
Prykarpattia0–3
Prykarpattia0–3L
Metal Kharkiv1–3
Metal Kharkiv1–3WViktoriya Mykolaivka1–0
Viktoriya Mykolaivka1–0Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Oleksandria
0%
1
Draws
100%
0
Probiy Horodenka
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
09/09/26Oleksandria
Probiy Horodenka
1–1Oleksandria| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 2 | Oleksandria | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 3 |  Kulykiv | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 14 |
| 4 |  SK Poltava | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 12 |
| 5 | Prykarpattia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Inhulets | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 | Metal Kharkiv | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Yarud Mariupol' | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  UCSA | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 12 | Chernihiv | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Polissya II | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Nyva Ternopil | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Probiy Horodenka | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -18 | 2 |
Team Insights
Oleksandria- ●Oleksandria have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Oleksandria have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Oleksandria have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
Probiy Horodenka- ●Probiy Horodenka have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Probiy Horodenka have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Probiy Horodenka have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Probiy Horodenka have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Probiy Horodenka have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Probiy Horodenka have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●67% of Probiy Horodenka's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
OleksandriaLAAhrobiznes Volochysk0–1
Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–1WHViktoriya Mykolaivka1–0
Viktoriya Mykolaivka1–0DAPrykarpattia0–0
Prykarpattia0–0WHChernihiv1–0
Chernihiv1–0WAMetal Kharkiv2–0
Metal Kharkiv2–0WHInhulets3–0
Inhulets3–0–HYarud Mariupol'27/09
Yarud Mariupol'27/09–AKolos Kovalivka II03/10
Kolos Kovalivka II03/10–HLokomotiv Kyiv10/10
Lokomotiv Kyiv10/10Probiy HorodenkaLAKolos Kovalivka II2–4
Kolos Kovalivka II2–4LHYarud Mariupol'0–2
Yarud Mariupol'0–2LAAhrobiznes Volochysk0–6
Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–6LHViktoriya Mykolaivka0–3
Viktoriya Mykolaivka0–3LAPrykarpattia0–3
Prykarpattia0–3DHChernihiv1–1
Chernihiv1–1–HLokomotiv Kyiv26/09
Lokomotiv Kyiv26/09–AKulykiv03/10
Kulykiv03/10–HSK Poltava10/10
SK Poltava10/10Top Scorers
OleksandriaP. Yade4 ⚽
Jhonnatan3 ⚽
M. Tretyakov3 ⚽
O. Dykhtyaruk2 ⚽
R. Kuzmyn2 ⚽
H. Touati2 ⚽
Probiy HorodenkaA. Fesenko4 ⚽
M. Girnyi4 ⚽
D. Goncharuk1 ⚽
I. Guk1 ⚽
O. Lepskyi1 ⚽
Cards Given
Oleksandria4 🟨
G. Danylo1 🟨
Jhonnatan1 🟨
M. Voytikhovskiy1 🟨
D. Skorko1 🟨
O. Dykhtyaruk1 🟨
Probiy HorodenkaV. Savchyn3 🟨
A. Kozachuk2 🟨
R. Kharuk2 🟨
A. Savitskyi2 🟨
M. Kulish1 🟨
M. Lopyryonok1 🟨