UCSA vs Lokomotiv Kyiv — Persha Liga
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UCSA and Lokomotiv Kyiv meet in the Persha Liga 2026 season on 24 October 2026. UCSA have recorded 4 wins from 13 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.23 goals scored and 1.54 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Lokomotiv Kyiv have won 20% of their 10 matches, with 0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for UCSA and 1.30 for Lokomotiv Kyiv. The models give UCSA a 41% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Lokomotiv Kyiv win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
UCSALokomotiv KyivHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| UCSA | Home | Away | Lokomotiv Kyiv | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 62% | 83% | 43% | 60% | 83% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 50% | 14% | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 17% | 57% | 40% | 17% | 75% |
Goals Conceded
| UCSA | Home | Away | Lokomotiv Kyiv | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 67% | 57% | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 54% | 67% | 43% | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 31% | 33% | 29% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 33% | 43% | 30% | 17% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| UCSA | Lokomotiv Kyiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 62% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 0% |
| BTTS | 38% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 23% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| UCSA | Lokomotiv Kyiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 10% |
| Draw 1st Half | 64% | 70% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 20% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 55% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 10% |
Recent Venue Form
UCSA (H)
Chernihiv3–2
Inhulets1–2
Kolos Kovalivka0–3
Nyva Ternopil1–0
Oleksandria4–4Nyva Ternopil3–0Lokomotiv Kyiv (A)
Kolos Kovalivka II0–1
Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–0
Prykarpattia2–2
Obolon'-Brovar0–0
Penuel2–0
Chornomorets II5–0Head to Head · 2 matches
Lokomotiv KyivUCSA| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 2 | Oleksandria | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 3 |  Kulykiv | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 14 |
| 4 |  SK Poltava | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 12 |
| 5 | Prykarpattia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Inhulets | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 |  Metal Kharkiv | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Yarud Mariupol' | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | UCSA | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 12 | Chernihiv | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Polissya II | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Nyva Ternopil | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 |  Probiy Horodenka | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -18 | 2 |
Team Insights
UCSA- ●UCSA have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●UCSA have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●75% of UCSA's goals have been scored at home.
- ●78% of UCSA's points have been earned at home.
Lokomotiv Kyiv- ●Lokomotiv Kyiv have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Lokomotiv Kyiv have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Lokomotiv Kyiv failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●67% of Lokomotiv Kyiv's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●78% of Lokomotiv Kyiv's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
UCSAPrykarpattia0–1Chernihiv3–2Metal Kharkiv1–3Inhulets1–2SK Poltava0–0Nyva Ternopil1–0Viktoriya Mykolaivka26/09Ahrobiznes Volochysk03/10Yarud Mariupol'10/10Lokomotiv KyivKulykiv1–0SK Poltava2–1Kolos Kovalivka II0–1Yarud Mariupol'1–3Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–0Viktoriya Mykolaivka0–1Probiy Horodenka26/09Polissya II03/10Oleksandria10/10Top Scorers
UCSALokomotiv KyivCards Given
UCSALokomotiv Kyiv