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UCSA vs Probiy Horodenka — Persha Liga

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Ukraine · Persha Liga · Regular Season - 15
UCSA
UCSA
14º · 0.91 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 27d 8h
vs
–
–
Probiy Horodenka
Probiy Horodenka
15º · 0.73 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 6h
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UCSA and Probiy Horodenka meet in the Persha Liga 2026 season on 7 November 2026. UCSA have recorded 4 wins from 16 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.19 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Probiy Horodenka have won 21% of their 14 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 0%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.01 for UCSA and 1.29 for Probiy Horodenka. The models give UCSA a 51% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Probiy Horodenka win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 63%.

Season Statistics

UCSA
—
Probiy Horodenka
14º
Position
15º
0.91
PPG
0.73
18%
Win %
18%
1.36
Goals / game
1.00
1.73
Conceded / game
2.64
44%
BTTS %
64%
38%
Clean sheet %
0%
63%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

UCSA
Home (6)
—
Probiy Horodenka
Away (5)
1.33
PPG
0.60
33%
Win %
20%
1.67
Goals / game
1.00
1.67
Conceded / game
3.40
50%
BTTS %
71%
38%
Clean sheet %
0%
75%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

UCSAHomeAwayProbiy HorodenkaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored63%75%50%64%57%71%
Over 1.5 Scored31%38%25%36%29%43%
Over 2.5 Scored19%38%0%14%14%14%
Failed To Score38%25%50%36%43%29%

Goals Conceded

UCSAHomeAwayProbiy HorodenkaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded63%63%63%100%100%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded56%63%50%71%71%71%
Over 2.5 Conceded31%25%38%43%14%71%
Clean Sheets38%38%38%0%0%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

UCSAProbiy Horodenka
Over 0.581%100%
Over 1.563%100%
Over 2.563%71%
Over 3.531%50%
Over 4.519%29%
BTTS44%64%
BTTS & Win6%21%
BTTS & Draw13%21%
BTTS & Over 2.544%50%
BTTS No & Over 2.519%21%

1st Half / 2nd Half

UCSAProbiy Horodenka
Win 1st Half21%7%
Draw 1st Half57%21%
Loss 1st Half21%71%
Scored 1st Half50%21%
Conceded 1st Half36%79%
Win 2nd Half29%29%
Draw 2nd Half43%21%
Loss 2nd Half29%50%
Scored 2nd Half57%57%
Conceded 2nd Half57%71%
Over 0.5 HT57%86%
Over 1.5 HT29%29%

Recent Venue Form

UCSA (H)
LYarud Mariupol'1–2
DViktoriya Mykolaivka0–0
WChernihiv3–2
LInhulets1–2
LKolos Kovalivka0–3
WNyva Ternopil1–0
Probiy Horodenka (A)
WKulykiv2–1
LKolos Kovalivka II2–4
LAhrobiznes Volochysk0–6
WLokomotiv Kyiv3–1
LPrykarpattia0–3
LMetal Kharkiv1–3

Head to Head · 2 matches

0
UCSA
0%
1
Draws
50%
1
Probiy Horodenka
50%
0%
Over 1.5
0/2
0%
Over 2.5
0/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
12/04/26
Probiy Horodenka
1–0
UCSA
27/09/25
UCSA
0–0
Probiy Horodenka
Persha Liga
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Viktoriya Mykolaivka11632+621
2Kulykiv11623+1120
3Ahrobiznes Volochysk11623+420
4Oleksandria11542+619
5SK Poltava11533+818
6Yarud Mariupol'11533+218
7Lokomotiv Kyiv11443+216
8Prykarpattia11434+215
9Metal Kharkiv11434015
10Nyva Ternopil11353+214
11Inhulets10424-214
12Kolos Kovalivka II11407-812
13Chernihiv10244-310
14UCSA11245-410
15Probiy Horodenka11227-188
16Polissya II11146-87

Team Insights

UCSA
  • ●UCSA have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●UCSA have lost their last 3 away matches.
  • ●UCSA failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●UCSA failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●67% of UCSA's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●80% of UCSA's points have been earned at home.
Probiy Horodenka
  • ●Probiy Horodenka have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
  • ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Probiy Horodenka have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
UCSAUCSA
LHYarud Mariupol'6º1–2
LAAhrobiznes Volochysk3º2–3
DHViktoriya Mykolaivka1º0–0
LAPrykarpattia8º0–1
WHChernihiv13º3–2
LAMetal Kharkiv9º1–3
LHInhulets11º1–2
LHKolos Kovalivka0–3
DASK Poltava5º0–0
WHNyva Ternopil10º1–0
Probiy HorodenkaProbiy Horodenka
WHSK Poltava5º3–2
WAKulykiv2º2–1
LHLokomotiv Kyiv7º0–2
LAKolos Kovalivka II12º2–4
LHYarud Mariupol'6º0–2
DHOleksandria1–1
LAAhrobiznes Volochysk3º0–6
LHViktoriya Mykolaivka1º0–3
WALokomotiv Kyiv3–1
LAPrykarpattia8º0–3

Season Schedule

UCSA
LHYarud Mariupol'1–2
LAAhrobiznes Volochysk2–3
DHViktoriya Mykolaivka0–0
LAPrykarpattia0–1
WHChernihiv3–2
LAMetal Kharkiv1–3
–AKolos Kovalivka II17/10
–HLokomotiv Kyiv24/10
–AKulykiv31/10
Probiy Horodenka
WHSK Poltava3–2
WAKulykiv2–1
LHLokomotiv Kyiv0–2
LAKolos Kovalivka II2–4
LHYarud Mariupol'0–2
LAAhrobiznes Volochysk0–6
–HPolissya II18/10
–AOleksandria24/10
–HNyva Ternopil31/10

Top Scorers

UCSA
P. Castro4 ⚽
O. Khoblenko3 ⚽
R. Yuvkhymets2 ⚽
M. Sytnykov2 ⚽
M. Zherebetskyi1 ⚽
V. Wojciechowski1 ⚽
Probiy Horodenka
A. Fesenko6 ⚽
M. Girnyi5 ⚽
I. Guk2 ⚽
D. Goncharuk1 ⚽
O. Lepskyi1 ⚽
V. Napuda1 ⚽

Cards Given

UCSA
5 🟨
M. Sytnykov3 🟨
O. Zhdanovych2 🟨
M. Andrushchenko2 🟨
O. Osman2 🟨
O. Khoblenko2 🟨
Probiy Horodenka
M. Girnyi3 🟨
V. Savchyn3 🟨
R. Kharuk2 🟨
A. Kozachuk2 🟨
A. Savitskyi2 🟨
O. Lepskyi2 🟨