Chernihiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv — Persha Liga
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Chernihiv and Lokomotiv Kyiv meet in the Persha Liga 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Chernihiv have recorded 4 wins from 14 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Lokomotiv Kyiv have won 31% of their 13 matches, with 1.23 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.20 for Chernihiv and 1.25 for Lokomotiv Kyiv. The models give Chernihiv a 34% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Lokomotiv Kyiv win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Chernihiv—
Lokomotiv Kyiv13º
Position
7º
1.00
PPG
1.45
20%
Win %
36%
1.10
Goals / game
1.36
1.40
Conceded / game
1.18
71%
BTTS %
54%
14%
Clean sheet %
31%
50%
Over 2.5 %
46%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Chernihiv
Home (3)
—
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Away (5)
1.67
PPG
1.60
33%
Win %
40%
1.33
Goals / game
1.40
1.00
Conceded / game
0.80
67%
BTTS %
33%
33%
Clean sheet %
50%
33%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Chernihiv | Home | Away | Lokomotiv Kyiv | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 100% | 82% | 69% | 86% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 33% | 45% | 38% | 29% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 0% | 9% | 15% | 14% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 18% | 31% | 14% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Chernihiv | Home | Away | Lokomotiv Kyiv | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 67% | 91% | 69% | 86% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 33% | 55% | 31% | 43% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 0% | 27% | 23% | 43% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 33% | 9% | 31% | 14% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chernihiv | Lokomotiv Kyiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 8% |
| BTTS | 71% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chernihiv | Lokomotiv Kyiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 54% | 62% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 31% | 31% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 46% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 54% | 46% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 15% | 15% |
Recent Venue Form
Chernihiv (H)W
Nyva Ternopil1–0
Nyva Ternopil1–0D
Polissya II2–2
Polissya II2–2D
Kulykiv1–1
Kulykiv1–1L
Metal Kharkiv1–2
Metal Kharkiv1–2L
Inhulets1–2
Inhulets1–2L
Dynamo Kyiv1–3
Dynamo Kyiv1–3Lokomotiv Kyiv (A)W
Oleksandria3–1
Oleksandria3–1W
Probiy Horodenka2–0
Probiy Horodenka2–0L
Kolos Kovalivka II0–1
Kolos Kovalivka II0–1D
Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–0D
Prykarpattia2–2
Prykarpattia2–2D
Obolon'-Brovar0–0
Obolon'-Brovar0–0Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Chernihiv
33%
2
Draws
67%
0
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
25/07/26Chernihiv
Lokomotiv Kyiv
1–1Chernihiv11/04/25Chernihiv
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0–3Chernihiv31/08/24Lokomotiv Kyiv
Chernihiv
1–1Lokomotiv Kyiv| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 21 |
| 2 | Kulykiv | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +11 | 20 |
| 3 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 20 |
| 4 | Oleksandria | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 |  SK Poltava | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 18 |
| 6 |  Yarud Mariupol' | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 18 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Prykarpattia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Metal Kharkiv | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Nyva Ternopil | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 | Inhulets | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | Chernihiv | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  UCSA | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Probiy Horodenka | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -18 | 8 |
| 16 | Polissya II | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
Team Insights
Chernihiv- ●Chernihiv have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Chernihiv failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Chernihiv have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●64% of Chernihiv's goals have been scored away.
- ●79% of Chernihiv's goals conceded were conceded away.
Lokomotiv Kyiv- ●Lokomotiv Kyiv have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Lokomotiv Kyiv have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Lokomotiv Kyiv have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Lokomotiv Kyiv have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Lokomotiv Kyiv have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lokomotiv Kyiv have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Lokomotiv Kyiv failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●69% of Lokomotiv Kyiv's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
ChernihivWAPrykarpattia1–0
Prykarpattia1–0LASK Poltava2–3
SK Poltava2–3LAMetal Kharkiv0–2
Metal Kharkiv0–2LAUCSA2–3
UCSA2–3WHNyva Ternopil1–0
Nyva Ternopil1–0LAOleksandria0–1
Oleksandria0–1–AViktoriya Mykolaivka17/10
Viktoriya Mykolaivka17/10–HAhrobiznes Volochysk24/10
Ahrobiznes Volochysk24/10–HYarud Mariupol'31/10
Yarud Mariupol'31/10Lokomotiv KyivWAOleksandria3–1
Oleksandria3–1DHPolissya II3–3
Polissya II3–3WAProbiy Horodenka2–0
Probiy Horodenka2–0WHKulykiv1–0
Kulykiv1–0WHSK Poltava2–1
SK Poltava2–1LAKolos Kovalivka II0–1
Kolos Kovalivka II0–1–HNyva Ternopil18/10
Nyva Ternopil18/10–AUCSA24/10
UCSA24/10–HInhulets31/10
Inhulets31/10Top Scorers
ChernihivA. Novikov3 ⚽
Y. Shalfeev2 ⚽
S. Galoyan2 ⚽
M. Serdyuk2 ⚽
D. Bezborodko2 ⚽
D. Plakhtyr1 ⚽
Lokomotiv KyivO. Sakhnenko5 ⚽
B. Mordas4 ⚽
S. Myakushko3 ⚽
O. Savchuk2 ⚽
A. Golovatenko1 ⚽
R. Savchenko1 ⚽
Cards Given
ChernihivD. Plakhtyr3 🟨
D. Bezborodko3 🟨
P. Shushko2 🟨
O. Zenchenko2 🟨
A. Romanchenko2 🟨
M. Serdyuk1 🟨
Lokomotiv KyivO. Sakhnenko3 🟨
T. Titarenko3 🟨
B. Manuilov2 🟨
O. Savchuk2 🟨
B. Mordas2 🟨
S. Myakushko2 🟨