Inhulets vs Probiy Horodenka — Persha Liga
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Inhulets and Probiy Horodenka meet in the Persha Liga 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Inhulets have recorded 5 wins from 15 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Probiy Horodenka have won 21% of their 14 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.87 for Inhulets and 1.12 for Probiy Horodenka. The models give Inhulets a 55% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Probiy Horodenka win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Inhulets—
Probiy Horodenka11º
Position
15º
1.40
PPG
0.73
40%
Win %
18%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.20
Conceded / game
2.64
60%
BTTS %
64%
13%
Clean sheet %
0%
67%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Inhulets
Home (5)
—
Probiy Horodenka
Away (5)
1.80
PPG
0.60
60%
Win %
20%
1.20
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
3.40
67%
BTTS %
71%
17%
Clean sheet %
0%
67%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Inhulets | Home | Away | Probiy Horodenka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 83% | 56% | 64% | 57% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 33% | 33% | 36% | 29% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 17% | 44% | 36% | 43% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Inhulets | Home | Away | Probiy Horodenka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 87% | 83% | 89% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 33% | 44% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 17% | 22% | 43% | 14% | 71% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 17% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Inhulets | Probiy Horodenka | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 29% |
| BTTS | 60% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Inhulets | Probiy Horodenka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 7% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 21% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 71% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 21% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 79% |
| Win 2nd Half | 13% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 53% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Inhulets (H)L
Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–1
Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–1W
Prykarpattia2–1
Prykarpattia2–1W
Metal Kharkiv1–0
Metal Kharkiv1–0L
Veres Rivne1–4
Veres Rivne1–4L
Nyva Ternopil1–2
Nyva Ternopil1–2W
Polissya II2–1
Polissya II2–1Probiy Horodenka (A)W
Kulykiv2–1
Kulykiv2–1L
Kolos Kovalivka II2–4
Kolos Kovalivka II2–4LAhrobiznes Volochysk0–6
Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–6W
Lokomotiv Kyiv3–1
Lokomotiv Kyiv3–1LPrykarpattia0–3
Prykarpattia0–3LMetal Kharkiv1–3
Metal Kharkiv1–3Head to Head · 4 matches
2
Inhulets
50%
2
Draws
50%
0
Probiy Horodenka
0%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
75%
Over 2.5
3/4
75%
Over 3.5
3/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
26/07/26Inhulets
Probiy Horodenka
2–2Inhulets03/05/26Probiy Horodenka
Inhulets
3–1Probiy Horodenka12/10/25Inhulets
Probiy Horodenka
0–1Inhulets21/08/24Inhulets
Probiy Horodenka
2–2Inhulets| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 21 |
| 2 | Kulykiv | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +11 | 20 |
| 3 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 20 |
| 4 |  Oleksandria | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 |  SK Poltava | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 18 |
| 6 |  Yarud Mariupol' | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 18 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Prykarpattia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Metal Kharkiv | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Nyva Ternopil | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 | Inhulets | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 |  Chernihiv | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  UCSA | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Probiy Horodenka | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -18 | 8 |
| 16 | Polissya II | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
Team Insights
Inhulets- ●Inhulets failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Inhulets failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
Probiy Horodenka- ●Probiy Horodenka have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Probiy Horodenka have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
InhuletsLHAhrobiznes Volochysk0–1
Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–1LAViktoriya Mykolaivka0–1
Viktoriya Mykolaivka0–1WHPrykarpattia2–1
Prykarpattia2–1WHMetal Kharkiv1–0
Metal Kharkiv1–0DASK Poltava0–0
SK Poltava0–0WAUCSA2–1
UCSA2–1–AYarud Mariupol'17/10
Yarud Mariupol'17/10–HKolos Kovalivka II24/10
Kolos Kovalivka II24/10–ALokomotiv Kyiv31/10
Lokomotiv Kyiv31/10Probiy HorodenkaWHSK Poltava3–2
SK Poltava3–2WAKulykiv2–1
Kulykiv2–1LHLokomotiv Kyiv0–2
Lokomotiv Kyiv0–2LAKolos Kovalivka II2–4
Kolos Kovalivka II2–4LHYarud Mariupol'0–2
Yarud Mariupol'0–2LAAhrobiznes Volochysk0–6
Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–6–HPolissya II18/10
Polissya II18/10–AOleksandria24/10
Oleksandria24/10–HNyva Ternopil31/10
Nyva Ternopil31/10Top Scorers
InhuletsS. Malysh3 ⚽
O. Yevtushenko2 ⚽
S. Ursolov2 ⚽
B. Mogylnyi1 ⚽
O. Zhadan1 ⚽
D. Bezkleynyi1 ⚽
Probiy HorodenkaA. Fesenko6 ⚽
M. Girnyi5 ⚽
I. Guk2 ⚽
D. Goncharuk1 ⚽
O. Lepskyi1 ⚽
V. Napuda1 ⚽
Cards Given
InhuletsA. Benedyuk4 🟨
O. Yevtushenko2 🟨
D. Yanyuk1 🟨
O. Komar1 🟨
O. Slutskyi1 🟨
S. Malysh1 🟨
Probiy HorodenkaM. Girnyi3 🟨
V. Savchyn3 🟨
R. Kharuk2 🟨
A. Kozachuk2 🟨
A. Savitskyi2 🟨
O. Lepskyi2 🟨