Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Yarud Mariupol' — Persha Liga
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Viktoriya Mykolaivka and Yarud Mariupol' meet in the Persha Liga 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Viktoriya Mykolaivka have recorded 7 wins from 15 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 0.73 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. Yarud Mariupol' have won 41% of their 17 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 1.12 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.28 for Viktoriya Mykolaivka and 1.26 for Yarud Mariupol'. The models give Viktoriya Mykolaivka a 39% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Yarud Mariupol' win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Viktoriya Mykolaivka—
Yarud Mariupol'1º
Position
6º
1.91
PPG
1.64
55%
Win %
45%
1.27
Goals / game
1.27
0.73
Conceded / game
1.09
40%
BTTS %
53%
47%
Clean sheet %
24%
33%
Over 2.5 %
41%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
Home (5)
—
Yarud Mariupol'
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
2.00
60%
Win %
60%
1.40
Goals / game
1.60
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
60%
33%
Clean sheet %
30%
33%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Home | Away | Yarud Mariupol' | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 83% | 67% | 71% | 43% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 33% | 33% | 47% | 29% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 22% | 18% | 14% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 17% | 33% | 29% | 57% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Home | Away | Yarud Mariupol' | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 53% | 67% | 44% | 76% | 86% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 13% | 17% | 11% | 24% | 29% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 17% | 0% | 12% | 14% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 47% | 33% | 56% | 24% | 14% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Yarud Mariupol' | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 53% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 12% |
| BTTS | 40% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Yarud Mariupol' | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 60% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 41% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 41% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 53% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 18% |
Recent Venue Form
Viktoriya Mykolaivka (H)W
Inhulets1–0
Inhulets1–0L
Nyva Ternopil1–3
Nyva Ternopil1–3L
Metal Kharkiv0–1
Metal Kharkiv0–1D
Polissya II1–1
Polissya II1–1W
Kulykiv2–1
Kulykiv2–1W
Kolos Kovalivka II2–0
Kolos Kovalivka II2–0Yarud Mariupol' (A)W
UCSA2–1
UCSA2–1D
Oleksandria1–1
Oleksandria1–1W
Probiy Horodenka2–0
Probiy Horodenka2–0W
Lokomotiv Kyiv3–1
Lokomotiv Kyiv3–1W
Dinaz Vyshhorod6–0
Dinaz Vyshhorod6–0L
Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–2
Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–2Head to Head · 10 matches
3
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
30%
3
Draws
30%
4
Yarud Mariupol'
40%
60%
Over 1.5
6/10
40%
Over 2.5
4/10
30%
Over 3.5
3/10
20%
BTTS
2/10
24/07/26Viktoriya Mykolaivka
Yarud Mariupol'
0–1Viktoriya Mykolaivka01/06/26Viktoriya Mykolaivka
Yarud Mariupol'
2–0Viktoriya Mykolaivka08/11/25Yarud Mariupol'
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1–2Yarud Mariupol'03/11/24Yarud Mariupol'
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0–1Yarud Mariupol'11/09/24Viktoriya Mykolaivka
Yarud Mariupol'
0–4Viktoriya Mykolaivka01/10/23Yarud Mariupol'
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0–0Yarud Mariupol'27/07/23Viktoriya Mykolaivka
Yarud Mariupol'
0–0Viktoriya Mykolaivka30/10/21Yarud Mariupol'
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0–2Yarud Mariupol'25/07/21Viktoriya Mykolaivka
Yarud Mariupol'
3–3Viktoriya Mykolaivka29/08/20Yarud Mariupol'
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
4–0Yarud Mariupol'| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 21 |
| 2 | Kulykiv | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +11 | 20 |
| 3 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 20 |
| 4 | Oleksandria | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 |  SK Poltava | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 18 |
| 6 | Yarud Mariupol' | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 18 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Prykarpattia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Metal Kharkiv | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Nyva Ternopil | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 | Inhulets | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 |  Chernihiv | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | UCSA | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Probiy Horodenka | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -18 | 8 |
| 16 | Polissya II | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
Team Insights
Viktoriya Mykolaivka- ●Viktoriya Mykolaivka have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Viktoriya Mykolaivka have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Viktoriya Mykolaivka have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Viktoriya Mykolaivka have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Viktoriya Mykolaivka have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Yarud Mariupol'- ●Yarud Mariupol' have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Yarud Mariupol' have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Yarud Mariupol' have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Yarud Mariupol' have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Yarud Mariupol' failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Yarud Mariupol' failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Yarud Mariupol' have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Viktoriya MykolaivkaDAMetal Kharkiv2–2
Metal Kharkiv2–2WHInhulets1–0
Inhulets1–0DAUCSA0–0
UCSA0–0LHNyva Ternopil1–3
Nyva Ternopil1–3LAOleksandria0–1
Oleksandria0–1DHPolissya II1–1
Polissya II1–1–HChernihiv17/10
Chernihiv17/10–APrykarpattia24/10
Prykarpattia24/10–ASK Poltava31/10
SK Poltava31/10Yarud Mariupol'WAUCSA2–1
UCSA2–1DHNyva Ternopil0–0
Nyva Ternopil0–0DAOleksandria1–1
Oleksandria1–1WHPolissya II2–1
Polissya II2–1WAProbiy Horodenka2–0
Probiy Horodenka2–0DHKulykiv1–1
Kulykiv1–1–HInhulets17/10
Inhulets17/10–AMetal Kharkiv24/10
Metal Kharkiv24/10–AChernihiv31/10
Chernihiv31/10Top Scorers
Viktoriya MykolaivkaS. Sharay3 ⚽
M. Boyko3 ⚽
O. Chernov2 ⚽
D. Hryshchenko2 ⚽
V. Khamelyuk2 ⚽
A. Dedyaev1 ⚽
Yarud Mariupol'S. Kyslenko5 ⚽
A. Remenyak4 ⚽
N. Grytsak3 ⚽
V. Kucherov3 ⚽
V. Sydorenko2 ⚽
O. Synytsya2 ⚽
Cards Given
Viktoriya MykolaivkaA. Lyegostayev3 🟨
D. Hryshchenko3 🟨
D. Kirichenko3 🟨
D. Ulyanov3 🟨
Y. Dobrokhotov3 🟨
V. Khamelyuk2 🟨
Yarud Mariupol'M. Podolyak4 🟨
N. Grytsak3 🟨
K. Tsyurpalevych-Semochko3 🟨
V. Sydorenko3 🟨
P. Orikhovskyi1 🟨
O. Chornomorets1 🟨