UCSA vs Nyva Ternopil — Persha Liga
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UCSA and Nyva Ternopil meet in the Persha Liga 2026 season on 28 November 2026. UCSA have recorded 5 wins from 18 matches this season (28% win rate), averaging 1.22 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 61%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. Nyva Ternopil have won 32% of their 19 matches, with 1.16 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.26 for UCSA and 1.21 for Nyva Ternopil. The models give UCSA a 37% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Nyva Ternopil win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
UCSA—
Nyva Ternopil13º
Position
9º
0.92
PPG
1.25
17%
Win %
25%
1.25
Goals / game
1.00
1.58
Conceded / game
0.83
44%
BTTS %
63%
39%
Clean sheet %
21%
61%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
UCSA
Home (6)
—
Nyva Ternopil
Away (9)
1.33
PPG
1.22
33%
Win %
22%
1.67
Goals / game
0.89
1.67
Conceded / game
0.78
56%
BTTS %
67%
33%
Clean sheet %
17%
78%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| UCSA | Home | Away | Nyva Ternopil | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 61% | 78% | 44% | 68% | 71% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 44% | 22% | 26% | 43% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 44% | 0% | 21% | 43% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 39% | 22% | 56% | 32% | 29% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| UCSA | Home | Away | Nyva Ternopil | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 67% | 56% | 79% | 71% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 67% | 44% | 26% | 43% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 28% | 22% | 33% | 11% | 14% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 33% | 44% | 21% | 29% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| UCSA | Nyva Ternopil | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 78% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 | 61% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 11% |
| BTTS | 44% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| UCSA | Nyva Ternopil | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 63% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 26% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 32% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 37% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 32% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 16% |
Recent Venue Form
UCSA (H)W
Lokomotiv Kyiv3–2
Lokomotiv Kyiv3–2L
Yarud Mariupol'1–2
Yarud Mariupol'1–2D
Viktoriya Mykolaivka0–0
Viktoriya Mykolaivka0–0W
Chernihiv3–2
Chernihiv3–2L
Inhulets1–2
Inhulets1–2L
Kolos Kovalivka0–3
Kolos Kovalivka0–3Nyva Ternopil (A)DLokomotiv Kyiv0–0
Lokomotiv Kyiv0–0DYarud Mariupol'0–0
Yarud Mariupol'0–0WViktoriya Mykolaivka3–1
Viktoriya Mykolaivka3–1LChernihiv0–1
Chernihiv0–1D
Metal Kharkiv1–1
Metal Kharkiv1–1WInhulets2–1
Inhulets2–1Head to Head · 3 matches
3
UCSA
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Nyva Ternopil
0%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
07/08/26Nyva Ternopil
UCSA
1–0Nyva Ternopil01/06/26Nyva Ternopil
UCSA
3–0Nyva Ternopil09/11/25UCSA
Nyva Ternopil
1–4UCSA| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 25 |
| 2 |  SK Poltava | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +13 | 24 |
| 3 | Yarud Mariupol' | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 |  Oleksandria | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 23 |
| 5 |  Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 23 |
| 6 |  Kulykiv | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +11 | 21 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 |  Prykarpattia | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | Nyva Ternopil | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 | Metal Kharkiv | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Inhulets | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 |  Kolos Kovalivka II | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 13 |
| 13 | UCSA | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Chernihiv | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 |  Probiy Horodenka | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -20 | 9 |
| 16 |  Polissya II | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -9 | 8 |
Team Insights
UCSA- ●UCSA failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●UCSA have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●72% of UCSA's goals have been scored at home.
- ●79% of UCSA's points have been earned at home.
Nyva Ternopil- ●Nyva Ternopil have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Nyva Ternopil have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Nyva Ternopil have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Nyva Ternopil have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Nyva Ternopil failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 away matches.
- ●61% of Nyva Ternopil's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
UCSAWHLokomotiv Kyiv3–2
Lokomotiv Kyiv3–2DAKolos Kovalivka II0–0
Kolos Kovalivka II0–0LHYarud Mariupol'1–2
Yarud Mariupol'1–2LAAhrobiznes Volochysk2–3
Ahrobiznes Volochysk2–3DHViktoriya Mykolaivka0–0
Viktoriya Mykolaivka0–0LAPrykarpattia0–1
Prykarpattia0–1–AKulykiv01/11
Kulykiv01/11–HProbiy Horodenka07/11
Probiy Horodenka07/11–HPolissya II14/11
Polissya II14/11Nyva TernopilWHKulykiv3–1
Kulykiv3–1DALokomotiv Kyiv0–0
Lokomotiv Kyiv0–0WHKolos Kovalivka II3–1
Kolos Kovalivka II3–1DAYarud Mariupol'0–0
Yarud Mariupol'0–0DHAhrobiznes Volochysk0–0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–0WAViktoriya Mykolaivka3–1
Viktoriya Mykolaivka3–1–AProbiy Horodenka01/11
Probiy Horodenka01/11–HPolissya II07/11
Polissya II07/11–HOleksandria14/11
Oleksandria14/11Top Scorers
UCSAP. Castro5 ⚽
M. Sytnykov3 ⚽
O. Khoblenko3 ⚽
R. Yuvkhymets2 ⚽
M. Zherebetskyi1 ⚽
V. Wojciechowski1 ⚽
Nyva TernopilA. Boryachuk5 ⚽
M. Pezhynskyi4 ⚽
A. Gabelok1 ⚽
D. Rezepov1 ⚽
I. Snurnitsyn1 ⚽
M. Mykhalchuk1 ⚽
Cards Given
UCSA9 🟨
R. Yuvkhymets3 🟨
M. Sytnykov3 🟨
M. Andrushchenko3 🟨
O. Osman2 🟨
O. Zhdanovych2 🟨
Nyva TernopilM. Mysyk3 🟨
B. Vyshynskyi2 🟨
S. Davydov2 🟨
N. Kasarda2 🟨
I. Snurnitsyn2 🟨
T. Galas2 🟨