Independiente de La Chorrera vs San Francisco FC — Liga Panameña de Fútbol
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Independiente de La Chorrera and San Francisco FC meet in the Liga Panameña de Fútbol 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Independiente de La Chorrera have recorded 6 wins from 26 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 1.31 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. San Francisco FC have won 40% of their 25 matches, with 1.64 goals scored and 1.48 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 16%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for Independiente de La Chorrera and 1.31 for San Francisco FC. The models give Independiente de La Chorrera a 39% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an San Francisco FC win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Independiente de La Chorrera—
San Francisco FC10º
Position
3º
0.88
PPG
1.89
13%
Win %
56%
1.25
Goals / game
2.11
1.38
Conceded / game
1.33
50%
BTTS %
68%
31%
Clean sheet %
16%
46%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Independiente de La Chorrera
Home (4)
—
San Francisco FC
Away (5)
1.50
PPG
1.60
25%
Win %
40%
1.75
Goals / game
1.80
1.00
Conceded / game
1.40
54%
BTTS %
62%
38%
Clean sheet %
23%
54%
Over 2.5 %
54%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Independiente de | Home | Away | San Francisco | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 69% | 62% | 80% | 83% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 54% | 23% | 48% | 50% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 23% | 15% | 24% | 25% | 23% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 31% | 38% | 20% | 17% | 23% |
Goals Conceded
| Independiente de | Home | Away | San Francisco | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 62% | 77% | 84% | 92% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 46% | 38% | 40% | 42% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 8% | 0% | 20% | 17% | 23% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 38% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 23% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Independiente de | San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 24% |
| BTTS | 50% | 68% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 28% |
| BTTS & Draw | 35% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Independiente de | San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 48% |
Recent Venue Form
Independiente de (H)W
Sporting San Miguelito4–3
Sporting San Miguelito4–3D
Plaza Amador2–2
Plaza Amador2–2W
Union Cocle3–0
Union Cocle3–0D
Deportivo Universitario2–2
Deportivo Universitario2–2D
Herrera0–0
Herrera0–0WDeportivo Universitario3–2
Deportivo Universitario3–2San Francisco (A)WSporting San Miguelito2–0
Sporting San Miguelito2–0D
Alianza FC1–1
Alianza FC1–1D
Veraguas3–3
Veraguas3–3LUnion Cocle1–2
Union Cocle1–2WDeportivo Universitario2–1
Deportivo Universitario2–1WHerrera2–1
Herrera2–1Head to Head · 39 matches
19
Independiente de
49%
10
Draws
26%
10
San Francisco
26%
74%
Over 1.5
29/39
41%
Over 2.5
16/39
18%
Over 3.5
7/39
49%
BTTS
19/39
15/08/26Independiente de La Chorrera
San Francisco FC
2–1Independiente de La Chorrera11/04/26San Francisco FC
Independiente de La Chorrera
0–0San Francisco FC07/02/26Independiente de La Chorrera
San Francisco FC
0–3Independiente de La Chorrera31/10/25San Francisco FC
Independiente de La Chorrera
0–0San Francisco FC02/08/25Independiente de La Chorrera
San Francisco FC
3–2Independiente de La Chorrera26/04/25Independiente de La Chorrera
San Francisco FC
1–1Independiente de La Chorrera25/01/25San Francisco FC
Independiente de La Chorrera
1–0San Francisco FC19/10/24San Francisco FC
Independiente de La Chorrera
1–0San Francisco FC27/07/24Independiente de La Chorrera
San Francisco FC
1–2Independiente de La Chorrera13/04/24Independiente de La Chorrera
San Francisco FC
3–1Independiente de La Chorrera03/02/24San Francisco FC
Independiente de La Chorrera
3–0San Francisco FC15/10/23San Francisco FC
Independiente de La Chorrera
2–0San Francisco FC29/07/23Independiente de La Chorrera
San Francisco FC
0–2Independiente de La Chorrera15/04/23San Francisco FC
Independiente de La Chorrera
3–0San Francisco FC28/01/23Independiente de La Chorrera
San Francisco FC
2–2Independiente de La Chorrera01/10/22Independiente de La Chorrera
San Francisco FC
0–2Independiente de La Chorrera30/07/22San Francisco FC
Independiente de La Chorrera
2–0San Francisco FC24/04/22San Francisco FC
Independiente de La Chorrera
1–4San Francisco FC12/02/22Independiente de La Chorrera
San Francisco FC
2–0Independiente de La Chorrera06/11/21Independiente de La Chorrera
San Francisco FC
1–1Independiente de La Chorrera| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Amador | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 31 |
| 1 | Veraguas | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 25 |
| 2 | Alianza FC | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | +6 | 27 |
| 2 | Union Cocle | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 23 |
| 3 |  UMECIT | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | +8 | 25 |
| 3 |  Independiente | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 4 |  Tauro FC | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +3 | 21 |
| 5 |  CD Arabe Unido | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 21 |
| 5 | Deportivo Universitario | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -8 | 14 |
| 6 |  Bình Phước | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | -24 | 8 |
| 8 | Independiente de La Chorrera | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 9 | San Francisco FC | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -3 | 20 |
| 10 | Sporting San Miguelito | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -2 | 18 |
| 12 | Herrera | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | -24 | 8 |
Team Insights
Independiente de- ●Independiente de La Chorrera have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Independiente de La Chorrera have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
- ●Independiente de La Chorrera have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Independiente de La Chorrera have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Independiente de La Chorrera failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Independiente de La Chorrera have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Independiente de La Chorrera failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 away matches.
San Francisco- ●San Francisco FC have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●San Francisco FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●San Francisco FC have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●San Francisco FC have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●San Francisco FC have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●San Francisco FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●San Francisco FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●San Francisco FC have scored in 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●San Francisco FC have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Independiente deWHSporting San Miguelito4–3
Sporting San Miguelito4–3DHPlaza Amador2–2
Plaza Amador2–2LAUMECIT0–2
UMECIT0–2LATauro FC1–2
Tauro FC1–2WHUnion Cocle3–0
Union Cocle3–0LASan Francisco FC1–2
San Francisco FC1–2–AAlianza FC29/09
Alianza FC29/09–HCD Arabe Unido03/10
CD Arabe Unido03/10–HVeraguas10/10
Veraguas10/10San FranciscoLHCD Arabe Unido1–2
CD Arabe Unido1–2WASporting San Miguelito2–0
Sporting San Miguelito2–0DAAlianza FC1–1
Alianza FC1–1WHPlaza Amador4–1
Plaza Amador4–1DAVeraguas3–3
Veraguas3–3WHIndependiente de La Chorrera2–1
Independiente de La Chorrera2–1–ATauro FC27/09
Tauro FC27/09–HUMECIT03/10
UMECIT03/10–HDeportivo Universitario10/10
Deportivo Universitario10/10Top Scorers
Independiente deJ. Obando7 ⚽
D. Contreras6 ⚽
L. Tejada3 ⚽
O. Berrocal2 ⚽
K. Bonilla2 ⚽
Y. Vasquez2 ⚽
San FranciscoR. Dinolis15 ⚽
K. Bonilla6 ⚽
S. Garces3 ⚽
D. Pinzon3 ⚽
V. Medina3 ⚽
J. Rivera2 ⚽
Cards Given
Independiente de10 🟨
R. Aguila4 🟨
K. J. Angulo Garces4 🟨
O. Berrocal3 🟨
B. Waterman3 🟨
J. Modelo3 🟨
San FranciscoR. Dinolis6 🟨
J. Wood4 🟨
O. Browne4 🟨
D. Pinzon3 🟨
E. Walker3 🟨
E. Carrasquilla3 🟨