FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg — 3. Liga
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FC Ingolstadt 04 and MSV Duisburg meet in the 3. Liga 2026 season on 24 October 2026. FC Ingolstadt 04 have recorded 6 wins from 12 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.42 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. MSV Duisburg have won 57% of their 14 matches, with 1.93 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for FC Ingolstadt 04 and 1.95 for MSV Duisburg. The models give FC Ingolstadt 04 a 30% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an MSV Duisburg win at 46%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| FC Ingolstadt | Home | Away | MSV Duisburg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 86% | 80% | 86% | 100% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 57% | 20% | 57% | 80% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 14% | 0% | 36% | 40% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 14% | 20% | 14% | 0% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| FC Ingolstadt | Home | Away | MSV Duisburg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 57% | 60% | 71% | 60% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 57% | 20% | 43% | 40% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 14% | 20% | 14% | 40% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 43% | 40% | 29% | 40% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC Ingolstadt | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 29% |
| BTTS | 42% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC Ingolstadt | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 54% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 15% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 77% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 25% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 92% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | FC Ingolstadt | MSV Duisburg | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 50% | 86% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 25% | 74% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 25% | 69% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 25% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 25% | 37% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 0% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 0% | 14% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | FC Ingolstadt | MSV Duisburg |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.3 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.7 | 2.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 33% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 33% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 25% |
Head to Head · 18 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 15 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 12 | |
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 11 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 10 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 10 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 | |
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 | |
| 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 6 | |
| 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 | |
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 | |
| 19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 4 | |
| 20 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●FC Ingolstadt 04 have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●FC Ingolstadt 04 have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●88% of FC Ingolstadt 04's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●88% of FC Ingolstadt 04's points have been earned away.
- ●FC Ingolstadt 04 have conceded 88% of their goals in the first half.
- ●MSV Duisburg have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●MSV Duisburg have won their last 3 home matches.