Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor — Süper Lig
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Kasımpaşa and Samsunspor meet in the Süper Lig 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Kasımpaşa have recorded 8 wins from 15 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.53 goals scored and 0.73 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. Samsunspor have won 25% of their 12 matches, with 0.92 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for Kasımpaşa and 1.29 for Samsunspor. The models give Kasımpaşa a 45% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Samsunspor win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Kasımpaşa—
Samsunspor8º
Position
10º
1.67
PPG
1.33
33%
Win %
33%
1.00
Goals / game
1.67
0.67
Conceded / game
1.67
53%
BTTS %
42%
47%
Clean sheet %
17%
40%
Over 2.5 %
58%
3.4
Avg corners
4.6
11.3
Avg shots
14.4
3.3
Avg shots on target
3.1
3.0
Avg yellow cards
0.9
14.9
Avg fouls
13.0
41.0%
Avg possession
56.7%
Home vs Away
Kasımpaşa
Home (1)
—
Samsunspor
Away (1)
1.00
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
1.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
0.00
45%
BTTS %
38%
55%
Clean sheet %
25%
36%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.4
Avg corners
4.6
11.3
Avg shots
14.4
3.3
Avg shots on target
3.1
3.0
Avg yellow cards
0.9
41.0%
Avg possession
56.7%
Goals Scored
| Kasımpaşa | Home | Away | Samsunspor | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 91% | 100% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 55% | 25% | 33% | 25% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 18% | 0% | 8% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 9% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Kasımpaşa | Home | Away | Samsunspor | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 53% | 45% | 75% | 83% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 13% | 9% | 25% | 50% | 100% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 75% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 47% | 55% | 25% | 17% | 0% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kasımpaşa | Samsunspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 17% |
| BTTS | 53% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kasımpaşa | Samsunspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 17% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 58% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 75% |
| Win 2nd Half | 54% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 15% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 77% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 23% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 8% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Kasımpaşa (H)W
Fatih Karagümrük2–1
Fatih Karagümrük2–1D
Konyaspor0–0
Konyaspor0–0D
Amed2–2
Amed2–2D
Trabzonspor1–1
Trabzonspor1–1WSamsunspor3–0
Samsunspor3–0D
Hull City1–1
Hull City1–1Samsunspor (A)L
Erzurumspor FK0–1
Erzurumspor FK0–1L
Kocaelispor0–1
Kocaelispor0–1W
Rizespor2–0
Rizespor2–0LKasımpaşa0–3
Kasımpaşa0–3W
KVC Westerlo2–1
KVC Westerlo2–1W
AEK Athens FC2–1
AEK Athens FC2–1Number of Corners
10.7
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
9.5
68 games
10.0
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Kasımpaşa | Samsunspor | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | 84% |
| Over 7 | 86% | 86% | 74% |
| Over 8 | 71% | 57% | 57% |
| Over 9 | 57% | 57% | 49% |
| Over 10 | 43% | 43% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 29% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 29% | 14% | 16% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 14% | 13% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Kasımpaşa | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.4 | 4.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.3 | 5.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 57% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 29% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 29% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 86% | 57% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
3
Kasımpaşa
43%
1
Draws
14%
3
Samsunspor
43%
57%
Over 1.5
4/7
43%
Over 2.5
3/7
29%
Over 3.5
2/7
29%
BTTS
2/7
08/08/26Samsunspor
Kasımpaşa
3–0Samsunspor30/01/26Samsunspor
Kasımpaşa
0–1Samsunspor17/09/25Kasımpaşa
Samsunspor
0–0Kasımpaşa29/03/25Kasımpaşa
Samsunspor
0–2Kasımpaşa26/10/24Samsunspor
Kasımpaşa
1–4Samsunspor27/04/24Samsunspor
Kasımpaşa
1–0Samsunspor09/12/23Kasımpaşa
Samsunspor
4–2Kasımpaşa| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 19 |
| 2 | Amed | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 17 |
| 3 |  Fenerbahçe | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +16 | 16 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +8 | 15 |
| 5 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 13 |
| 6 |  Çorum FK | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Alanyaspor | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Erzurumspor FK | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | Kasımpaşa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Rizespor | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Başakşehir | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 |  Gaziantep FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 8 |
| 15 |  Göztepe | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Konyaspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -20 | 3 |
Team Insights
Kasımpaşa- ●Kasımpaşa have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Kasımpaşa have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●62% of Kasımpaşa's goals have been scored away.
- ●70% of Kasımpaşa's points have been earned away.
Samsunspor- ●Samsunspor have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Samsunspor have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●Samsunspor failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Samsunspor have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Samsunspor have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Samsunspor have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●87% of Samsunspor's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Samsunspor have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
KasımpaşaLAGalatasaray1–3
Galatasaray1–3DHKonyaspor0–0
Konyaspor0–0WAGençlerbirliği S.K.2–1
Gençlerbirliği S.K.2–1DHAmed2–2
Amed2–2DABaşakşehir1–1
Başakşehir1–1WAÇorum FK1–0
Çorum FK1–0–HSamsunspor18/10
Samsunspor18/10–AEyüpspor24/10
Eyüpspor24/10–HBeşiktaş01/11
Beşiktaş01/11SamsunsporLHTrabzonspor0–3
Trabzonspor0–3LAErzurumspor FK0–1
Erzurumspor FK0–1LHÇorum FK1–5
Çorum FK1–5LAKocaelispor0–1
Kocaelispor0–1LHFenerbahçe0–2
Fenerbahçe0–2WARizespor2–0
Rizespor2–0–AKasımpaşa18/10
Kasımpaşa18/10–HAmed24/10
Amed24/10–ABaşakşehir01/11
Başakşehir01/11Top Scorers
KasımpaşaA. Benedyczak3 ⚽
G. Yalcin3 ⚽
F. Diabate2 ⚽
M. Ben Ouanes2 ⚽
Güven Yalçın1 ⚽
J. Rak-Sakyi1 ⚽
SamsunsporC. Yuksel1 ⚽
E. Kilinc1 ⚽
E. Tavsan1 ⚽
F. Kaya1 ⚽
J. Assoumou1 ⚽
J. Mendes1 ⚽
Cards Given
KasımpaşaC. Winck3 🟨
A. Karapo2 🟨
E. Belozoglu2 🟨
E. Mendes2 🟨
M. Ilie2 🟨
Ali Yavuz Kol1 🟨
SamsunsporT. Fink3 🟨
L. Tomasson2 🟨
2 🟨
T. Borevkovic1 🟨
S. Onur1 🟨
E. Watt1 🟨