Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe — Süper Lig
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Başakşehir and Fenerbahçe meet in the Süper Lig 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Başakşehir have recorded 5 wins from 17 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Fenerbahçe have won 59% of their 22 matches, with 2.14 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.66 for Başakşehir and 1.38 for Fenerbahçe. The models give Başakşehir a 40% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Fenerbahçe win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Başakşehir—
Fenerbahçe9º
Position
4º
1.33
PPG
2.00
33%
Win %
67%
1.33
Goals / game
2.33
1.00
Conceded / game
1.33
59%
BTTS %
45%
24%
Clean sheet %
50%
41%
Over 2.5 %
59%
4.8
Avg corners
5.5
13.1
Avg shots
15.4
4.2
Avg shots on target
6.1
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.4
14.2
Avg fouls
12.7
52.5%
Avg possession
53.9%
Home vs Away
Başakşehir
Home (2)
—
Fenerbahçe
Away (2)
2.00
PPG
1.50
50%
Win %
50%
1.50
Goals / game
1.50
0.50
Conceded / game
1.00
75%
BTTS %
42%
25%
Clean sheet %
50%
38%
Over 2.5 %
58%
4.8
Avg corners
5.5
13.1
Avg shots
15.4
4.2
Avg shots on target
6.1
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.4
52.5%
Avg possession
53.9%
Goals Scored
| Başakşehir | Home | Away | Fenerbahçe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 100% | 56% | 91% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 50% | 22% | 55% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 13% | 0% | 27% | 40% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 0% | 44% | 9% | 0% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Başakşehir | Home | Away | Fenerbahçe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 75% | 78% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 13% | 56% | 27% | 30% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 13% | 22% | 5% | 0% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 25% | 22% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Başakşehir | Fenerbahçe | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 18% |
| BTTS | 59% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 32% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 27% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Başakşehir | Fenerbahçe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 55% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 68% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 32% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 55% |
Recent Venue Form
Başakşehir (H)W
Gaziantep FK2–1
Gaziantep FK2–1W
Gençlerbirliği S.K.4–0
Gençlerbirliği S.K.4–0L
Galatasaray2–3
Galatasaray2–3D
Kasımpaşa1–1
Kasımpaşa1–1W
Kocaelispor2–0
Kocaelispor2–0D
Inter Turku1–1
Inter Turku1–1Fenerbahçe (A)LGalatasaray1–2
Galatasaray1–2L
Aston Villa0–6
Aston Villa0–6W
Rizespor3–0
Rizespor3–0W
Turan2–0
Turan2–0DGaziantep FK0–0
Gaziantep FK0–0W
Samsunspor2–0
Samsunspor2–0Number of Corners
8.4
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.6
81 games
10.0
Corners / Match
18 games
| Match Corners | Başakşehir | Fenerbahçe | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 82% | 83% | 84% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 67% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 55% | 56% | 58% |
| Over 9 | 27% | 50% | 49% |
| Over 10 | 9% | 50% | 35% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 44% | 23% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 22% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Başakşehir | Fenerbahçe |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 5.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.5 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 82% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 55% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 64% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 45% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 45% | 50% |
Head to Head · 32 matches
9
Başakşehir
28%
5
Draws
16%
18
Fenerbahçe
56%
78%
Over 1.5
25/32
56%
Over 2.5
18/32
34%
Over 3.5
11/32
56%
BTTS
18/32
02/05/26Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
3–1Başakşehir06/12/25Fenerbahçe
Başakşehir
1–1Fenerbahçe09/05/25Fenerbahçe
Başakşehir
1–4Fenerbahçe15/12/24Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
3–1Başakşehir24/01/24Fenerbahçe
Başakşehir
0–1Fenerbahçe28/09/23Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
4–0Başakşehir11/06/23Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
2–0Başakşehir19/04/23Fenerbahçe
Başakşehir
1–2Fenerbahçe22/10/22Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
1–0Başakşehir05/02/22Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
0–1Başakşehir19/09/21Fenerbahçe
Başakşehir
2–0Fenerbahçe18/04/21Fenerbahçe
Başakşehir
1–2Fenerbahçe09/02/21Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
1–2Başakşehir23/12/20Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
4–1Başakşehir25/01/20Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
2–0Başakşehir24/08/19Fenerbahçe
Başakşehir
1–2Fenerbahçe09/03/19Fenerbahçe
Başakşehir
2–1Fenerbahçe07/10/18Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
0–0Başakşehir11/02/18Fenerbahçe
Başakşehir
0–2Fenerbahçe09/09/17Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
2–3Başakşehir| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 22 |
| 2 |  Amed | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 19 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Fenerbahçe | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 16 |
| 6 | Kasımpaşa | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +4 | 16 |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Erzurumspor FK | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 14 |
| 9 |  Çorum FK | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 |  Göztepe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alanyaspor | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Başakşehir | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Rizespor | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |  Konyaspor | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 | Gaziantep FK | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 8 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -21 | 3 |
Team Insights
Başakşehir- ●Başakşehir have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Başakşehir have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●92% of Başakşehir's goals have been scored at home.
- ●91% of Başakşehir's points have been earned at home.
Fenerbahçe- ●Fenerbahçe have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Fenerbahçe have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Fenerbahçe have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Fenerbahçe have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●70% of Fenerbahçe's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Fenerbahçe have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Fenerbahçe have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
BaşakşehirLABeşiktaş0–2
Beşiktaş0–2WHGaziantep FK2–1
Gaziantep FK2–1DAKonyaspor0–0
Konyaspor0–0WHGençlerbirliği S.K.4–0
Gençlerbirliği S.K.4–0LAAmed0–5
Amed0–5LHGalatasaray2–3
Galatasaray2–3–HSamsunspor01/11
Samsunspor01/11–AGöztepe07/11
Göztepe07/11–HÇorum FK23/11
Çorum FK23/11FenerbahçeLAGalatasaray1–2
Galatasaray1–2WHAlanyaspor3–0
Alanyaspor3–0WARizespor3–0
Rizespor3–0WHEyüpspor8–0
Eyüpspor8–0DAGaziantep FK0–0
Gaziantep FK0–0LHBeşiktaş1–2
Beşiktaş1–2–HGöztepe31/10
Göztepe31/10–AÇorum FK08/11
Çorum FK08/11–AKocaelispor21/11
Kocaelispor21/11Top Scorers
BaşakşehirE. Shomurodov6 ⚽
D. Selke2 ⚽
B. Yildirim2 ⚽
T. Turhan2 ⚽
E. Bayram1 ⚽
Eldor Shomurodov1 ⚽
FenerbahçeV. Muriqi8 ⚽
M. Greenwood6 ⚽
Talisca5 ⚽
I. Kahveci4 ⚽
M. Asensio2 ⚽
C. Under2 ⚽
Cards Given
BaşakşehirU. Gunes3 🟨
O. Kemen3 🟨
O. Ba3 🟨
C. Operi1 🟨
H. Gureler1 🟨
Davie Selke1 🟨
FenerbahçeM. Guendouzi4 🟨
N. Semedo3 🟨
M. Skriniar3 🟨
K. Akturkoglu2 🟨
Ismail Yüksek2 🟨
A. Brown2 🟨