Erzurumspor FK vs Kasımpaşa — Süper Lig
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Erzurumspor FK and Kasımpaşa meet in the Süper Lig 2026 season on 12 December 2026. Erzurumspor FK have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Kasımpaşa have won 58% of their 19 matches, with 1.74 goals scored and 0.79 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Erzurumspor FK and 1.35 for Kasımpaşa. The models give Erzurumspor FK a 41% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Kasımpaşa win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Erzurumspor FK—
Kasımpaşa17º
Position
8º
0.33
PPG
1.67
0%
Win %
33%
0.33
Goals / game
1.00
2.67
Conceded / game
0.67
33%
BTTS %
58%
42%
Clean sheet %
42%
50%
Over 2.5 %
47%
3.5
Avg corners
4.3
9.9
Avg shots
12.8
3.0
Avg shots on target
4.2
1.3
Avg yellow cards
2.5
12.1
Avg fouls
15.8
43.0%
Avg possession
42.6%
Home vs Away
Erzurumspor FK
Home (1)
—
Kasımpaşa
Away (2)
0.00
PPG
2.00
0%
Win %
50%
0.00
Goals / game
1.00
4.00
Conceded / game
0.50
29%
BTTS %
60%
57%
Clean sheet %
40%
43%
Over 2.5 %
40%
3.5
Avg corners
4.3
9.9
Avg shots
12.8
3.0
Avg shots on target
4.2
1.3
Avg yellow cards
2.5
43.0%
Avg possession
42.6%
Goals Scored
| Erzurumspor FK | Home | Away | Kasımpaşa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 71% | 40% | 95% | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 29% | 20% | 53% | 64% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 14% | 20% | 21% | 29% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 29% | 60% | 5% | 7% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Erzurumspor FK | Home | Away | Kasımpaşa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 43% | 80% | 58% | 57% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 29% | 40% | 16% | 14% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 29% | 40% | 5% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 57% | 20% | 42% | 43% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Erzurumspor FK | Kasımpaşa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 5% |
| BTTS | 33% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 32% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 37% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Erzurumspor FK | Kasımpaşa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 47% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 24% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 59% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 12% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 76% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 29% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 12% |
Recent Venue Form
Erzurumspor FK (H)L
Çorum FK1–3
Çorum FK1–3W
Eyüpspor2–0
Eyüpspor2–0W
Samsunspor1–0
Samsunspor1–0W
Konyaspor1–0
Konyaspor1–0L
Galatasaray0–4
Galatasaray0–4W
Al Arabi3–1
Al Arabi3–1Kasımpaşa (A)WEyüpspor1–0
Eyüpspor1–0LGalatasaray1–3
Galatasaray1–3W
Gençlerbirliği S.K.2–1
Gençlerbirliği S.K.2–1D
Başakşehir1–1
Başakşehir1–1WÇorum FK1–0
Çorum FK1–0LGençlerbirliği S.K.2–3
Gençlerbirliği S.K.2–3Number of Corners
7.4
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.5
90 games
10.8
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Erzurumspor FK | Kasımpaşa | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 60% | 80% | 72% |
| Over 8 | 10% | 70% | 58% |
| Over 9 | 10% | 60% | 49% |
| Over 10 | 10% | 50% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 30% | 23% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 30% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 20% | 13% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Erzurumspor FK | Kasımpaşa |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.5 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 6.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 70% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 40% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 20% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 70% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 90% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 80% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
1
Erzurumspor FK
25%
1
Draws
25%
2
Kasımpaşa
50%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
0%
Over 3.5
0/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
08/05/21Kasımpaşa
Erzurumspor FK
0–1Kasımpaşa18/01/21Erzurumspor FK
Kasımpaşa
1–2Erzurumspor FK07/04/19Erzurumspor FK
Kasımpaşa
2–1Erzurumspor FK27/10/18Kasımpaşa
Erzurumspor FK
1–1Kasımpaşa| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Amed | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +16 | 22 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 19 |
| 5 | Kasımpaşa | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 |  Fenerbahçe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +14 | 16 |
| 7 | Çorum FK | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 16 |
| 8 |  Kocaelispor | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 9 |  Göztepe | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 | Başakşehir | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 | Erzurumspor FK | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 |  Alanyaspor | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 |  Rizespor | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 | Konyaspor | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Gaziantep FK | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -16 | 4 |
| 18 | Eyüpspor | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -25 | 3 |
Team Insights
Erzurumspor FK- ●Erzurumspor FK have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Erzurumspor FK have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Erzurumspor FK failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
Kasımpaşa- ●Kasımpaşa have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Kasımpaşa have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kasımpaşa have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Kasımpaşa failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Kasımpaşa have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Kasımpaşa have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Kasımpaşa have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Erzurumspor FKLHÇorum FK1–3
Çorum FK1–3WAGaziantep FK3–1
Gaziantep FK3–1WHEyüpspor2–0
Eyüpspor2–0DAAlanyaspor0–0
Alanyaspor0–0WHSamsunspor1–0
Samsunspor1–0LABeşiktaş0–3
Beşiktaş0–3–ARizespor08/11
Rizespor08/11–HGöztepe22/11
Göztepe22/11–AFenerbahçe29/11
Fenerbahçe29/11KasımpaşaDHBeşiktaş2–2
Beşiktaş2–2WAEyüpspor1–0
Eyüpspor1–0WHSamsunspor4–1
Samsunspor4–1LAGalatasaray1–3
Galatasaray1–3DHKonyaspor0–0
Konyaspor0–0WAGençlerbirliği S.K.2–1
Gençlerbirliği S.K.2–1–AGaziantep FK06/11
Gaziantep FK06/11–HAlanyaspor22/11
Alanyaspor22/11–ARizespor27/11
Rizespor27/11Top Scorers
Erzurumspor FKM. Cardoso3 ⚽
E. Tozlu2 ⚽
A. Gerxhaliu1 ⚽
Eren Tozlu1 ⚽
G. Giorbelidze1 ⚽
I. Diabate1 ⚽
KasımpaşaA. Benedyczak5 ⚽
G. Yalcin3 ⚽
A. Arous2 ⚽
C. Winck2 ⚽
F. Diabate2 ⚽
M. Ben Ouanes2 ⚽
Cards Given
Erzurumspor FKE. Tozlu2 🟨
E. Owusu2 🟨
G. Giorbelidze1 🟨
M. Cardoso1 🟨
M. Yumlu1 🟨
Martín Rodríguez1 🟨
KasımpaşaE. Belozoglu4 🟨
E. Mendes3 🟨
C. Winck3 🟨
A. Kol2 🟨
A. Karapo2 🟨
K. Demirbay2 🟨