Eastleigh vs Southend — National League
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Eastleigh and Southend meet in the National League 2026 season on 30 September 2026. Eastleigh have recorded 3 wins from 13 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 0.92 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Southend have won 42% of their 12 matches, with 1.83 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 83%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for Eastleigh and 1.67 for Southend. The models give Eastleigh a 31% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Southend win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Eastleigh—
Southend11º
Position
5º
1.57
PPG
2.00
43%
Win %
57%
1.29
Goals / game
2.00
1.14
Conceded / game
1.43
54%
BTTS %
83%
8%
Clean sheet %
17%
46%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Eastleigh
Home (4)
—
Southend
Away (4)
2.00
PPG
2.00
50%
Win %
50%
1.75
Goals / game
2.25
1.25
Conceded / game
1.25
71%
BTTS %
100%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
57%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Eastleigh | Home | Away | Southend | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 62% | 71% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 23% | 29% | 17% | 42% | 25% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 14% | 0% | 33% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 29% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Eastleigh | Home | Away | Southend | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 92% | 100% | 83% | 83% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 43% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 29% | 17% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 8% | 0% | 17% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Eastleigh | Southend | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 8% |
| BTTS | 54% | 83% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 58% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Eastleigh | Southend | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 45% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 54% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 8% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 46% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 77% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 23% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Eastleigh (H)D
Boreham Wood1–1
Boreham Wood1–1D
Aldershot Town1–1
Aldershot Town1–1W
Scunthorpe3–2
Scunthorpe3–2W
Gateshead2–1
Gateshead2–1L
Crawley Town0–1
Crawley Town0–1L
Valenciennes0–3
Valenciennes0–3Southend (A)D
Carlisle2–2
Carlisle2–2D
Woking1–1
Woking1–1W
Solihull Moors3–1
Solihull Moors3–1W
Altrincham3–1
Altrincham3–1LScunthorpe0–1
Scunthorpe0–1L
Hartlepool3–4
Hartlepool3–4Head to Head · 11 matches
3
Eastleigh
27%
1
Draws
9%
7
Southend
64%
73%
Over 1.5
8/11
45%
Over 2.5
5/11
18%
Over 3.5
2/11
55%
BTTS
6/11
20/01/26Eastleigh
Southend
4–1Eastleigh24/09/25Southend
Eastleigh
2–1Southend22/03/25Southend
Eastleigh
1–2Southend12/10/24Southend
Eastleigh
0–1Southend10/09/24Eastleigh
Southend
2–0Eastleigh13/01/24Southend
Eastleigh
0–1Southend25/08/23Eastleigh
Southend
2–0Eastleigh28/01/23Eastleigh
Southend
1–3Eastleigh27/08/22Southend
Eastleigh
2–1Southend22/02/22Southend
Eastleigh
1–1Southend05/10/21Eastleigh
Southend
1–0Eastleigh| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 17 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 |  AFC Fylde | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 4 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 | Southend | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Aldershot Town | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Forest Green | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 |  AFC Hornchurch | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Sutton Utd | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Yeovil Town | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 | Carlisle | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 13 |  FC Halifax Town | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +2 | 9 |
| 14 | Hartlepool | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Altrincham | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 |  Worthing | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 17 |  Wealdstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 18 | Scunthorpe | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 19 | Woking | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 20 |  Boston United | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 21 |  Barrow | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 22 |  Tamworth | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 23 | Gateshead | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 1 |
Team Insights
Eastleigh- ●Eastleigh have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Eastleigh have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Eastleigh have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Eastleigh have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●78% of Eastleigh's goals have been scored at home.
Southend- ●Southend have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Southend failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Southend have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Southend have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Southend have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●64% of Southend's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
EastleighDHBoreham Wood1–1
Boreham Wood1–1LAAltrincham1–2
Altrincham1–2DHAldershot Town1–1
Aldershot Town1–1WAHartlepool1–0
Hartlepool1–0WHScunthorpe3–2
Scunthorpe3–2LAKidderminster Harriers0–1
Kidderminster Harriers0–1–ASutton Utd15/09
Sutton Utd15/09–HCarlisle19/09
Carlisle19/09–AHarrogate Town26/09
Harrogate Town26/09SouthendDACarlisle2–2
Carlisle2–2WHYeovil Town3–2
Yeovil Town3–2DAWoking1–1
Woking1–1LHKidderminster Harriers1–3
Kidderminster Harriers1–3WASolihull Moors3–1
Solihull Moors3–1WHScunthorpe1–0
Scunthorpe1–0–HTamworth15/09
Tamworth15/09–AGateshead19/09
Gateshead19/09–HBarrow26/09
Barrow26/09Top Scorers
EastleighJ. Lundstram3 ⚽
A. Blair3 ⚽
H. Sidwell2 ⚽
T. Eweka1 ⚽
N. Akoto1 ⚽
N. Khumbeni1 ⚽
SouthendL. Chambers-Parillon5 ⚽
H. Cardwell4 ⚽
R. Colclough2 ⚽
J. Popoola2 ⚽
O. Coker2 ⚽
S. Kamara2 ⚽
Cards Given
EastleighA. Blair3 🟨
T. Eweka2 🟨
H. Sidwell1 🟨
I. Bakare1 🟨
J. Cousins1 🟨
R. Johnson1 🟨
SouthendV. Daley-Campbell3 🟨
P. Omochere2 🟨
D. Cox2 🟨
H. Cardwell1 🟨
H. Taylor1 🟨
A. Hartigan1 🟨