Aldershot Town vs Carlisle — National League
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Aldershot Town and Carlisle meet in the National League 2026 season on 3 October 2026. Aldershot Town have recorded 10 wins from 17 matches this season (59% win rate), averaging 1.41 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 41% of games. Carlisle have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 2.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 80%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Aldershot Town and 1.31 for Carlisle. The models give Aldershot Town a 36% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Carlisle win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Aldershot Town—
Carlisle6º
Position
12º
2.00
PPG
1.29
57%
Win %
29%
1.29
Goals / game
2.14
0.71
Conceded / game
1.71
47%
BTTS %
80%
41%
Clean sheet %
10%
41%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Aldershot Town
Home (3)
—
Carlisle
Away (3)
2.00
PPG
0.67
67%
Win %
0%
1.33
Goals / game
1.00
0.67
Conceded / game
1.33
50%
BTTS %
80%
25%
Clean sheet %
20%
63%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Aldershot Town | Home | Away | Carlisle | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 75% | 89% | 90% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 50% | 56% | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 13% | 0% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 25% | 11% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Aldershot Town | Home | Away | Carlisle | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 59% | 75% | 44% | 90% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 18% | 38% | 0% | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 25% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 41% | 25% | 56% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aldershot Town | Carlisle | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 40% |
| BTTS | 47% | 80% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aldershot Town | Carlisle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 60% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 35% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 35% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 10% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 60% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 29% | 80% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Aldershot Town (H)L
West Ham United U210–3
West Ham United U210–3W
FC Halifax Town1–0
FC Halifax Town1–0W
Harrogate Town3–1
Harrogate Town3–1D
Fulham U212–2
Fulham U212–2L
Hartlepool0–1
Hartlepool0–1L
Oxford United1–3
Oxford United1–3Carlisle (A)L
Boreham Wood1–2
Boreham Wood1–2D
Wealdstone1–1
Wealdstone1–1D
Yeovil Town1–1
Yeovil Town1–1W
Derby County U213–0
Derby County U213–0W
Darlington 18834–2
Darlington 18834–2W
Truro City1–0
Truro City1–0Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Aldershot Town
33%
0
Draws
0%
2
Carlisle
67%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
0%
Over 2.5
0/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
0%
BTTS
0/3
10/03/26Carlisle
Aldershot Town
0–2Carlisle13/09/25Aldershot Town
Carlisle
2–0Aldershot Town30/08/11Carlisle
Aldershot Town
2–0Carlisle| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 17 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 |  AFC Fylde | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 4 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  Southend | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Aldershot Town | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Forest Green | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 |  AFC Hornchurch | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Sutton Utd | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Yeovil Town | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Eastleigh | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 | Carlisle | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 13 | FC Halifax Town | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +2 | 9 |
| 14 | Hartlepool | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 |  Altrincham | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 |  Worthing | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 17 | Wealdstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 18 |  Scunthorpe | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 19 |  Woking | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 20 |  Boston United | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 21 |  Barrow | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 22 |  Tamworth | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 23 |  Gateshead | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 24 |  Solihull Moors | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 1 |
Team Insights
Aldershot Town- ●Aldershot Town have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Aldershot Town have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Aldershot Town have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Aldershot Town have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Aldershot Town have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Carlisle- ●Carlisle failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Carlisle have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Carlisle have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Carlisle have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Carlisle have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●80% of Carlisle's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Carlisle's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●78% of Carlisle's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Aldershot TownWASolihull Moors2–1
Solihull Moors2–1WHFC Halifax Town1–0
FC Halifax Town1–0DAEastleigh1–1
Eastleigh1–1WHHarrogate Town3–1
Harrogate Town3–1DAKidderminster Harriers1–1
Kidderminster Harriers1–1LHHartlepool0–1
Hartlepool0–1–HYeovil Town15/09
Yeovil Town15/09–ABarrow19/09
Barrow19/09–HTamworth26/09
Tamworth26/09CarlisleDHSouthend2–2
Southend2–2LABoreham Wood1–2
Boreham Wood1–2WHScunthorpe4–2
Scunthorpe4–2DAWealdstone1–1
Wealdstone1–1WHAFC Hornchurch4–1
AFC Hornchurch4–1DAYeovil Town1–1
Yeovil Town1–1–HForest Green15/09
Forest Green15/09–AEastleigh19/09
Eastleigh19/09–HWoking26/09
Woking26/09Top Scorers
Aldershot TownT. Abrahams5 ⚽
M. Wyllie4 ⚽
B. Peart3 ⚽
J. Gilbert2 ⚽
H. Sandah2 ⚽
T. Dyce1 ⚽
CarlisleH. Bunker4 ⚽
G. Kelly4 ⚽
M. Azeez3 ⚽
R. Linney3 ⚽
2 ⚽
J. Williams1 ⚽
Cards Given
Aldershot TownH. Sandah3 🟨
T. Dyce3 🟨
K. Frimpong2 🟨
K. Oshilaja2 🟨
T. Abrahams2 🟨
C. Lawless1 🟨
CarlisleR. Linney2 🟨
G. Kelly1 🟨
J. Ellis1 🟨
B. Nicholson1 🟨
M. Azeez1 🟨
S. Wearne1 🟨