Hartlepool vs Tamworth — National League
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Hartlepool and Tamworth meet in the National League 2026 season on 3 October 2026. Hartlepool have recorded 7 wins from 14 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.07 goals scored and 1.79 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 29% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Tamworth have won 35% of their 17 matches, with 2.06 goals scored and 2.35 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 94%, Over 2.5 at 94%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.87 for Hartlepool and 1.36 for Tamworth. The models give Hartlepool a 49% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Tamworth win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Hartlepool | Home | Away | Tamworth | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 43% | 71% | 94% | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 14% | 43% | 59% | 56% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 29% | 35% | 33% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 57% | 29% | 6% | 0% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Hartlepool | Home | Away | Tamworth | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 57% | 86% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 29% | 57% | 76% | 67% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 29% | 0% | 41% | 22% | 63% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 43% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Hartlepool | Tamworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 57% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 94% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 76% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 41% |
| BTTS | 29% | 94% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 35% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 88% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Hartlepool | Tamworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 24% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 76% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 71% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 82% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 59% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 5 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 17 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 | |
| 9 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +2 | 9 | |
| 14 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 | |
| 15 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 9 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 | |
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 | |
| 19 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 | |
| 20 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 | |
| 21 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 | |
| 22 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 | |
| 23 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 | |
| 24 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Hartlepool have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Tamworth have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Tamworth failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Tamworth have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Tamworth have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Tamworth have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Tamworth have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Tamworth have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●68% of Tamworth's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Tamworth have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.