Southend vs AFC Fylde — National League
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Southend and AFC Fylde meet in the National League 2026 season on 3 October 2026. Southend have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.83 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 83% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. AFC Fylde have won 50% of their 14 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 79%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.61 for Southend and 1.79 for AFC Fylde. The models give Southend a 41% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an AFC Fylde win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Southend—
AFC Fylde5º
Position
3º
2.00
PPG
2.00
57%
Win %
57%
2.00
Goals / game
2.43
1.43
Conceded / game
1.43
83%
BTTS %
71%
17%
Clean sheet %
14%
67%
Over 2.5 %
79%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Southend
Home (3)
—
AFC Fylde
Away (4)
2.00
PPG
2.25
67%
Win %
75%
1.67
Goals / game
2.75
1.67
Conceded / game
1.50
75%
BTTS %
78%
25%
Clean sheet %
11%
63%
Over 2.5 %
78%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Southend | Home | Away | AFC Fylde | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 86% | 80% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 25% | 75% | 79% | 80% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 25% | 50% | 29% | 0% | 44% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 20% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Southend | Home | Away | AFC Fylde | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 75% | 100% | 86% | 80% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 50% | 25% | 43% | 80% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 25% | 0% | 21% | 40% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 25% | 0% | 14% | 20% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Southend | AFC Fylde | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 | 58% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 21% |
| BTTS | 83% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 64% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Southend | AFC Fylde | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 45% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 79% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 91% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Southend (H)W
Yeovil Town3–2
Yeovil Town3–2L
Kidderminster Harriers1–3
Kidderminster Harriers1–3W
Scunthorpe1–0
Scunthorpe1–0W
Aveley4–0
Aveley4–0D
Leyton Orient1–1
Leyton Orient1–1L
Northampton1–3
Northampton1–3AFC Fylde (A)WYeovil Town4–1
Yeovil Town4–1W
Solihull Moors3–1
Solihull Moors3–1L
Woking2–3
Woking2–3W
Tamworth2–1
Tamworth2–1L
Rylands0–2
Rylands0–2D
Morecambe1–1
Morecambe1–1Head to Head · 4 matches
2
Southend
50%
0
Draws
0%
2
AFC Fylde
50%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
0%
Over 3.5
0/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
28/01/25AFC Fylde
Southend
2–0AFC Fylde17/09/24Southend
AFC Fylde
2–1Southend13/04/24Southend
AFC Fylde
0–2Southend23/09/23AFC Fylde
Southend
1–2AFC Fylde| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 17 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | AFC Fylde | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 4 | Kidderminster Harriers | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 | Southend | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Aldershot Town | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Forest Green | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 |  AFC Hornchurch | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Sutton Utd | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Yeovil Town | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Eastleigh | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 |  Carlisle | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 13 |  FC Halifax Town | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Hartlepool | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 |  Altrincham | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 |  Worthing | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 17 |  Wealdstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 18 | Scunthorpe | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 19 | Woking | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 20 |  Boston United | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 21 |  Barrow | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 22 | Tamworth | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 23 |  Gateshead | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 1 |
Team Insights
Southend- ●Southend have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Southend failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Southend have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Southend have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Southend have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●64% of Southend's goals have been scored away.
AFC Fylde- ●AFC Fylde have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●AFC Fylde have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●AFC Fylde have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●AFC Fylde have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●AFC Fylde have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●AFC Fylde have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●AFC Fylde have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●65% of AFC Fylde's goals have been scored away.
- ●64% of AFC Fylde's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
SouthendDACarlisle2–2
Carlisle2–2WHYeovil Town3–2
Yeovil Town3–2DAWoking1–1
Woking1–1LHKidderminster Harriers1–3
Kidderminster Harriers1–3WASolihull Moors3–1
Solihull Moors3–1WHScunthorpe1–0
Scunthorpe1–0–HTamworth15/09
Tamworth15/09–AGateshead19/09
Gateshead19/09–HBarrow26/09
Barrow26/09AFC FyldeWAYeovil Town4–1
Yeovil Town4–1DHWorthing2–2
Worthing2–2WASolihull Moors3–1
Solihull Moors3–1WHForest Green2–0
Forest Green2–0LAWoking2–3
Woking2–3WATamworth2–1
Tamworth2–1–AHarrogate Town15/09
Harrogate Town15/09–HAltrincham19/09
Altrincham19/09–ABoston United26/09
Boston United26/09Top Scorers
SouthendL. Chambers-Parillon5 ⚽
H. Cardwell4 ⚽
R. Colclough2 ⚽
J. Popoola2 ⚽
O. Coker2 ⚽
S. Kamara2 ⚽
AFC FyldeL. Thomas5 ⚽
H. Broad4 ⚽
D. Hadley-Allen3 ⚽
J. Morris3 ⚽
D. Ormerod2 ⚽
G. Olley2 ⚽
Cards Given
SouthendV. Daley-Campbell3 🟨
P. Omochere2 🟨
D. Cox2 🟨
H. Cardwell1 🟨
H. Taylor1 🟨
A. Hartigan1 🟨
AFC FyldeT. Upton2 🟨
H. Broad2 🟨
L. Thomas2 🟨
T. Whelan1 🟨
A. Drewe1 🟨
Z. Jones1 🟨