Carlisle vs Kidderminster Harriers — National League
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Carlisle and Kidderminster Harriers meet in the National League 2026 season on 10 October 2026. Carlisle have recorded 4 wins from 12 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.92 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Kidderminster Harriers have won 62% of their 13 matches, with 1.92 goals scored and 0.54 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 31%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 62%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.77 for Carlisle and 1.64 for Kidderminster Harriers. The models give Carlisle a 44% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Kidderminster Harriers win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Carlisle | Home | Away | Kidderminster Harriers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 83% | 83% | 77% | 83% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 67% | 33% | 46% | 17% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 33% | 33% | 31% | 0% | 57% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 17% | 17% | 23% | 17% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Carlisle | Home | Away | Kidderminster Harriers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 92% | 100% | 83% | 38% | 33% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 67% | 33% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 17% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 8% | 0% | 17% | 62% | 67% | 57% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Carlisle | Kidderminster Harriers | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 23% |
| BTTS | 75% | 31% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 15% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 23% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Carlisle | Kidderminster Harriers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 54% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 8% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 8% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 23 | |
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 18 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 15 | |
| 9 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 15 | |
| 10 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 15 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 | |
| 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 | |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 13 | |
| 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 | |
| 15 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 10 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 | |
| 19 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 9 | |
| 20 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 | |
| 21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 | |
| 22 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 7 | |
| 23 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 4 | |
| 24 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●Carlisle have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Carlisle failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Carlisle have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Carlisle failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Carlisle have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Carlisle have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Carlisle failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●81% of Carlisle's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Carlisle's points have been earned at home.
- ●Kidderminster Harriers have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Kidderminster Harriers have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Kidderminster Harriers have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Kidderminster Harriers have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Kidderminster Harriers have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kidderminster Harriers have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Kidderminster Harriers have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.