Boston United vs Southend — National League
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Boston United and Southend meet in the National League 2026 season on 10 October 2026. Boston United have recorded 4 wins from 15 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Southend have won 46% of their 13 matches, with 1.92 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 85%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.32 for Boston United and 1.67 for Southend. The models give Boston United a 28% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Southend win at 46%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Boston United—
Southend18º
Position
3º
1.00
PPG
2.13
25%
Win %
63%
1.25
Goals / game
2.13
1.50
Conceded / game
1.38
47%
BTTS %
85%
27%
Clean sheet %
15%
40%
Over 2.5 %
69%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Boston United
Home (5)
—
Southend
Away (4)
0.80
PPG
2.00
20%
Win %
50%
1.00
Goals / game
2.25
1.60
Conceded / game
1.25
40%
BTTS %
100%
30%
Clean sheet %
0%
30%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Boston United | Home | Away | Southend | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 60% | 80% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 20% | 60% | 46% | 33% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 40% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Boston United | Home | Away | Southend | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 70% | 80% | 85% | 78% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 30% | 60% | 38% | 44% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 30% | 0% | 15% | 22% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 30% | 20% | 15% | 22% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Boston United | Southend | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 62% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 8% |
| BTTS | 47% | 85% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 31% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 62% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Boston United | Southend | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 53% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Boston United (H)D
Woking1–1
Woking1–1L
Wealdstone1–3
Wealdstone1–3L
West Bromwich Albion U210–1
West Bromwich Albion U210–1L
AFC Hornchurch2–3
AFC Hornchurch2–3W
Altrincham1–0
Altrincham1–0L
Birmingham City U212–3
Birmingham City U212–3Southend (A)D
Carlisle2–2
Carlisle2–2DWoking1–1
Woking1–1W
Solihull Moors3–1
Solihull Moors3–1WAltrincham3–1
Altrincham3–1L
Scunthorpe0–1
Scunthorpe0–1L
Hartlepool3–4
Hartlepool3–4Head to Head · 4 matches
1
Boston United
25%
2
Draws
50%
1
Southend
25%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
24/01/26Southend
Boston United
3–3Southend13/09/25Boston United
Southend
1–1Boston United25/03/25Southend
Boston United
3–0Southend20/08/24Boston United
Southend
2–0Boston United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AFC Fylde | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 2 |  Boreham Wood | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 17 |
| 3 | Southend | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 |  Harrogate Town | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 5 |  Aldershot Town | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 6 |  Sutton Utd | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 8 |  Forest Green | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 9 |  FC Halifax Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Yeovil Town | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 11 | AFC Hornchurch | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Worthing | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 |  Eastleigh | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 15 | Hartlepool | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Altrincham | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Woking | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 18 | Boston United | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 20 | Scunthorpe | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 21 |  Barrow | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 |  Tamworth | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
| 23 |  Gateshead | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
Boston United- ●Boston United have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Boston United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Boston United have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Boston United have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Boston United failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●67% of Boston United's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Boston United have scored 70% of their goals in the first half.
Southend- ●Southend have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Southend failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Southend have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Southend have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Southend have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Southend have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Southend have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Southend have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Season Schedule
Boston UnitedDHWoking1–1
Woking1–1LHWealdstone1–3
Wealdstone1–3DATamworth2–2
Tamworth2–2LHAFC Hornchurch2–3
AFC Hornchurch2–3LABoreham Wood1–2
Boreham Wood1–2WHAltrincham1–0
Altrincham1–0–AForest Green19/09
Forest Green19/09–HAFC Fylde26/09
AFC Fylde26/09–AFC Halifax Town29/09
FC Halifax Town29/09SouthendWHTamworth3–1
Tamworth3–1DACarlisle2–2
Carlisle2–2WHYeovil Town3–2
Yeovil Town3–2DAWoking1–1
Woking1–1LHKidderminster Harriers1–3
Kidderminster Harriers1–3WASolihull Moors3–1
Solihull Moors3–1–AGateshead19/09
Gateshead19/09–HBarrow26/09
Barrow26/09–AEastleigh30/09
Eastleigh30/09Top Scorers
Boston UnitedK. Aboh4 ⚽
L. Wheeldon2 ⚽
T. Cursons2 ⚽
J. Grimes2 ⚽
Trialist B1 ⚽
Trialist D1 ⚽
SouthendL. Chambers-Parillon6 ⚽
H. Cardwell4 ⚽
P. Omochere2 ⚽
J. Popoola2 ⚽
O. Coker2 ⚽
R. Colclough2 ⚽
Cards Given
Boston UnitedJ. Rooney3 🟨
S. Sachdev2 🟨
N. Pozo2 🟨
N. Canavan2 🟨
G. Holohan2 🟨
T. Agyemang2 🟨
SouthendV. Daley-Campbell3 🟨
D. Cox2 🟨
P. Omochere2 🟨
D. Oldaker2 🟨
A. Hartigan1 🟨
L. Chambers-Parillon1 🟨