AFC Hornchurch vs Eastleigh — National League
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AFC Hornchurch and Eastleigh meet in the National League 2026 season on 10 October 2026. AFC Hornchurch have recorded 11 wins from 19 matches this season (58% win rate), averaging 1.63 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Eastleigh have won 27% of their 15 matches, with 0.93 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for AFC Hornchurch and 0.95 for Eastleigh. The models give AFC Hornchurch a 50% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Eastleigh win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
AFC HornchurchEastleighHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| AFC Hornchurch | Home | Away | Eastleigh | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 83% | 71% | 67% | 75% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 50% | 57% | 20% | 25% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 32% | 33% | 29% | 7% | 13% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 17% | 29% | 33% | 25% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| AFC Hornchurch | Home | Away | Eastleigh | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 42% | 86% | 87% | 88% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 8% | 57% | 47% | 38% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 0% | 43% | 20% | 25% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 58% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AFC Hornchurch | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 13% |
| BTTS | 42% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 5% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 26% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AFC Hornchurch | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 37% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 26% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
AFC Hornchurch (H)
Scunthorpe1–0
Ipswich Town U213–0
Forest Green0–1
Woking1–0
Norwich City U211–2
Kidderminster Harriers3–0Eastleigh (A)
Sutton Utd1–2
Altrincham1–2
Hartlepool1–0Kidderminster Harriers0–1
Farnham Town0–1
Poole Town0–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |  Southend | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 3 | Kidderminster Harriers | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 |  AFC Fylde | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Harrogate Town | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 6 | Sutton Utd | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yeovil Town | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Aldershot Town | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 | AFC Hornchurch | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Altrincham | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Worthing | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 13 |  FC Halifax Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 14 | Forest Green | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 |  Boston United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 16 |  Carlisle | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 17 |  Barrow | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 | Woking | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 | Hartlepool | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 |  Wealdstone | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 |  Tamworth | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 23 |  Solihull Moors | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 4 |
Team Insights
AFC Hornchurch- ●AFC Hornchurch have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●92% of AFC Hornchurch's goals conceded were conceded away.
Eastleigh- ●Eastleigh have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Eastleigh have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Eastleigh have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Eastleigh have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Eastleigh failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●73% of Eastleigh's goals have been scored at home.
- ●79% of Eastleigh's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe1–0Worthing0–1FC Halifax Town0–3Forest Green0–1Boston United3–2Woking1–0Altrincham26/09Aldershot Town29/09Harrogate Town03/10EastleighCarlisle1–0Sutton Utd1–2Boreham Wood1–1Altrincham1–2Aldershot Town1–1Hartlepool1–0Harrogate Town26/09Southend30/09Woking03/10Top Scorers
AFC HornchurchEastleighCards Given
AFC HornchurchEastleigh