Tamworth vs Barrow — National League
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Tamworth and Barrow meet in the National League 2026 season on 10 October 2026. Tamworth have recorded 7 wins from 19 matches this season (37% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 2.32 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 95% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 95%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Barrow have won 43% of their 14 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.74 for Tamworth and 1.35 for Barrow. The models give Tamworth a 46% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Barrow win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Tamworth—
Barrow21º
Position
17º
0.89
PPG
1.00
22%
Win %
22%
1.78
Goals / game
1.22
2.56
Conceded / game
1.33
95%
BTTS %
43%
0%
Clean sheet %
43%
95%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tamworth
Home (4)
—
Barrow
Away (5)
1.75
PPG
0.60
50%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.75
Conceded / game
1.60
100%
BTTS %
43%
0%
Clean sheet %
29%
90%
Over 2.5 %
29%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tamworth | Home | Away | Barrow | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 95% | 100% | 89% | 79% | 100% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 60% | 56% | 43% | 57% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 32% | 30% | 33% | 14% | 29% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 5% | 0% | 11% | 21% | 0% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Tamworth | Home | Away | Barrow | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 57% | 43% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 74% | 60% | 89% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 42% | 20% | 67% | 7% | 14% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 43% | 57% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tamworth | Barrow | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 95% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 74% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 37% | 7% |
| BTTS | 95% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 37% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 89% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tamworth | Barrow | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 37% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 68% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 68% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 68% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 79% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 95% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Tamworth (H)W
Wealdstone2–1
Wealdstone2–1L
Middlesbrough U211–3
Middlesbrough U211–3D
Boston United2–2
Boston United2–2W
Worthing3–2
Worthing3–2W
Newcastle United U215–3
Newcastle United U215–3L
AFC Fylde1–2
AFC Fylde1–2Barrow (A)L
Solihull Moors0–1
Solihull Moors0–1DWorthing2–2
Worthing2–2D
Kidderminster Harriers1–1
Kidderminster Harriers1–1D
Harrogate Town2–2
Harrogate Town2–2L
Hartlepool0–2
Hartlepool0–2W
Morecambe1–0
Morecambe1–0Head to Head · 6 matches
0
Tamworth
0%
1
Draws
17%
5
Barrow
83%
100%
Over 1.5
6/6
33%
Over 2.5
2/6
33%
Over 3.5
2/6
50%
BTTS
3/6
19/07/25Barrow
Tamworth
0–2Barrow02/03/13Tamworth
Barrow
2–0Tamworth20/10/12Tamworth
Barrow
2–0Tamworth08/09/12Barrow
Tamworth
1–3Barrow21/01/12Barrow
Tamworth
2–3Barrow13/08/11Tamworth
Barrow
1–1Tamworth| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |  Southend | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 3 | Kidderminster Harriers | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 | Harrogate Town | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 6 |  Sutton Utd | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yeovil Town | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Aldershot Town | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 |  AFC Hornchurch | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Altrincham | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Worthing | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 12 |  Eastleigh | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 13 |  FC Halifax Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 14 |  Forest Green | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Boston United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 16 |  Carlisle | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 17 | Barrow | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |  Woking | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 | Hartlepool | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Wealdstone | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 | Tamworth | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 22 |  Scunthorpe | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 4 |
Team Insights
Tamworth- ●Tamworth failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Tamworth have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Tamworth have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Tamworth have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Tamworth have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Tamworth failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Tamworth have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Tamworth have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Tamworth failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Tamworth have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Tamworth have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●70% of Tamworth's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●87% of Tamworth's points have been earned at home.
Barrow- ●Barrow have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Barrow have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Barrow have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Barrow failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Barrow failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Barrow's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
TamworthWHWealdstone2–1
Wealdstone2–1LASouthend1–3
Southend1–3LAHarrogate Town1–3
Harrogate Town1–3DHBoston United2–2
Boston United2–2LAYeovil Town2–3
Yeovil Town2–3WHWorthing3–2
Worthing3–2–AAldershot Town26/09
Aldershot Town26/09–HSutton Utd30/09
Sutton Utd30/09–AHartlepool03/10
Hartlepool03/10BarrowWHAldershot Town1–0
Aldershot Town1–0LASolihull Moors0–1
Solihull Moors0–1DAWorthing2–2
Worthing2–2WHSutton Utd3–0
Sutton Utd3–0DAKidderminster Harriers1–1
Kidderminster Harriers1–1LHYeovil Town1–2
Yeovil Town1–2–ASouthend26/09
Southend26/09–HScunthorpe29/09
Scunthorpe29/09–HWealdstone03/10
Wealdstone03/10Top Scorers
TamworthK. Donnelly8 ⚽
J. Hutchinson5 ⚽
D. Creaney4 ⚽
T. McGlinchey3 ⚽
N. Tshikuna3 ⚽
T. Kurtaran3 ⚽
BarrowI. Cameron4 ⚽
R. Harper3 ⚽
A. Reid2 ⚽
B. Whitfield2 ⚽
M. Lane2 ⚽
K. Ward1 ⚽
Cards Given
TamworthJ. Rye4 🟨
K. Donnelly3 🟨
L. Fairlamb3 🟨
B. Milnes2 🟨
J. Cullinane-Liburd2 🟨
D. Creaney2 🟨
BarrowM. Williams6 🟨
S. Smith4 🟨
P. Kalambayi3 🟨
I. Marriott3 🟨
D. Amos2 🟨
K. Digie2 🟨