Gateshead vs Tamworth — National League
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Gateshead and Tamworth meet in the National League 2026 season on 23 October 2026. Gateshead have recorded 2 wins from 21 matches this season (10% win rate), averaging 1.10 goals scored and 2.19 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Tamworth have won 42% of their 24 matches, with 1.83 goals scored and 2.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 83%, Over 2.5 at 83%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.80 for Gateshead and 1.58 for Tamworth. The models give Gateshead a 38% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Tamworth win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Gateshead—
Tamworth24º
Position
18º
0.31
PPG
1.08
8%
Win %
31%
0.62
Goals / game
1.62
2.38
Conceded / game
2.31
62%
BTTS %
83%
10%
Clean sheet %
13%
62%
Over 2.5 %
83%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Gateshead
Home (6)
—
Tamworth
Away (7)
0.67
PPG
0.57
17%
Win %
14%
0.83
Goals / game
1.43
1.83
Conceded / game
3.00
70%
BTTS %
82%
10%
Clean sheet %
9%
40%
Over 2.5 %
91%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Gateshead | Home | Away | Tamworth | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 80% | 64% | 96% | 100% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 14% | 10% | 18% | 50% | 54% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 0% | 18% | 25% | 23% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 20% | 36% | 4% | 0% | 9% |
Goals Conceded
| Gateshead | Home | Away | Tamworth | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 90% | 90% | 91% | 88% | 85% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 40% | 73% | 67% | 54% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 30% | 45% | 38% | 15% | 64% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 10% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 9% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gateshead | Tamworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 33% |
| BTTS | 62% | 83% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 79% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gateshead | Tamworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 52% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 24% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 58% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Gateshead (H)L
Worthing1–2
Worthing1–2L
Altrincham0–1
Altrincham0–1L
Southend1–6
Southend1–6L
Derby County U211–3
Derby County U211–3D
Solihull Moors1–1
Solihull Moors1–1L
Sutton Utd0–1
Sutton Utd0–1Tamworth (A)W
Hartlepool1–0
Hartlepool1–0L
Aldershot Town1–5
Aldershot Town1–5LSouthend1–3
Southend1–3L
Harrogate Town1–3
Harrogate Town1–3L
Yeovil Town2–3
Yeovil Town2–3L
FC Halifax Town1–4
FC Halifax Town1–4Head to Head · 11 matches
3
Gateshead
27%
2
Draws
18%
6
Tamworth
55%
91%
Over 1.5
10/11
45%
Over 2.5
5/11
18%
Over 3.5
2/11
55%
BTTS
6/11
03/01/26Gateshead
Tamworth
3–1Gateshead23/08/25Tamworth
Gateshead
2–1Tamworth22/03/25Tamworth
Gateshead
0–2Tamworth08/10/24Gateshead
Tamworth
2–1Gateshead05/04/14Tamworth
Gateshead
5–0Tamworth21/09/13Gateshead
Tamworth
0–1Gateshead02/02/13Gateshead
Tamworth
2–0Gateshead15/09/12Tamworth
Gateshead
0–2Tamworth24/03/12Gateshead
Tamworth
1–1Gateshead03/12/11Tamworth
Gateshead
1–2Tamworth01/10/11Tamworth
Gateshead
1–1Tamworth| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | +21 | 35 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +12 | 28 |
| 3 | Southend | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 27 |
| 4 | Yeovil Town | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 25 |
| 5 | Worthing | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +9 | 24 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 |  AFC Fylde | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 23 |
| 8 |  Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 9 |  AFC Hornchurch | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 21 |
| 10 | FC Halifax Town | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 20 |
| 11 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 20 |
| 12 | Aldershot Town | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 | Sutton Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 18 |
| 14 |  Carlisle | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 15 |  Woking | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 15 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 14 |
| 19 |  Wealdstone | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 12 |
| 20 | Hartlepool | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | -7 | 12 |
| 21 |  Boston United | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 12 |
| 22 |  Scunthorpe | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 10 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -22 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 4 |
Team Insights
Gateshead- ●Gateshead have failed to win in their last 11 matches.
- ●Gateshead have lost their last 7 matches.
- ●Gateshead failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Gateshead have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Gateshead have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Gateshead failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Gateshead have lost their last 7 away matches.
- ●Gateshead failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Gateshead failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Gateshead have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Gateshead failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Gateshead have lost 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●63% of Gateshead's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Gateshead's goals conceded were conceded away.
Tamworth- ●Tamworth have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Tamworth have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Tamworth have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Tamworth failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Tamworth have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Tamworth failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Tamworth have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Tamworth have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●70% of Tamworth's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
GatesheadLAFC Halifax Town1–4
FC Halifax Town1–4LHWorthing1–2
Worthing1–2LHAltrincham0–1
Altrincham0–1LAWealdstone0–4
Wealdstone0–4LHSouthend1–6
Southend1–6LAKidderminster Harriers0–1
Kidderminster Harriers0–1–HTamworth23/10
Tamworth23/10–ABoston United27/10
Boston United27/10–AAldershot Town31/10
Aldershot Town31/10TamworthLHBarrow1–2
Barrow1–2WAHartlepool1–0
Hartlepool1–0WHSutton Utd2–0
Sutton Utd2–0LAAldershot Town1–5
Aldershot Town1–5WHWealdstone2–1
Wealdstone2–1LASouthend1–3
Southend1–3–AGateshead23/10
Gateshead23/10–HScunthorpe27/10
Scunthorpe27/10–HWoking31/10
Woking31/10Top Scorers
GatesheadL. Supyk2 ⚽
B. Chadwick1 ⚽
D. Eguaibor1 ⚽
Dominic Telford1 ⚽
F. Issaka1 ⚽
A. Lankshear1 ⚽
TamworthK. Donnelly10 ⚽
J. Hutchinson5 ⚽
T. Kurtaran4 ⚽
D. Creaney4 ⚽
N. Tshikuna3 ⚽
T. McGlinchey3 ⚽
Cards Given
GatesheadJ. Robinson5 🟨
K. Ferguson4 🟨
A. Lankshear3 🟨
M. Spellman3 🟨
K. Lewis-Burgess2 🟨
J. Fenton2 🟨
TamworthJ. Rye4 🟨
T. Kurtaran3 🟨
K. Donnelly3 🟨
J. Cullinane-Liburd3 🟨
L. Fairlamb3 🟨
B. Milnes2 🟨