Eastleigh vs Boston United — National League
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Eastleigh and Boston United meet in the National League 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Eastleigh have recorded 4 wins from 15 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 0.93 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Boston United have won 31% of their 16 matches, with 1.13 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Eastleigh and 1.50 for Boston United. The models give Eastleigh a 38% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Boston United win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Eastleigh—
Boston United12º
Position
15º
1.56
PPG
1.22
44%
Win %
33%
1.22
Goals / game
1.44
1.11
Conceded / game
1.44
53%
BTTS %
50%
13%
Clean sheet %
25%
47%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Eastleigh
Home (5)
—
Boston United
Away (4)
2.20
PPG
1.75
60%
Win %
50%
1.60
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.25
63%
BTTS %
67%
13%
Clean sheet %
17%
50%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Eastleigh | Home | Away | Boston United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 75% | 57% | 69% | 60% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 25% | 14% | 38% | 20% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 13% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 25% | 43% | 31% | 40% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Eastleigh | Home | Away | Boston United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 87% | 88% | 86% | 75% | 70% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 38% | 57% | 38% | 30% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 25% | 14% | 19% | 30% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 13% | 14% | 25% | 30% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Eastleigh | Boston United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS | 53% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Eastleigh | Boston United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 13% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Eastleigh (H)W
Carlisle1–0
Carlisle1–0D
Boreham Wood1–1
Boreham Wood1–1D
Aldershot Town1–1
Aldershot Town1–1W
Scunthorpe3–2
Scunthorpe3–2W
Gateshead2–1
Gateshead2–1L
Crawley Town0–1
Crawley Town0–1Boston United (A)W
Forest Green3–1
Forest Green3–1D
Tamworth2–2
Tamworth2–2LBoreham Wood1–2
Boreham Wood1–2W
Solihull Moors2–0
Solihull Moors2–0L
Hednesford Town0–2
Hednesford Town0–2W
Alfreton Town2–1
Alfreton Town2–1Head to Head · 4 matches
3
Eastleigh
75%
1
Draws
25%
0
Boston United
0%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
0%
Over 3.5
0/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
03/01/26Eastleigh
Boston United
1–2Eastleigh23/08/25Boston United
Eastleigh
2–0Boston United22/02/25Eastleigh
Boston United
1–2Eastleigh26/10/24Boston United
Eastleigh
1–1Boston United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |  Southend | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 3 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 |  AFC Fylde | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Harrogate Town | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 6 |  Sutton Utd | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yeovil Town | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 | Aldershot Town | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 |  AFC Hornchurch | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Altrincham | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Worthing | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 13 |  FC Halifax Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 14 | Forest Green | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Boston United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 16 | Carlisle | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 17 |  Barrow | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |  Woking | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Hartlepool | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 |  Wealdstone | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 | Tamworth | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 4 |
Team Insights
Eastleigh- ●Eastleigh have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Eastleigh have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Eastleigh have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Eastleigh have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Eastleigh failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●73% of Eastleigh's goals have been scored at home.
- ●79% of Eastleigh's points have been earned at home.
Boston United- ●Boston United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Boston United have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Boston United have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Boston United have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Boston United failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●62% of Boston United's goals have been scored away.
- ●64% of Boston United's points have been earned away.
- ●Boston United have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
EastleighWHCarlisle1–0
Carlisle1–0LASutton Utd1–2
Sutton Utd1–2DHBoreham Wood1–1
Boreham Wood1–1LAAltrincham1–2
Altrincham1–2DHAldershot Town1–1
Aldershot Town1–1WAHartlepool1–0
Hartlepool1–0–AHarrogate Town26/09
Harrogate Town26/09–HSouthend30/09
Southend30/09–HWoking03/10
Woking03/10Boston UnitedWAForest Green3–1
Forest Green3–1DHWoking1–1
Woking1–1LHWealdstone1–3
Wealdstone1–3DATamworth2–2
Tamworth2–2LHAFC Hornchurch2–3
AFC Hornchurch2–3LABoreham Wood1–2
Boreham Wood1–2–HAFC Fylde26/09
AFC Fylde26/09–AFC Halifax Town29/09
FC Halifax Town29/09–AYeovil Town03/10
Yeovil Town03/10Top Scorers
EastleighA. Blair4 ⚽
J. Lundstram3 ⚽
H. Sidwell2 ⚽
H. Ghandour2 ⚽
N. Akoto1 ⚽
N. Khumbeni1 ⚽
Boston UnitedT. Cursons4 ⚽
K. Aboh4 ⚽
L. Wheeldon3 ⚽
J. Grimes2 ⚽
Trialist B1 ⚽
Trialist D1 ⚽
Cards Given
EastleighT. Eweka3 🟨
A. Blair3 🟨
J. Cousins2 🟨
H. Sidwell2 🟨
N. Akoto1 🟨
R. Johnson1 🟨
Boston UnitedG. Holohan3 🟨
J. Rooney3 🟨
S. Sachdev2 🟨
N. Canavan2 🟨
N. Pozo2 🟨
T. Agyemang2 🟨