Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd — National League
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Harrogate Town and Sutton Utd meet in the National League 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Harrogate Town have recorded 9 wins from 14 matches this season (64% win rate), averaging 2.07 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 86% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 86%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Sutton Utd have won 50% of their 18 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Harrogate Town and 1.43 for Sutton Utd. The models give Harrogate Town a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Sutton Utd win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Harrogate Town—
Sutton Utd5º
Position
6º
1.78
PPG
1.78
56%
Win %
56%
2.22
Goals / game
1.11
1.78
Conceded / game
1.11
86%
BTTS %
50%
14%
Clean sheet %
33%
86%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Harrogate Town
Home (5)
—
Sutton Utd
Away (4)
2.00
PPG
1.75
60%
Win %
50%
2.60
Goals / game
1.25
1.60
Conceded / game
1.00
100%
BTTS %
33%
0%
Clean sheet %
50%
100%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Harrogate Town | Home | Away | Sutton Utd | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 78% | 75% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 71% | 86% | 57% | 44% | 42% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 29% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 25% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Harrogate Town | Home | Away | Sutton Utd | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 100% | 71% | 67% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 57% | 29% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 29% | 6% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 0% | 29% | 33% | 25% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Harrogate Town | Sutton Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 86% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 6% |
| BTTS | 86% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 50% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 86% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Harrogate Town | Sutton Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 64% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 39% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 86% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Harrogate Town (H)L
AFC Fylde1–2
AFC Fylde1–2W
Tamworth3–1
Tamworth3–1W
Gateshead2–1
Gateshead2–1D
Barrow2–2
Barrow2–2W
Solihull Moors5–2
Solihull Moors5–2W
Scarborough Athletic2–1
Scarborough Athletic2–1Sutton Utd (A)D
FC Halifax Town1–1
FC Halifax Town1–1LBarrow0–3
Barrow0–3WGateshead1–0
Gateshead1–0W
Woking3–0
Woking3–0W
Tonbridge Angels2–0
Tonbridge Angels2–0D
AFC Totton2–2
AFC Totton2–2Head to Head · 11 matches
2
Harrogate Town
18%
2
Draws
18%
7
Sutton Utd
64%
73%
Over 1.5
8/11
55%
Over 2.5
6/11
27%
Over 3.5
3/11
55%
BTTS
6/11
13/04/24Sutton Utd
Harrogate Town
2–2Sutton Utd30/01/24Harrogate Town
Sutton Utd
1–2Harrogate Town28/01/23Sutton Utd
Harrogate Town
0–1Sutton Utd03/09/22Harrogate Town
Sutton Utd
2–1Harrogate Town07/05/22Sutton Utd
Harrogate Town
0–2Sutton Utd25/01/22Harrogate Town
Sutton Utd
1–0Harrogate Town18/12/21Harrogate Town
Sutton Utd
1–0Harrogate Town30/11/19Harrogate Town
Sutton Utd
3–1Harrogate Town28/09/19Sutton Utd
Harrogate Town
2–0Sutton Utd05/01/19Harrogate Town
Sutton Utd
2–1Harrogate Town04/08/18Sutton Utd
Harrogate Town
2–2Sutton Utd| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |  Southend | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 3 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 | Harrogate Town | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 6 | Sutton Utd | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yeovil Town | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Aldershot Town | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 |  AFC Hornchurch | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Altrincham | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Worthing | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 12 |  Eastleigh | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 13 | FC Halifax Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 14 |  Forest Green | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 |  Boston United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 16 |  Carlisle | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 17 | Barrow | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 | Woking | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Hartlepool | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 |  Wealdstone | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 | Tamworth | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 22 |  Scunthorpe | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 4 |
Team Insights
Harrogate Town- ●Harrogate Town have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Harrogate Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Harrogate Town have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Harrogate Town have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Harrogate Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●65% of Harrogate Town's goals have been scored at home.
Sutton Utd- ●Sutton Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Sutton Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Sutton Utd have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Harrogate TownLABoreham Wood1–4
Boreham Wood1–4LHAFC Fylde1–2
AFC Fylde1–2WHTamworth3–1
Tamworth3–1WAScunthorpe2–0
Scunthorpe2–0WHGateshead2–1
Gateshead2–1LAAldershot Town1–3
Aldershot Town1–3–HEastleigh26/09
Eastleigh26/09–AHartlepool29/09
Hartlepool29/09–HAFC Hornchurch03/10
AFC Hornchurch03/10Sutton UtdDAFC Halifax Town1–1
FC Halifax Town1–1WHEastleigh2–1
Eastleigh2–1LHScunthorpe0–2
Scunthorpe0–2LABarrow0–3
Barrow0–3LHWealdstone0–2
Wealdstone0–2WAGateshead1–0
Gateshead1–0–HForest Green26/09
Forest Green26/09–ATamworth30/09
Tamworth30/09–AKidderminster Harriers03/10
Kidderminster Harriers03/10Top Scorers
Harrogate TownB. Hobson5 ⚽
W. McGowan3 ⚽
J. Hmami3 ⚽
C. Heffernan3 ⚽
S. McCoulsky3 ⚽
C. McGuckin2 ⚽
Sutton UtdT. Babalola6 ⚽
D. Ogbonna5 ⚽
E. Osadebe3 ⚽
S. Folarin3 ⚽
B. Topalloj2 ⚽
O. Mussa2 ⚽
Cards Given
Harrogate TownM. Williams2 🟨
S. McCoulsky2 🟨
W. Burrell2 🟨
A. Baptiste2 🟨
L. Barnes2 🟨
J. Hmami2 🟨
Sutton UtdD. Urpens3 🟨
J. Taylor2 🟨
D. Ogbonna2 🟨
C. Bell2 🟨
E. Osadebe2 🟨
N. Nzuzi2 🟨