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Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch — National League

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England · National League · Regular Season - 14
Hartlepool
Hartlepool
21º · 0.90 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 0h
vs
–
–
AFC Hornchurch
AFC Hornchurch
11º · 1.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 0h
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Hartlepool and AFC Hornchurch meet in the National League 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Hartlepool have recorded 7 wins from 17 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.06 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 41% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. AFC Hornchurch have won 55% of their 20 matches, with 1.55 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 40%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.66 for Hartlepool and 1.29 for AFC Hornchurch. The models give Hartlepool a 43% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an AFC Hornchurch win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 58%.

Season Statistics

Hartlepool
—
AFC Hornchurch
21º
Position
11º
0.90
PPG
1.50
30%
Win %
50%
0.80
Goals / game
1.10
1.50
Conceded / game
1.50
41%
BTTS %
40%
24%
Clean sheet %
40%
53%
Over 2.5 %
65%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Hartlepool
Home (4)
—
AFC Hornchurch
Away (6)
1.50
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
33%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
2.33
13%
BTTS %
50%
38%
Clean sheet %
13%
38%
Over 2.5 %
88%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

HartlepoolHomeAwayAFC HornchurchHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored65%50%78%75%83%63%
Over 1.5 Scored24%13%33%50%50%50%
Over 2.5 Scored12%0%22%30%33%25%
Failed To Score35%50%22%25%17%38%

Goals Conceded

HartlepoolHomeAwayAFC HornchurchHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded76%63%89%60%42%88%
Over 1.5 Conceded53%38%67%30%8%63%
Over 2.5 Conceded24%38%11%20%0%50%
Clean Sheets24%38%11%40%58%13%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

HartlepoolAFC Hornchurch
Over 0.5100%95%
Over 1.565%75%
Over 2.553%65%
Over 3.529%20%
Over 4.524%15%
BTTS41%40%
BTTS & Win18%20%
BTTS & Draw0%5%
BTTS & Over 2.541%35%
BTTS No & Over 2.512%30%

1st Half / 2nd Half

HartlepoolAFC Hornchurch
Win 1st Half12%35%
Draw 1st Half47%30%
Loss 1st Half41%35%
Scored 1st Half35%45%
Conceded 1st Half59%45%
Win 2nd Half41%45%
Draw 2nd Half12%30%
Loss 2nd Half47%25%
Scored 2nd Half47%55%
Conceded 2nd Half65%40%
Over 0.5 HT65%75%
Over 1.5 HT35%25%

Recent Venue Form

Hartlepool (H)
LWorthing1–3
LEverton U210–1
WWoking1–0
LEastleigh0–1
LMiddlesbrough U210–10
WBarrow2–0
AFC Hornchurch (A)
LAltrincham0–3
LWorthing0–1
LFC Halifax Town0–3
WBoston United3–2
LCarlisle1–4
WBarrow2–1
National League
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood10820+1526
2Southend10622+920
3AFC Fylde10622+820
4Harrogate Town10613+719
5Aldershot Town10532+718
6Yeovil Town10532+518
7Kidderminster Harriers10532+518
8Altrincham10604018
9Worthing10523+317
10Sutton Utd10523017
11AFC Hornchurch10505-415
12Forest Green10424-114
13Eastleigh10424-214
14FC Halifax Town10415+213
15Woking10334+112
16Barrow10334+112
17Wealdstone10325011
18Boston United10325-111
19Carlisle10244-110
20Scunthorpe10316-110
21Hartlepool10307-79
22Tamworth10226-118
23Solihull Moors10118-174
24Gateshead10118-184

Team Insights

Hartlepool
  • ●Hartlepool have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Hartlepool have lost their last 4 matches.
  • ●Hartlepool have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
  • ●Hartlepool have lost their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Hartlepool failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Hartlepool have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Hartlepool failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Hartlepool have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●73% of Hartlepool's goals conceded were conceded away.
AFC Hornchurch
  • ●AFC Hornchurch have lost their last 3 away matches.
  • ●AFC Hornchurch failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●AFC Hornchurch failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●AFC Hornchurch have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●93% of AFC Hornchurch's goals conceded were conceded away.
HartlepoolHartlepool
LAScunthorpe20º1–4
LHWorthing9º1–3
LAAltrincham8º1–2
LAKidderminster Harriers7º0–2
LHEverton U210–1
WHWoking15º1–0
LAFC Halifax Town14º0–1
LHEastleigh13º0–1
LASutton Utd10º1–2
WAAldershot Town5º1–0
AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch
LAAltrincham8º0–3
WHScunthorpe20º1–0
LAWorthing9º0–1
LAFC Halifax Town14º0–3
WHIpswich Town U213–0
LHForest Green12º0–1
WABoston United18º3–2
WHWoking15º1–0
LACarlisle19º1–4
LHNorwich City U211–2

Season Schedule

Hartlepool
LAScunthorpe1–4
LHWorthing1–3
LAAltrincham1–2
LAKidderminster Harriers0–2
WHWoking1–0
LAFC Halifax Town0–1
–HHarrogate Town29/09
–HTamworth03/10
–AForest Green10/10
AFC Hornchurch
LAAltrincham0–3
WHScunthorpe1–0
LAWorthing0–1
LAFC Halifax Town0–3
LHForest Green0–1
WABoston United3–2
–HAldershot Town29/09
–AHarrogate Town03/10
–HEastleigh10/10

Top Scorers

Hartlepool
C. McKeown3 ⚽
J. Nolan3 ⚽
W. Harris3 ⚽
M. Kouogun2 ⚽
C. Popov2 ⚽
L. Charman1 ⚽
AFC Hornchurch
J. Kizzi4 ⚽
4 ⚽
B. Kelman4 ⚽
H. Hearn3 ⚽
H. Sandat2 ⚽
A. Rowe2 ⚽

Cards Given

Hartlepool
N. Eccleston6 🟨
R. McNally4 🟨
J. Hunter4 🟨
J. Miley3 🟨
C. Deeming2 🟨
J. Hugill2 🟨
AFC Hornchurch
H. Sandat4 🟨
H. Hearn3 🟨
J. Walker3 🟨
T. Wraight2 🟨
A. Rowe1 🟨
M. Bracking1 🟨